8260 E Arabian Trl #261 · Scottsdale, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$308,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
Key facts
- $469 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $308k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $308k).
- Recommended offer: $271k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 13900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $196k; list at $308k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.66%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $334,696
- List price
- $308,000
- Delta
- -7.98%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-41,926
- Equity at exit
- $45,924
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-37,588
- Equity at exit
- $26,630
Cash invested: $86,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85258
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,131 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,615
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $833/yr
- Insurance
- −$128
- HOA
- −$469
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$657
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,000
- Closing costs
- $9,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8260 E Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $4,000 | $4.16 | 16d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 8260 E Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $4,000 | $4.16 | 43d | 3 | 0.03mi |
| 8260 E Arabian Trl #275 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $4,000 | $3.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8256 E Arabian Trl #126 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 8250 E Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $2,500 | $2.70 | 43d | 2 | 0.11mi |
| 7700 E Gainey Ranch Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $4,250 | $2.93 | 17d | 3 | 0.37mi |
| 7710 E Gainey Ranch Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1121 | $3,495 | $3.12 | 24d | 5 | 0.43mi |
| 8700 E Mountain View Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $3,500 | $2.88 | 43d | 2 | 0.61mi |
| 10101 N Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1077 | $3,624 | $3.36 | 43d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 10101 N Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $3,950 | $3.71 | 10d | 2 | 0.72mi |
| 8787 E Mountain View Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $3,598 | $3.29 | 1d | 12 | 0.75mi |
| 8787 E Mountain View Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1113 | $3,612 | $3.25 | 13d | 10 | 0.75mi |
| 9449 N 90th St Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $2,049 | $2.83 | 1d | 33 | 0.99mi |
| 11000 N 77th Pl #1057 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $3,750 | $2.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 9115 E Purdue Ave #213 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $2,250 | $1.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8270 N Hayden Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 19d | 9 | 1.19mi |
| 8270 N Hayden Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,590 | $1.79 | 2d | 8 | 1.19mi |
| 9355 N 91st St #101 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $7,000 | $5.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9355 N 91st St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $4,450 | $3.69 | 16d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 9340 N 92nd St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1134 | $3,150 | $2.78 | 43d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 9850 N 73rd St Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1071 | $1,999 | $1.87 | 1d | 10 | 1.23mi |
| 8653 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $2,375 | $1.80 | 17d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 8653 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 2d | 3 | 1.26mi |
| 9465 N 92nd St Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $2,385 | $2.14 | 24d | 3 | 1.26mi |
| 9465 N 92nd St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,675 | $1.36 | 14d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 9340 N 92nd St #204 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $3,300 | $2.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8300 E Via de Ventura #1018 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $4,800 | $3.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 8300 E Via de Ventura #2025 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $2,600 | $2.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9345 N 92nd St #202 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8875 E Arizona Park Pl Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $2,750 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8649 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $3,025 | $2.99 | 13d | 6 | 1.32mi |
| 8649 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $2,850 | $2.82 | 13d | 7 | 1.32mi |
| 7272 E Gainey Ranch Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1577 | $7,492 | $4.75 | 3d | 7 | 1.33mi |
| 7272 E Gainey Ranch Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1577 | $6,622 | $4.20 | 7d | 8 | 1.33mi |
| 9323 E Purdue Ave #171 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $4,200 | $3.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9270 E Mission Ln #219 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $3,000 | $2.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9270 E Mission Ln Unit 1546034P Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,578 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9275 E Mission Ln #201 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,950 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 9275 E Mission Ln Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $1,950 | $1.96 | 24d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 8946 E Yucca St Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $2,495 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $469 · $5,628/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $308,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $308,000 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $308,000 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $308,000 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $308,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $308,000 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $308,000 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $308,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $308,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $308,000 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $308,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $308,000 Active 273 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $308,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $308,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2026-04-23price $318,500 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2026-04-14price $325,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2026-03-15price $335,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2026-01-29price $345,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2026-01-21price $350,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2025-12-06price $355,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2025-11-05price $2,000
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2025-11-04price $360,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2025-09-01$2,200
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
-
2025-09-01$370,000 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Another Nice price improvement. Welcome home to this highly sought after community of McCormick Ranch. This partially remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo has all the right upgrades and plenty of space for comfortable living in a great neighborhood. All new kitchen appliances and new bathtub/shower units just installed in August 2025. The Belcara community has lush green grounds, two sparkling pools, a club house and a full gym.
