28731 Kathryn St · Garden City, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced backyard; Paved road access; Sidewalks in the community
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (10.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (23.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#53 in MI, #1,047 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-.
- Garden City Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #365 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $209k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.42%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,460
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28999 Beechnut St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+7%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $179 | 77 |
| 431 Lytle Pl | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 967 (+3%) | 1mo | $153,600 | $159 | 74 |
| 29455 Rosslyn Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (+7%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $178 | 69 |
| 29725 Brown Ct | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-2%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $200 | 66 |
| 28930 Birchwood St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+7%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $149 | 65 |
| 29522 Grandview St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (+3%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 28005 Avondale St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (+2%) | 2mo | $107,500 | $112 | 60 |
| 462 Clair St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $265 | 58 |
| 29631 Steinhauer St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+7%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $74 | 57 |
| 29707 Birchwood St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 1mo | $96,000 | $96 | 56 |
| 1147 Harrison Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,065 (+13%) | 0mo | $187,000 | $176 | 56 |
| 28521 Oakwood St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+9%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $141 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-40,352
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-40,527
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48135
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,593 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,323/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $-118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 536 N Leona Ave Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,440 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 29203 Oakwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 1d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1150 Magnolia Dr Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 29800 Oakwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 12d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 30043 Grandview St Unit 1 Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1004 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 238 Yorkshire Blvd Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,424 | $1.92 | 1d | 9 | 0.86mi |
| 130 E Tami Cir Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,209 | $1.51 | 43d | 3 | 0.88mi |
| 30520 Hiveley St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 30010 Hazelwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 27184 Lucerne Dr Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5839 Helen St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5927 Lathers St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 31217 Cherry Hill Rd Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 29971 Brooklane St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 26322 Westphal St Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,455 | $1.91 | 1d | 24 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending 1055-char remark
Show marketing remark (1055 chars)
Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *
-
2026-05-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (1055 chars)
Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *
-
2026-05-15$209,000 Active 1055-char remark
Show marketing remark (1055 chars)
Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *
-
2026-05-15$209,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1055 chars)
Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *
-
2026-05-14historical $209,000 1055-char remark
Show marketing remark (1055 chars)
Welcome to this cheery, classic 3-bedroom brick ranch in Garden City! Original hardwood flooring runs through most of the main level. The living room features a beautiful, large bay window! The fenced-in backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or whatever your heart desires! Enjoy the convenience of a solid 2-car garage and a spacious basement that doubles your living area and storage. The partially finished basement is clean and features a black-painted ceiling, ready for a "man cave", playroom, or home office, with plenty of room left for utilities, workshop area, and laundry. The home offers nicely sized bedrooms and a full bath. This solid home is ready for its next owner! All appliances are included, and the seller will provide a certificate of occupancy at closing. Ideally located just 18 minutes from Detroit Metro Airport, close to shopping and dining, and only a couple of blocks from the sought-after Tipton Academy! Schedule your showing today and move in by summer! * * * * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED * * * *
-
2014-08-05soldstatus $73,000
-
1995-06-26soldstatus $73,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,323 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,771 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$448/yr (+$37/mo · 19.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,119
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$2,323
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,530
- − Management
- −$1,530
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$5,095
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $-193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garden City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2615540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,165
- Composite
- 25.53/100
- National rank
- #7433
- State rank
- #365 of 540 in MI
Livability — Garden City
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #1047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garden City, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 26,739
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,739
- Household income
- $67,294
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 509.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.28%
- Current HPI
- 212.5713
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.65%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+186.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Listed $209,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $209,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $209,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,323 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…