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16524 Pierson St
B+ Composite 75.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,000

16524 Pierson St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,290 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 156 Days on market
Built 1931 6,098 sqft lot $73/sqft · 18% below area Est $114k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Classic Detroit 3 bed colonial with 2 car garage. Lots of opportunity here with equity to the upside. If your looking for a house you can live in while working on the finishing touches - this is a contender. Nice bones. Large lot with a 2 car garage. Classic colonial layout with 3 beds, 1 bath and large rooms. 1st floor features large kitchen, dining room, and large living room. 2nd floor features 3 bedrooms and full bath. This property is fully functional and needs your finishing touches. . BATVAD.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1931

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.72%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,376
List price
$94,000
Delta
-17.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16115 Westbrook St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,312 (+2%) 4mo $77,400 $59 78
16871 Pierson St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,242 (-4%) 3mo $130,000 $105 78
16216 Westbrook St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,378 (+7%) 4mo $72,500 $53 73
15751 Vaughan St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,244 (-4%) 2mo $110,000 $88 67
16122 Trinity St 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,152 (-11%) 4mo $169,900 $147 65
16616 Blackstone St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,102 (-15%) 0mo $45,000 $41 62
15836 Patton St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,122 (-13%) 6mo $42,500 $38 61
15435 Fielding St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,432 (+11%) 1mo $58,000 $41 52
15776 Evergreen Rd 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,122 (-13%) 4mo $60,000 $53 50
17216 Chapel St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,367 (+6%) 5mo $170,000 $124 49
17195 Westmoreland Rd 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,469 (+14%) 6mo $226,000 $154 38
15487 Greydale St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,482 (+15%) 6mo $100,000 $67 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$11,584
Equity at exit
$14,016
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
3.64×
Total profit
$69,505
Equity at exit
$8,127

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,422 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax from tax record
$291 /mo · $3,487/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $94,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $354 -5% $328 +0% $301 +5% $274 +10% $248
Rent -10% $189 -5% $245 +0% $301 +5% $357 +10% $413
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $325 base $301 +0.5pp $277 +1.0pp $252

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 45d 1 0.19mi
16565 Blackstone St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1592 $1,575 $0.99 45d 1 0.21mi
15815 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 45d 1 0.48mi
15712 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,400 $1.09 16d 1 0.54mi
17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 12d 1 0.56mi
15340 Braile St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 883 $1,000 $1.13 6d 1 0.59mi
15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,396 $1.55 18d 1 0.64mi
15829 Minock St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 25d 1 0.65mi
15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,400 $1.56 45d 1 0.68mi
17624 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,695 $1.35 45d 1 0.75mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 18d 1 0.79mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 25d 1 0.88mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 18d 1 0.88mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 18d 1 0.91mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 25d 1 0.91mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 6d 1 0.93mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 25d 1 0.93mi
17238 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 45d 1 0.96mi
14828 Heyden St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1562 $1,350 $0.86 19d 1 1.01mi
16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 19d 1 1.02mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 45d 1 1.02mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 18d 1 1.03mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 16d 1 1.03mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 16d 1 1.04mi
21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 45d 1 1.06mi
17328 McIntyre St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 45d 1 1.08mi
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 6d 1 1.09mi
17355 McIntyre St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 45d 1 1.11mi
16757 Greenview Ave Unit 1A Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,500 $0.94 6d 1 1.12mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 4d 1 1.17mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 1.21mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 45d 1 1.22mi
19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 45d 1 1.33mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 18d 1 1.33mi
17654 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1377 $1,350 $0.98 18d 1 1.34mi
22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,100 $1.15 18d 1 1.38mi
14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 918 $1,200 $1.31 45d 1 1.42mi
14177 Bentler St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,000 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    price $94,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-01-04
    listed $110,000 Active 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Classic Detroit 3 bed colonial with 2 car garage. Lots of opportunity here with equity to the upside. If your looking for a house you can live in while working on the finishing touches - this is a contender. Nice bones. Large lot with a 2 car garage. Classic colonial layout with 3 beds, 1 bath and large rooms. 1st floor features large kitchen, dining room, and large living room. 2nd floor features 3 bedrooms and full bath. This property is fully functional and needs your finishing touches. . BATVAD.

  10. 2026-01-04
    listed $110,000 Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Classic Detroit 3 bed colonial with 2 car garage. Lots of opportunity here with equity to the upside. If your looking for a house you can live in while working on the finishing touches - this is a contender. Nice bones. Large lot with a 2 car garage. Classic colonial layout with 3 beds, 1 bath and large rooms. 1st floor features large kitchen, dining room, and large living room. 2nd floor features 3 bedrooms and full bath. This property is fully functional and needs your finishing touches. . BATVAD.

  11. 2007-06-24
    historical
  12. 2007-06-05
    historical
  13. 2007-04-24
    listed $7,900
  14. 2007-04-24
    listed $7,900
  15. 2007-04-24
    listed $7,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,487 · $291/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,487 · $291/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,069
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$3,487
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,365
− Management
−$1,365
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable income
$2,381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$571
After-tax cash flow
$3,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1292.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-06-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-24 Listed $7,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-24 Listed $7,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-24 Listed $7,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+23.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,487 · +32.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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