37466 Shady Ct · Ocean View, DE
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this charming home nestled in the desirable Shadydell Park. Built in 1997, this Class C residence offers a spacious 1,960 sq. ft. of living space on a generous 0.57-acre lot, situated on a peaceful cul-de-sac. The interior features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a well-appointed kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances. The living space flooring has been upgraded with luxury vinyl plank. Spacious bedrooms with walk-in closets. The property boasts a detached garage with space for two vehicles, along with additional driveway parking for six. Shadydell Park is known for its tranquil environment and proximity to local amenities. Residents can enjoy nearby parks, shopping, and dining options, making it an ideal location for those seeking a balanced lifestyle. This property combines comfort, convenience, and a prime location, making it a fantastic opportunity for anyone looking to settle in a welcoming community. Don't miss your chance to make this home your own!
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1997
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-284 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (13.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (35.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 1.9% in Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#27 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.38%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $500,347
- List price
- $360,000
- Delta
- -28.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-76,588
- Equity at exit
- $53,677
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-90,728
- Equity at exit
- $31,126
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19970
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,322 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $891/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$6
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $-284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-80 | -5% $-182 | +0% $-284 | +5% $-385 | +10% $-487 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-467 | -5% $-375 | +0% $-284 | +5% $-192 | +10% $-100 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-102 | -0.5pp $-192 | base $-284 | +0.5pp $-377 | +1.0pp $-472 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33697 Ashland Dr Frankford, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $2,200 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 37580 Mahogany St Ocean View, DE | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 21 Village Green Dr Ocean View, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2076 | $2,445 | $1.18 | 14d | 3 | 0.81mi |
| 34278 Gooseberry Ave Ocean View, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,900 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 40 Old Orchard Ave #2 Ocean View, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 35059 Dundee St Frankford, DE | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2565 | $2,800 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $6 · $72/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $360,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $360,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $360,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $360,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $360,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $360,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $360,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $360,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $360,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $360,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $360,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $360,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $360,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $360,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $360,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Discover this charming home nestled in the desirable Shadydell Park. Built in 1997, this Class C residence offers a spacious 1,960 sq. ft. of living space on a generous 0.57-acre lot, situated on a peaceful cul-de-sac. The interior features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a well-appointed kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances. The living space flooring has been upgraded with luxury vinyl plank. Spacious bedrooms with walk-in closets. The property boasts a detached garage with space for two vehicles, along with additional driveway parking for six. Shadydell Park is known for its tranquil environment and proximity to local amenities. Residents can enjoy nearby parks, shopping, and dining options, making it an ideal location for those seeking a balanced lifestyle. This property combines comfort, convenience, and a prime location, making it a fantastic opportunity for anyone looking to settle in a welcoming community. Don't miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-03-11status Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Discover this charming home nestled in the desirable Shadydell Park. Built in 1997, this Class C residence offers a spacious 1,960 sq. ft. of living space on a generous 0.57-acre lot, situated on a peaceful cul-de-sac. The interior features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a well-appointed kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances. The living space flooring has been upgraded with luxury vinyl plank. Spacious bedrooms with walk-in closets. The property boasts a detached garage with space for two vehicles, along with additional driveway parking for six. Shadydell Park is known for its tranquil environment and proximity to local amenities. Residents can enjoy nearby parks, shopping, and dining options, making it an ideal location for those seeking a balanced lifestyle. This property combines comfort, convenience, and a prime location, making it a fantastic opportunity for anyone looking to settle in a welcoming community. Don't miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-03-04historical 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Discover this charming home nestled in the desirable Shadydell Park. Built in 1997, this Class C residence offers a spacious 1,960 sq. ft. of living space on a generous 0.57-acre lot, situated on a peaceful cul-de-sac. The interior features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a well-appointed kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances. The living space flooring has been upgraded with luxury vinyl plank. Spacious bedrooms with walk-in closets. The property boasts a detached garage with space for two vehicles, along with additional driveway parking for six. Shadydell Park is known for its tranquil environment and proximity to local amenities. Residents can enjoy nearby parks, shopping, and dining options, making it an ideal location for those seeking a balanced lifestyle. This property combines comfort, convenience, and a prime location, making it a fantastic opportunity for anyone looking to settle in a welcoming community. Don't miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-03-04$385,000 Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Discover this charming home nestled in the desirable Shadydell Park. Built in 1997, this Class C residence offers a spacious 1,960 sq. ft. of living space on a generous 0.57-acre lot, situated on a peaceful cul-de-sac. The interior features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a well-appointed kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances. The living space flooring has been upgraded with luxury vinyl plank. Spacious bedrooms with walk-in closets. The property boasts a detached garage with space for two vehicles, along with additional driveway parking for six. Shadydell Park is known for its tranquil environment and proximity to local amenities. Residents can enjoy nearby parks, shopping, and dining options, making it an ideal location for those seeking a balanced lifestyle. This property combines comfort, convenience, and a prime location, making it a fantastic opportunity for anyone looking to settle in a welcoming community. Don't miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-02-18historical $385,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Discover this charming home nestled in the desirable Shadydell Park. Built in 1997, this Class C residence offers a spacious 1,960 sq. ft. of living space on a generous 0.57-acre lot, situated on a peaceful cul-de-sac. The interior features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, and a well-appointed kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances. The living space flooring has been upgraded with luxury vinyl plank. Spacious bedrooms with walk-in closets. The property boasts a detached garage with space for two vehicles, along with additional driveway parking for six. Shadydell Park is known for its tranquil environment and proximity to local amenities. Residents can enjoy nearby parks, shopping, and dining options, making it an ideal location for those seeking a balanced lifestyle. This property combines comfort, convenience, and a prime location, making it a fantastic opportunity for anyone looking to settle in a welcoming community. Don't miss your chance to make this home your own!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,489 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$599/yr (+$50/mo · 67.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$891
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,229
- − Management
- −$2,229
- − HOA
- −$72
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$9,993
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,398
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,004/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Ocean View
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #8560
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,265
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.41%
- Current HPI
- 286.3503
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $360,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $385,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Coming Soon $385,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $891 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…