Fourplex
452 NE 30th St · Miami, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$2,990,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Corner lot in the heart of Edgewater’s urban core. Zoned T6-36a-L under Miami 21 by-right multifamily, boutique hotel, or short-term rental development with no rezoning required. Up to 66,000 buildable SF (FAR 12). Triple street frontage on a 5,500 SF lot. Existing fourplex sold AS-IS. No tenants, no leases. Immediate development potential upon closing or hold as income property. Located steps from Biscayne Bay, Wynwood, Midtown Miami, and the Design District. Excellent highway access via I-95/I-195. Buyer to verify all zoning and development potential with City of Miami.
Key facts
- Buildable sf
- Zoned t6-36a-l
- Existing fourplex
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 6 parking spaces; Combination of open parking and other parking types
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Multifamily property; 2-story building; Resale
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Patio/porch on one unit; Less than quarter acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; Two 2-bedroom units; One 4-bedroom unit (includes patio/porch)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Four units each with 1 full bathroom; One unit with 4 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceramic tile and laminate flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $2.99M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6k ($-76k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-2k/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.87M (37.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.86M (37.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.86M (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 757 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $18,624/mo this rent would consume 238% of the median local household income ($94k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($21k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$188k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($2.90M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1.20M; list at $2.99M implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.00%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.27% appreciation · 2.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-457,908
- Equity at exit
- $909,075
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-501,681
- Equity at exit
- $1,125,922
Cash invested: $837,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33137
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 757
- Price-to-rent
- 53.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,624 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$15,680
- Tax from tax record
- −$4,069 /mo · $48,832/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,246
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,911
- Net cashflow
- $-6,349
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-4,656 | -5% $-5,502 | +0% $-6,349 | +5% $-7,195 | +10% $-8,041 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-7,820 | -5% $-7,084 | +0% $-6,349 | +5% $-5,613 | +10% $-4,877 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-4,843 | -0.5pp $-5,588 | base $-6,349 | +0.5pp $-7,123 | +1.0pp $-7,912 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1.8 | $18,624 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.8 | $4,656 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.8 | $4,656 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.8 | $4,656 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.8 | $4,656 |
| Total (4 units) | $18,624 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $747,500
- Closing costs
- $89,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480 NE 31st St Miami, FL | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2379 | $19,000 | $7.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 650 NE 32nd St Miami, FL | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3341 | $21,500 | $6.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 700 NE 26th Ter #2901 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2368 | $25,500 | $10.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 700 NE 26th Ter #4403 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3788 | $30,000 | $7.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 555 NE 34th St Miami, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.5–4.0 | 2653 | $18,877 | $7.12 | 3d | 19 | 0.31mi |
| 725 NE 24th St #4007 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 5.5 | 2582 | $20,000 | $7.75 | 16d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 700 NE 24th St Ph 5801 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 5.5 | 3215 | $40,000 | $12.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 700 NE 24th St Unit 1601 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 5.5 | 2530 | $29,995 | $11.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 700 NE 24th St Unit 5904 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3812 | $40,000 | $10.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 121 NE 34th St Miami, FL | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2648 | $25,000 | $9.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 711 NE 23rd Ter Unit 607 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 5.5 | 2216 | $19,500 | $8.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 788 NE 23rd St Miami, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 4.0–4.5 | 2322 | $26,000 | $11.20 | 25d | 2 | 0.44mi |
| 4675 NE 2nd Ave Miami, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2248 | $27,500 | $12.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4675 NE 2nd Ave Miami, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2248 | $27,500 | $12.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 145 NE 49th St Unit A Miami, FL | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3193 | $27,500 | $8.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $2,990,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,990,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,990,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,990,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,990,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,990,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,990,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,990,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,990,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,990,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,990,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $2,990,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,990,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,990,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-05historical
-
2026-05-04$2,990,000 Active
-
2026-04-17$2,990,000 Active
-
2024-05-01historical $5,000
-
2024-04-27$5,000
-
2024-01-29historical $5,000
-
2024-01-19$5,000
-
2022-11-18soldstatus $1,200,000
-
2021-03-15historical
-
2021-01-08$1,300,000 Active
-
2021-01-07historical
-
2020-09-22status Active
-
2020-09-22price $1,300,000
-
2020-08-31historical Active Under Contract
-
2020-07-28price $1,250,000
-
2020-07-27$1,200,000 Active
-
2020-07-01historical
-
2020-07-01historical
-
2020-05-20status Active
-
2020-03-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2020-03-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2020-01-21price $1,200,000
-
2019-09-13price $1,300,000
-
2019-08-21price $1,500,000
-
2019-07-23price $1,700,000
-
2019-07-02$2,000,000 Active
-
2019-07-02$1,200,000 Active
-
2019-02-28historical
-
2018-10-01$2,500,000 Active
-
2016-05-16soldstatus $1,200,000
-
2016-01-19$1,250,000
-
2015-02-01historical
-
2014-11-18price $1,149,000
-
2014-09-09status Active
-
2014-08-12price $1,290,000 Temporarily Off Market
-
2014-08-12historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $48,832 · $4,069/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $48,832 · $4,069/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $223,488
- − Mortgage interest
- −$167,486
- − Property taxes
- −$48,832
- − Insurance
- −$15,747
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$17,879
- − Management
- −$17,879
- − Depreciation
- −$86,982
- Taxable loss
- −$131,317
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$31,516
- After-tax cash flow
- $-44,666/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,414
- Household income
- $94,036
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% Two or more races 25% White 24% Black 16% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 10% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Estonian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 47% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 49% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.27%
- Current HPI
- 385.1514
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.73%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+2831.4% since first listed46 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $2,990,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $2,990,000 MARMLS
- 2024-05-01 Rental Removed $5,000 MARMLS
- 2024-04-27 Listed for Rent $5,000 MARMLS
- 2024-01-29 Rental Removed $5,000 MARMLS
- 2024-01-19 Listed for Rent $5,000 MARMLS
- 2022-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $1,200,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-01-08 Listed $1,300,000 MARMLS
- 2021-01-07 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-09-22 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2020-09-22 Price Changed $1,300,000 MARMLS
- 2020-08-31 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2020-07-28 Price Changed $1,250,000 MARMLS
- 2020-07-27 Listed $1,200,000 MARMLS
- 2020-07-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-07-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-05-20 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2020-03-10 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2020-03-10 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2020-01-21 Price Changed $1,200,000 MARMLS
- 2019-09-13 Price Changed $1,300,000 MARMLS
- 2019-08-21 Price Changed $1,500,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-23 Price Changed $1,700,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-02 Listed $1,200,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-02 Listed $2,000,000 MARMLS
- 2019-02-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-10-01 Listed $2,500,000 MARMLS
- 2016-05-16 Sold (MLS) $1,200,000 MARMLS
- 2016-01-19 Listed $1,250,000 MARMLS
- 2015-02-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2014-11-18 Price Changed $1,149,000 MARMLS
- 2014-09-09 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2014-08-12 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2014-08-12 Price Changed $1,290,000 MARMLS
- 2014-04-15 Price Changed $999,000 MARMLS
- 2013-10-17 Price Changed $850,000 MARMLS
- 2013-09-24 Listed $999,000 MARMLS
- 2012-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $545,000 Public Records
- 2012-10-10 Sold (MLS) $545,000 MARMLS
- 2012-09-17 Listed $599,000 MARMLS
- 2001-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $219,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.5%/yrLatest (2025): $48,832 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…