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17321 North Valley Dr
D Composite 40.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$649,900

17321 North Valley Dr · Urbandale, IA 50323
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,566 sqft · Other public records · 68 Days on market
Built 2024 0.27 ac lot $182/sqft · 53% below area Est $750k · 13% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stunning quality and attention to detail in the new construction 6 bedroom home! Located in the exclusive Bentley Ridge development AND walking distance to Radiant Elementary. Upon entering you'll notice that the oversized Anderson windows let in an abundance of light. This showcases the beautiful hardwood floors, gorgeous stone fireplace with built-ins, trayed ceiling in great room, the open gourmet kitchen and large dining area that leads to your covered maintenance free deck. A special design offers an office nook or additional pantry just off the kitchen. The luxurious primary suite has a trayed ceiling, tile shower and beautiful walk- in closet. There are 2 more large bedrooms with custom closets and full bath complete the main level. Let's entertain! This walkout lower level lends itself for large or cozy gatherings. Another beautiful stone fireplace with built-ins and a full wet bar, the perfect set up! Walk out to your lower level covered patio. 3 more bedrooms with custom closets and a full bath. So many upgrades! Unbeatable value. Waukee Northwest High School. Unbeatable location near parks, schools, walking paths and so many amenities.

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Open gourmet kitchen
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONOVERSIZED ANDERSON WINDOWSHARDWOOD FLOORSSTONE FIREPLACE WITH BUILT-INSOPEN GOURMET KITCHENCOVERED MAINTENANCE FREE DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $650k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-26k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (58.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (63.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (63.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Waukee Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #14 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Walnut Hills Elementary School (math 91% / reading 81%, grade A+, #26 of 616 statewide, top 4%, 625 students, 9% FRL); Waukee Middle School (math 83% / reading 81%, grade A+, #22 of 246 statewide, top 12%, 1,069 students, 12% FRL); Waukee High School (math 74% / reading 82%, grade A-, #53 of 336 statewide, top 16%, 1,268 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 381 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($176k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $36k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($611k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $235,732 (63.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 64% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.36%
Cap rate
2.32%
Cash-on-cash
-14.20%
DSCR
0.37
GRM
23.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$750,489
List price
$649,900
Delta
-13.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$5,223
Equity at exit
$360,710
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$137,475
Equity at exit
$616,359

Cash invested: $181,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50323

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
381
Price-to-rent
23.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,357 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,408
Tax from tax record
$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
Insurance
$271
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$-2,154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,084
Max offer price $269,389
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,786 -5% $-1,970 +0% $-2,154 +5% $-2,338 +10% $-2,522
Rent -10% $-2,340 -5% $-2,247 +0% $-2,154 +5% $-2,061 +10% $-1,968
Rate -1.0pp $-1,827 -0.5pp $-1,989 base $-2,154 +0.5pp $-2,322 +1.0pp $-2,494

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$162,475
Closing costs
$19,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $649,900 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $649,900 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $649,900 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $649,900 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $649,900 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $649,900 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $649,900 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $649,900 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $649,900 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $649,900 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $649,900 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $649,900 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $649,900 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $649,900 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $649,900 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $649,900 Active 47 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $649,900 Active 46 DOM
  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $649,900 Active 1164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1164 chars)

    Stunning quality and attention to detail in the new construction 6 bedroom home! Located in the exclusive Bentley Ridge development AND walking distance to Radiant Elementary. Upon entering you'll notice that the oversized Anderson windows let in an abundance of light. This showcases the beautiful hardwood floors, gorgeous stone fireplace with built-ins, trayed ceiling in great room, the open gourmet kitchen and large dining area that leads to your covered maintenance free deck. A special design offers an office nook or additional pantry just off the kitchen. The luxurious primary suite has a trayed ceiling, tile shower and beautiful walk- in closet. There are 2 more large bedrooms with custom closets and full bath complete the main level. Let's entertain! This walkout lower level lends itself for large or cozy gatherings. Another beautiful stone fireplace with built-ins and a full wet bar, the perfect set up! Walk out to your lower level covered patio. 3 more bedrooms with custom closets and a full bath. So many upgrades! Unbeatable value. Waukee Northwest High School. Unbeatable location near parks, schools, walking paths and so many amenities.

  19. 2026-04-09
    historical
  20. 2026-03-05
    status Active
  21. 2026-03-03
    historical
  22. 2026-01-15
    listed $656,900 Active
  23. 2026-01-12
    historical
  24. 2025-10-03
    listed $664,900 Active
  25. 2025-09-24
    historical
  26. 2025-05-03
    listed $664,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,048 · $337/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,126 · $594/mo
Expected delta
+$3,078/yr (+$256/mo · 76.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,288
− Mortgage interest
−$36,405
− Property taxes
−$4,048
− Insurance
−$3,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,263
− Management
−$2,263
− Depreciation
−$18,906
Taxable loss
−$38,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$9,323
After-tax cash flow
$-16,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waukee Community School District
NCES district ID
1930510
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,580
Composite
70.94/100
National rank
#245
State rank
#14 of 289 in IA

Livability — Urbandale

Score
90/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#69

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Urbandale, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
49,196
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,265
Household income
$175,944
Rent vs Own
12.8% rent · 87.2% own
Severe rent burden
63.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,904 people
By 2030
127,807 · +14.2%
By 2040
160,576 · +43.5%
By 2050
194,154 · +73.5%
By 2075
271,895 · +143.0%
By 2100
326,525 · +191.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.81%
Current HPI
199.789
Rent YoY
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $649,900 DMMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed DMMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted DMMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed DMMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $656,900 DMMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listing Removed DMMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $664,900 DMMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listing Removed DMMLS
  • 2025-05-03 Listed $664,900 DMMLS

Property tax history

+50500.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,048 · +50500.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…