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20411 Washburn St
C+ Composite 64.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$141,900

20411 Washburn St · Detroit, MI 48221
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,256 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1920 4,792 sqft lot $113/sqft · 6% above area Est $134k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 20411 Washburn St, a charming 1920-built single-family home in the highly desirable University District. This spacious 1.5-story residence boasts 6 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering plenty of room for comfortable living or creative use. Recent updates include a modern kitchen, beautifully refreshed bathrooms, new flooring throughout the home, energy-efficient new windows, and updated plumbing for peace of mind. The home also features a full basement and a convenient 2-car garage. Situated on a 4,792–4,922 sq ft lot in a tree-lined, historic neighborhood, this property combines classic Detroit character with modern comfort. Just minutes from the University of Detroit Mercy, parks, and major thoroughfares, it's an ideal choice for families or savvy buyers looking for turnkey living with strong long-term value.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $981 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 16 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $142k implies a 1957% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $133,386 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.00%
Cash-on-cash
16.82%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,549
List price
$141,900
Delta
6.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20185 Northlawn St 0.41mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,276 (+2%) 14mo $119,000 $93 60
21304 Glen Lodge Rd 0.54mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,166 (-7%) 7mo $122,555 $105 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$13,365
Equity at exit
$21,158
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$61,006
Equity at exit
$12,269

Cash invested: $39,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48221

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,946 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$744
Tax est. 1.5%
$177 /mo · $2,128/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$557

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,241
Max offer price $141,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,475
Closing costs
$4,257
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $141,900 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $141,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $141,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $141,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $141,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    price $141,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-04-15
    listed $149,900 Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to 20411 Washburn St, a charming 1920-built single-family home in the highly desirable University District. This spacious 1.5-story residence boasts 6 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering plenty of room for comfortable living or creative use. Recent updates include a modern kitchen, beautifully refreshed bathrooms, new flooring throughout the home, energy-efficient new windows, and updated plumbing for peace of mind. The home also features a full basement and a convenient 2-car garage. Situated on a 4,792–4,922 sq ft lot in a tree-lined, historic neighborhood, this property combines classic Detroit character with modern comfort. Just minutes from the University of Detroit Mercy, parks, and major thoroughfares, it’s an ideal choice for families or savvy buyers looking for turnkey living with strong long-term value.

  16. 2026-04-15
    listed $149,900 Active 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to 20411 Washburn St, a charming 1920-built single-family home in the highly desirable University District. This spacious 1.5-story residence boasts 6 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering plenty of room for comfortable living or creative use. Recent updates include a modern kitchen, beautifully refreshed bathrooms, new flooring throughout the home, energy-efficient new windows, and updated plumbing for peace of mind. The home also features a full basement and a convenient 2-car garage. Situated on a 4,792–4,922 sq ft lot in a tree-lined, historic neighborhood, this property combines classic Detroit character with modern comfort. Just minutes from the University of Detroit Mercy, parks, and major thoroughfares, it’s an ideal choice for families or savvy buyers looking for turnkey living with strong long-term value.

  17. 2026-04-11
    historical $149,900 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Welcome to 20411 Washburn St, a charming 1920-built single-family home in the highly desirable University District. This spacious 1.5-story residence boasts 6 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering plenty of room for comfortable living or creative use. Recent updates include a modern kitchen, beautifully refreshed bathrooms, new flooring throughout the home, energy-efficient new windows, and updated plumbing for peace of mind. The home also features a full basement and a convenient 2-car garage. Situated on a 4,792–4,922 sq ft lot in a tree-lined, historic neighborhood, this property combines classic Detroit character with modern comfort. Just minutes from the University of Detroit Mercy, parks, and major thoroughfares, it's an ideal choice for families or savvy buyers looking for turnkey living with strong long-term value.

  18. 2008-08-30
    soldstatus $6,900
  19. 2008-06-19
    listed $6,900
  20. 2006-11-10
    soldstatus $104,400
  21. 2006-02-15
    soldstatus $13,650
  22. 2005-10-03
    listed $34,900
  23. 2005-09-27
    historical
  24. 2005-05-12
    listed $49,900
  25. 2005-05-11
    historical
  26. 2005-02-17
    listed $59,900
  27. 2005-02-16
    historical
  28. 2005-01-25
    listed $64,900
  29. 2005-01-20
    historical
  30. 2005-01-04
    historical
  31. 2004-12-28
    listed $64,900
  32. 2004-12-13
    historical
  33. 2004-12-13
    historical
  34. 2004-12-13
    historical
  35. 2004-12-13
    historical
  36. 2004-11-09
    listed $64,900
  37. 2004-09-21
    listed $69,900
  38. 2004-09-21
    listed $69,900
  39. 2004-09-21
    historical
  40. 2004-09-16
    listed $74,900
  41. 2004-09-16
    listed $74,900
  42. 2004-09-16
    historical
  43. 2004-08-13
    listed $79,900
  44. 2004-08-13
    listed $79,900
  45. 2000-05-26
    soldstatus $49,000
  46. 2000-05-26
    soldstatus $39,000
  47. 1999-02-28
    historical
  48. 1998-08-28
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,354
− Mortgage interest
−$7,949
− Property taxes
−$2,128
− Insurance
−$710
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,868
− Management
−$1,868
− Depreciation
−$4,128
Taxable income
$4,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,129
After-tax cash flow
$5,553/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,392
Household income
$57,878
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -433.14%
Current HPI
280.5434
Rent YoY
▲ 3.44%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.4% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-11 Coming Soon $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-08-30 Sold (MLS) $6,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-06-19 Listed $6,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $104,400 Public Records
  • 2006-02-15 Sold (MLS) $13,650 REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-03 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-05-12 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-05-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-17 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-01-25 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-01-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-01-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-12-28 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-09 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-09-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-09-21 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-09-21 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-09-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-09-16 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-09-16 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-08-13 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-08-13 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2000-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 2000-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1999-02-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1998-08-28 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $130 · -50.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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