61-26 245th Pl Unit F-2 · New York, NY 11362

$339,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Condo · 46 Days on market

Built 1953

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Well-maintained and charming 2nd floor unit having spacious living room, fantastic dining room (originally a 3rd bedroom and can be easily converted back), and incredible walk-up attic storage space. The layout is open and the potential superb. Fantastic unit and location.

Key facts

• Built 1953
• Listed 46 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $340k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($813/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (10.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $306k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($122k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $305,918 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.90% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.85%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.47×
• Total profit: $-50,715
• Equity at exit: $50,680

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.60×
• Total profit: $-38,416
• Equity at exit: $29,388

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11362

• Home prices YoY: -31.1%
• Active inventory: 162
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,059 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,782
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$425 /mo · $5,098/yr
• Insurance: −$142
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$642
• Net cashflow: $68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,973

Max offer price $339,900

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $303	-5% $185	+0% $68	+5% $-50	+10% $-167
Rent	-10% $-174	-5% $-53	+0% $68	+5% $189	+10% $309
Rate	-1.0pp $239	-0.5pp $154	base $68	+0.5pp $-20	+1.0pp $-110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $84,975
• Closing costs: $10,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
245-63 61st Ave Unit 1FL Flushing, NY	3.0	2.0	1000	$3,000	$3.00	26d	1	0.11mi
240-53 68th Ave Unit 1st Floor Douglaston, NY	2.0	1.0	900	$2,500	$2.78	26d	1	0.40mi
253-15 60th Ave Unit 2nd Floor Flushing, NY	3.0	2.0	1100	$3,500	$3.18	5d	1	0.45mi
232-15 67th Ave Unit 1FL Flushing, NY	2.0	2.0	900	$2,900	$3.22	6d	1	0.81mi
4420 Douglaston Pkwy Unit 5A Little Neck, NY	2.0	1.0	900	$3,200	$3.56	0d	1	0.95mi
245-24 77th Cres Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	785	$2,600	$3.31	20d	1	0.98mi
4245 247th St Little Neck, NY	3.0	1.0	1080	$3,800	$3.52	26d	1	1.01mi
76-37 Commonwealth Blvd Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	641	$2,200	$3.43	26d	1	1.02mi
4212 Marathon Pkwy Little Neck, NY	1.0	1.0	550	$2,375	$4.32	26d	1	1.05mi
246-17 Union Tpke Unit A Bellerose, NY	3.0	1.0	799	$3,200	$4.01	26d	1	1.08mi
56-25 226th St Unit 3 Bayside, NY	3.0	1.5	977	$3,250	$3.33	26d	1	1.10mi
4230 Douglaston Pkwy Little Neck, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$1,800	$2.57	20d	1	1.11mi
6747 222nd St Oakland Gardens, NY	3.0	1.0	924	$2,700	$2.92	4d	1	1.33mi
7608 269th St New Hyde Park, NY	3.0	2.0	1031	$4,500	$4.36	0d	1	1.37mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

1. 2025-02-24
   status Pending
2. 2025-01-10
   listed $339,900 Active
3. 2025-01-09
   historical $339,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,710
• − Mortgage interest: −$19,040
• − Property taxes: −$5,098
• − Insurance: −$1,700
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,937
• − Management: −$2,937
• − Depreciation: −$9,888
• Taxable loss: −$4,889
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,173
• After-tax cash flow: $1,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 18,492
• Household income: $122,090
• Rent vs Own: 24.9% rent · 75.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 250.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: Asian 48% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Hispanic 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 40% · China, South Korea, Canada
• Languages at home: 47% English-only · Chinese 21% Korean 12% Other Indo-European 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -117.12%
• Current HPI: 259.773
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-02-24 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-01-10 Listed $339,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-01-09 Coming Soon $339,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid