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28731 Kathryn St
F Composite 28.33
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.2/30.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,000

28731 Kathryn St · Garden City, MI 48135
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 940 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1955 6,534 sqft lot Est $149k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1955

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced backyard; Paved road access; Sidewalks in the community

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (10.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (23.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#53 in MI, #1,047 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-.
  • Garden City Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #365 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $209k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,324 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.42%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,460
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28999 Beechnut St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+7%) 0mo $180,000 $179 77
431 Lytle Pl 0.43mi 3/1.0 967 (+3%) 1mo $153,600 $159 74
29455 Rosslyn Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,010 (+7%) 0mo $180,000 $178 69
29725 Brown Ct 0.64mi 3/1.0 925 (-2%) 1mo $185,000 $200 66
28930 Birchwood St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+7%) 0mo $150,000 $149 65
29522 Grandview St 0.66mi 3/1.0 972 (+3%) 1mo $130,000 $134 63
28005 Avondale St 0.74mi 3/1.0 962 (+2%) 2mo $107,500 $112 60
462 Clair St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+6%) 1mo $265,000 $265 58
29631 Steinhauer St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+7%) 2mo $75,000 $74 57
29707 Birchwood St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+6%) 1mo $96,000 $96 56
1147 Harrison Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,065 (+13%) 0mo $187,000 $176 56
28521 Oakwood St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+9%) 0mo $145,000 $141 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-40,352
Equity at exit
$31,163
10-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-40,527
Equity at exit
$18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48135

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,593 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,323/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$-118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,743
Max offer price $188,153
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
536 N Leona Ave Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,440 $1.44 12d 1 0.55mi
29203 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.5 912 $1,600 $1.75 1d 1 0.72mi
1150 Magnolia Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 24d 1 0.77mi
29800 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,400 $1.35 12d 1 0.81mi
30043 Grandview St Unit 1 Inkster, MI 3.0 1.5 1004 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 0.84mi
238 Yorkshire Blvd Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 741 $1,424 $1.92 1d 9 0.86mi
130 E Tami Cir Westland, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $1,209 $1.51 43d 3 0.88mi
30520 Hiveley St Westland, MI 3.0 1.0 1105 $1,700 $1.54 21d 1 0.92mi
30010 Hazelwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 43d 1 0.98mi
27184 Lucerne Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.09mi
5839 Helen St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 984 $1,500 $1.52 24d 1 1.11mi
5927 Lathers St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 1d 1 1.13mi
31217 Cherry Hill Rd Westland, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 4d 1 1.17mi
29971 Brooklane St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,450 $1.49 43d 1 1.35mi
26322 Westphal St Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $1,455 $1.91 1d 24 1.37mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending 1055-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *

  2. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *

  3. 2026-05-15
    listed $209,000 Active 1055-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *

  4. 2026-05-15
    listed $209,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *

  5. 2026-05-14
    historical $209,000 1055-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *

  6. 2014-08-05
    soldstatus $73,000
  7. 1995-06-26
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,323 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,771 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$448/yr (+$37/mo · 19.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,119
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$2,323
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,530
− Management
−$1,530
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$5,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,223
After-tax cash flow
$-193/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garden City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2615540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$52,165
Composite
25.53/100
National rank
#7433
State rank
#365 of 540 in MI

Livability — Garden City

Score
82/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#1047

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Garden City, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
26,739
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,739
Household income
$67,294
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
509.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -265.28%
Current HPI
212.5713
Rent YoY
▲ 3.65%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+186.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $209,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $209,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $209,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 1995-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,323 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…