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Bowman Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$376,990

Bowman Plan · Westlake, OH 44145
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,854 sqft · Townhouse · 668 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The stunning kitchen with large island flows easily to the gathering room and café. Choose the sunroom addition for another quiet retreat. The second-floor owner's suite is tucked away and offers a spa-like bathroom and oversized walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Gathering room
  • Large island
  • Sunroom addition

Tags

STUNNING KITCHENLARGE ISLANDGATHERING ROOMCAFÉSUNROOM ADDITIONOWNER'S SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $376,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $447,087.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $377k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-763 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $337k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $294k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#79 in OH, #1,202 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Westlake City (suburban): math 71% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #76 of 656 in OH (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Westlake Elementary School (math 80% / reading 75%, grade A, #213 of 1,584 statewide, top 14%, 1,217 students, 15% FRL); Lee Burneson Middle School (math 75% / reading 83%, grade A+, #54 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 498 students, 16% FRL); Westlake High School (math 56% / reading 81%, grade B, #130 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,066 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 668 days — a 12% lower offer ($332k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $294,466 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 668 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.24%
Cash-on-cash
-7.32%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$447,087
List price
$376,990
Delta
-15.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1669 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,854 (0%) 4mo $415,000 $224 96
1717 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,954 (+5%) 4mo $479,500 $245 87
1721 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,954 (+5%) 10mo $483,230 $247 82
1656 Merlot Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 2,048 (+10%) 0mo $460,000 $225 80
1725 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+11%) 6mo $489,000 $238 77
28186 Zinfandel Ct 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,997 (+8%) 3mo $486,990 $244 76
28163 Zinfandel Ct 0.12mi 3/2.5 2,064 (+11%) 5mo $489,000 $237 72
879 S Parkside Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,847 (-0%) 8mo $409,000 $221 62
27652 Serviceberry Ct 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,903 (+3%) 1mo $445,000 $234 62
850 S Parkside Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 2,052 (+11%) 2mo $417,500 $203 49
27843 Ironwood Ct 0.63mi 3/2.5 2,052 (+11%) 5mo $433,000 $211 49
830 S Greenway Dr 0.70mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+11%) 1mo $425,000 $207 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.8%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-123,028
Equity at exit
$66,662
10-year hold
IRR
-34.1%
Equity multiple
-0.42×
Total profit
$-177,661
Equity at exit
$38,656

Cash invested: $125,184 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
11 active · 12 under contract
Months of supply
5.5 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$465,000 ($227/sqft)
Median days on market
88 d
This list price
9% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+6.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 44145

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,945 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,345
Tax est. 1.5%
$559 /mo · $6,706/yr
Insurance
$186
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$618
Net cashflow
$-763

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,911
Max offer price $336,617
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-454 -5% $-609 +0% $-763 +5% $-918 +10% $-1,072
Rent -10% $-996 -5% $-880 +0% $-763 +5% $-647 +10% $-531
Rate -1.0pp $-538 -0.5pp $-650 base $-763 +0.5pp $-879 +1.0pp $-997

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$111,772
Closing costs
$13,413
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27825 Detroit Rd Westlake, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1119 $1,970 $1.76 0d 9 0.17mi
1500 Westford Cir Westlake, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 948 $2,239 $2.36 66d 1 0.59mi
1346 Patti Park Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,595 $1.87 9d 1 0.70mi
177 Market St Westlake, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $3,190 $3.14 0d 40 1.04mi
131 Vine St #51 Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 1750 $3,750 $2.14 139d 1 1.11mi
2547 Wyndgate Ct #2547 Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1514 $3,200 $2.11 119d 1 1.14mi
314 Halstead Ln Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 1792 $3,900 $2.18 92d 1 1.15mi
31 Ashbourne Dr Westlake, OH 2.0 3.5 2100 $5,000 $2.38 61d 1 1.15mi
27 Ashbourne Dr Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 2128 $4,100 $1.93 92d 1 1.16mi
2601 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,000 $1.65 97d 1 1.21mi
2620 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,500 $1.92 9d 1 1.25mi
2672 Wyndgate Ct #2672 Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1514 $3,000 $1.98 119d 1 1.31mi
2695 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,500 $1.92 139d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $376,990 Active 668 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $376,990 Active 667 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $376,990 Active 664 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $376,990 Active 663 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $376,990 Active 662 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $376,990 Active 661 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $376,990 Active 659 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $376,990 Active 658 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $376,990 Active 655 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $376,990 Active 654 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $376,990 Active 653 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $376,990 Active 650 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $376,990 Active 649 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $376,990 Active 648 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $376,990 Active 647 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $376,990 Active 646 DOM
  17. 2025-09-04
    price $376,990 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    The stunning kitchen with large island flows easily to the gathering room and café. Choose the sunroom addition for another quiet retreat. The second-floor owner's suite is tucked away and offers a spa-like bathroom and oversized walk-in closet.

  18. 2025-05-03
    price $368,990 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    The stunning kitchen with large island flows easily to the gathering room and café. Choose the sunroom addition for another quiet retreat. The second-floor owner's suite is tucked away and offers a spa-like bathroom and oversized walk-in closet.

  19. 2025-01-10
    price $367,990 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    The stunning kitchen with large island flows easily to the gathering room and café. Choose the sunroom addition for another quiet retreat. The second-floor owner's suite is tucked away and offers a spa-like bathroom and oversized walk-in closet.

  20. 2024-08-24
    listed $376,990 Active 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    The stunning kitchen with large island flows easily to the gathering room and café. Choose the sunroom addition for another quiet retreat. The second-floor owner's suite is tucked away and offers a spa-like bathroom and oversized walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,336
− Mortgage interest
−$25,044
− Property taxes
−$6,706
− Insurance
−$2,235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,827
− Management
−$2,827
− Depreciation
−$13,006
Taxable loss
−$17,310
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,154
After-tax cash flow
$-5,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This townhouse is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for a move-in ready home.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Replace window treatments — Modern window treatments improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
B Composite school gradezoned avg 75/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Westlake Elementary School A OH #213/1,584 Nat'l #1,614/41,679 Middle Lee Burneson Middle School A+ OH #54/654 Nat'l #318/14,009 High Westlake High School B OH #130/781 Nat'l #2,397/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westlake City
NCES district ID
3904506
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$74,709
Composite
65.85/100
National rank
#451
State rank
#76 of 656 in OH
A Composite livability gradescore 82/100

Livability — Westlake

Score
82/100
State rank
#79
US rank
#1202

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westlake, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,244,621 people
City population
34,104
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
34,104
Household income
$112,200
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Asian 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Arabic 5% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $376,990 Zillow
  • 2025-05-03 Price Changed $368,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed $367,990 Zillow
  • 2024-08-24 Listed $376,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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