13822 S State St · Riverdale, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special in Riverdale! 1.5-story full-gut rehab with major upside. Property requires complete renovation and is sold as-is. Cash only. Great opportunity for experienced rehabbers, flippers, or buy-and-hold investors. Buyer to complete all due diligence, verify room measurements, and verify village requirements.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing; Earnest money held; Directions: Take Halsted St to 138th St, head east to State St, go south to property
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built more than 90 years ago; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick construction; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 49 x 119 (less than 0.25 acre); Lot size per county records
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (Master and two other bedrooms on main and second levels; additional bedrooms on second level); Bedroom dimensions include multiple 10 x 10 rooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 41.5% vs local median 9.5% in Riverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#434 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,294/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 41.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 125.71%
- DSCR
- 6.59
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 E 140th Ct | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,830 (+4%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $113 | 75 |
| 13827 S Tracy Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,930 (+10%) | 5mo | $249,900 | $129 | 60 |
| 14116 S Wabash Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,949 (+11%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 14209 S Tracy Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-3%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $124 | 58 |
| 14233 S Wentworth Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 | 1,630 (-7%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 14115 S Wabash Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-9%) | 8mo | $237,000 | $148 | 55 |
| 14107 S State St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 | 1,496 (-15%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $130 | 47 |
| 13809 Forest Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,907 (+8%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $92 | 47 |
| 62 E 144th St | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,864 (+6%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $126 | 45 |
| 14048 Park Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,591 (-10%) | 2mo | $36,000 | $23 | 41 |
| 14206 S Eggleston Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,660 (-6%) | 13mo | $170,000 | $102 | 38 |
| 14305 S Wabash Ave | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 2,000 (+14%) | 10mo | $227,000 | $114 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.93×
- Total profit
- $97,011
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.41×
- Total profit
- $257,794
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60827
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,294 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $1,467
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13903 S State St Riverdale, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2300 | $2,650 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 19 E 140th Ct Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2076 | $2,231 | $1.07 | 7d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 13708 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-23$50,000 Active
-
2026-02-18historical
-
2026-01-16Active
-
2026-01-16historical
-
2026-01-01Active
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-12-18historical
-
2025-12-17Active
-
2025-11-26Active
-
2008-08-03historical
-
2008-02-02
-
1998-08-14soldstatus $100,000
-
1983-09-01soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,202
- − Management
- −$2,202
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $17,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,288
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,312/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Riverdale
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #434
- US rank
- #8867
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverdale, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 24,713
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,713
- Household income
- $37,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.39%
- Current HPI
- 163.7725
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.82%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-10.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $50,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-17 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-26 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2023): $3,378 · +113.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…