259 Kings Cir · Frierson, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bed, 2 bath home offering 1,680 sq ft on 1.43 acres in Grand Cane located in the desirable North DeSoto School District. This property features great outdoor storage with a large 2-car carport-storage building plus an additional enclosed shed. Inside, you’ll find no carpet and a comfortable, functional layout with an easy flow from the living room into the kitchen. The kitchen includes an eat-in dining area, breakfast bar, pantry, and a utility room just off the kitchen with direct access to the covered back deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Bedrooms are generously sized, and the primary suite offers a private ensuite bath with separate jetted tub and shower. With plenty o
Key facts
- Pantry
- Utility room
- Eat in dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is acreage (~1.43 acres) — will not subdivide
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (4 covered spaces); Driveway
- Utilities: Aerobic septic; City sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Property is attached
- Construction: Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 2006
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered front porch; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Vented exhaust fan; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (20.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (25.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 43/100 on livability (#458 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Desoto Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #21 of 98 in LA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in De Soto Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- De Soto County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $160k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.24%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $72,836
- Equity at exit
- $144,051
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.04×
- Total profit
- $225,860
- Equity at exit
- $310,651
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71032
- Home prices YoY
- 26.3%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $-225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-114 | -5% $-169 | +0% $-225 | +5% $-280 | +10% $-335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-319 | -5% $-272 | +0% $-225 | +5% $-177 | +10% $-130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-144 | -0.5pp $-184 | base $-225 | +0.5pp $-266 | +1.0pp $-308 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $164,900
-
2026-04-02price $169,900
-
2026-03-08price $175,000
-
2026-03-03price $184,900
-
2026-02-28price $189,900
-
2026-02-27price $184,900
-
2026-02-16$189,900 Active
-
2025-01-03soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,382
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$1,597
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,151
- − Management
- −$1,151
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$5,523
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,325
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200510
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,201
- Composite
- 34.75/100
- National rank
- #5130
- State rank
- #21 of 98 in LA
Livability — Frierson
- Score
- 43/100
- State rank
- #458
- US rank
- #26938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 986
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,298
Population outlook (De Soto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,142 people
- By 2030
- 28,546 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 29,357 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 30,239 · +7.5%
- By 2075
- 33,412 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 35,428 · +25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · De Soto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.5) · D 31.8% · R 67.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -35.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.5 2020: R+24.8 2016: R+21.5 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.72%
- Current HPI
- 253.01
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+174.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $164,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $169,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $184,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $189,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $184,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $189,900 NTREIS
- 2025-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $303 · -39.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…