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123 Tryon St NE
D Composite 43.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$139,900

123 Tryon St NE · Titonka, IA 50480
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,410 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1968 Est $114k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this 3 bedroom, 2 bath rambler with a larger fenced in yard. The property comes with a 8x15 storage shed and an in ground fire pit. There are front and back yard patios.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Open layout
  • Large living room

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENMODERN COUNTERTOPSABUNDANT STORAGEOPEN LAYOUTNEW FLOORINGLARGE LIVING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($328/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (21.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#597 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Algona Community School District (town): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #170 of 289 in IA (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Kossuth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Kossuth County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $140k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $110,038 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.84%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,210
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
014 SE 2nd Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,378 (-2%) 10mo $30,000 $22 76
423 Main St N 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-5%) 16mo $119,500 $89 64
448 Ingham St St NW 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,476 (+5%) 8mo $120,000 $81 61
313 Main St N 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,266 (-10%) 12mo $103,000 $81 60
211 Ripley St NW 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,249 (-11%) 4mo $77,900 $62 58
149 Wesley St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-13%) 13mo $125,000 $101 53
611 Ripley St NW 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,564 (+11%) 14mo $60,000 $38 49
249 Wesley St SW 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,226 (-13%) 11mo $90,000 $73 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$48,920
Equity at exit
$95,229
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$140,950
Equity at exit
$179,358

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50480

Home prices YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,066
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $107 -5% $67 +0% $27 +5% $-12 +10% $-52
Rent -10% $-60 -5% $-16 +0% $27 +5% $71 +10% $114
Rate -1.0pp $98 -0.5pp $63 base $27 +0.5pp $-9 +1.0pp $-46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    listed $139,900 Active
  17. 2012-09-27
    soldstatus $40,000 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    Come see this 3 bedroom, 2 bath rambler with a larger fenced in yard. The property comes with a 8x15 storage shed and an in ground fire pit. There are front and back yard patios.

  18. 2012-06-06
    listed $40,000 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    Come see this 3 bedroom, 2 bath rambler with a larger fenced in yard. The property comes with a 8x15 storage shed and an in ground fire pit. There are front and back yard patios.

  19. 2006-08-22
    soldstatus $52,000
  20. 2001-04-13
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$600 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,398 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$798/yr (+$67/mo · 133.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,205
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$2,114
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$507
After-tax cash flow
$836/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Algona Community School District
NCES district ID
1903360
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,369
Composite
57.41/100
National rank
#1076
State rank
#170 of 289 in IA

Livability — Titonka

Score
64/100
State rank
#597
US rank
#13618

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Titonka, IA
Population (ZIP)
926

Population outlook (Kossuth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,667 people
By 2030
14,445 · -1.5%
By 2040
14,093 · -3.9%
By 2050
13,825 · -5.7%
By 2075
14,039 · -4.3%
By 2100
13,662 · -6.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kossuth

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.3% · R 71.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.4pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -44.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.2 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+12.3 2008: D+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.81%
Current HPI
119.7268
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+191.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $139,900 FSBO.com
  • 2012-09-27 Sold (MLS) $40,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-06 Listed $40,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $600 · -18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…