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2016-08-31soldstatus $196,500 Closed 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS CONDO IN THE SOUGHT AFTER MCCORMICK RANCH COMMUNITY OF BELCARA.THIS 2BD/2BA HOME FEATURES AN OPEN FLOOR PLAN WITH LAMINATE WOOD FLOORS, CROWN MOLDING, NEW PAINT, WET BAR. THIS HOME IS IMMACULATE!! LARGE BEDROOMS WITH SPLIT FLOOR PLAN. WASHER, DRYER AND REFRIGERATOR ARE INCLUDED WITH SUCCESSFUL COE.
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2016-08-31soldstatus $196,500
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS CONDO IN THE SOUGHT AFTER MCCORMICK RANCH COMMUNITY OF BELCARA.THIS 2BD/2BA HOME FEATURES AN OPEN FLOOR PLAN WITH LAMINATE WOOD FLOORS, CROWN MOLDING, NEW PAINT, WET BAR. THIS HOME IS IMMACULATE!! LARGE BEDROOMS WITH SPLIT FLOOR PLAN. WASHER, DRYER AND REFRIGERATOR ARE INCLUDED WITH SUCCESSFUL COE.
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2016-07-31status Pending 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS CONDO IN THE SOUGHT AFTER MCCORMICK RANCH COMMUNITY OF BELCARA.THIS 2BD/2BA HOME FEATURES AN OPEN FLOOR PLAN WITH LAMINATE WOOD FLOORS, CROWN MOLDING, NEW PAINT, WET BAR. THIS HOME IS IMMACULATE!! LARGE BEDROOMS WITH SPLIT FLOOR PLAN. WASHER, DRYER AND REFRIGERATOR ARE INCLUDED WITH SUCCESSFUL COE.
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2016-07-22$196,500 Active 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS CONDO IN THE SOUGHT AFTER MCCORMICK RANCH COMMUNITY OF BELCARA.THIS 2BD/2BA HOME FEATURES AN OPEN FLOOR PLAN WITH LAMINATE WOOD FLOORS, CROWN MOLDING, NEW PAINT, WET BAR. THIS HOME IS IMMACULATE!! LARGE BEDROOMS WITH SPLIT FLOOR PLAN. WASHER, DRYER AND REFRIGERATOR ARE INCLUDED WITH SUCCESSFUL COE.
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2007-03-16historical
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2006-07-08$262,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $833 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,033 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,200/yr (+$100/mo · 144.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,570
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,253
- − Property taxes
- −$833
- − Insurance
- −$1,540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,006
- − Management
- −$3,006
- − HOA
- −$5,628
- − Depreciation
- −$8,960
- Taxable loss
- −$2,655
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$637
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
- NCES district ID
- 0407570
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,139
- Composite
- 48.02/100
- National rank
- #2196
- State rank
- #30 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Scottsdale
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1756
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsdale, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 290,846
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,545
- Household income
- $114,111
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 832.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -461.15%
- Current HPI
- 335.6925
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+17.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $308,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $318,500 ARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $325,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $335,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $345,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $350,000 ARMLS
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $355,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $2,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $360,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed for Rent $2,200 ARMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $370,000 ARMLS
- 2016-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $196,500 Public Records
- 2016-08-31 Sold (MLS) $196,500 ARMLS
- 2016-07-31 Pending — ARMLS
- 2016-07-22 Listed $196,500 ARMLS
- 2007-03-16 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-07-08 Listed $262,500 ARMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $833 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…