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1129 Haley Ave
C+ Composite 62.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1129 Haley Ave · Cool Valley, MO 63121
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,570 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1955 7,501 sqft lot $76/sqft · 11% above area Est $111k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a "SHORT SALE" PROPERTY SOLD, AS, IS, ALL INSPECTIONS ARE FOR BUYER INFORMATION ONLY, NOT FOR NEGOTIATING PRICE. This spacious home was build for someone that has no interest in walking down into a basement. All 1570 sq. ft. is on the main level. As you enter into the house the living room is present with a wood burning fire place that occupied the corner wall that leads to the hallway that divides the bedrooms. The kitchen and dinning room is right off the family room with another wood burning fire place, which takes you thru 2 double doors to the fenced in back yard with 2 storage sheds. The laundry room and another bedroom is right off the kitchen and the master bedroom has a half bath. For all of you that couldn't make the "OPEN HOUSE" held Sunday,August 24, MISSED IT. The owners painted, cleaned carpets and fixed up the whole house. The before and after looks totally amazing. Come See for yourselves. SpecialListingConditions: Short Sale

Key facts

  • Convenient access
  • Natural light
  • Outdoor space

Tags

SINGLE-FAMILY RESIDENCEWELL-ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODNATURAL LIGHTAMPLE STORAGECONVENIENT ACCESSOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No pool; Home warranty not included
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other)
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; House; Above-grade finished living area approximately 1,614 (public records)
  • Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; No patio or porch listed; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Kitchen/dining room combo; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#116 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 23 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $93k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.51%
Cash-on-cash
15.07%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,264
List price
$119,900
Delta
7.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6009 Bermuda Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,575 (+0%) 1mo $110,000 $70 82
1207 Weleba Ave 0.08mi 4/1.5 1,424 (-9%) 18mo $129,900 $91 66
107 Woodstock Rd 0.09mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,446 (-8%) 13mo $57,500 $40 62
5909 Annex Ct 0.28mi 4/1.0 1,785 (+14%) 0mo $169,900 $95 62
1312 Willingham Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (-11%) 0mo $135,000 $96 59
6202 Dupree Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-0%) 15mo $115,000 $73 53
811 Elliott Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,660 (+6%) 14mo $139,900 $84 50
424 S Clark Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,596 (+2%) 12mo $149,900 $94 49
425 S Clark Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,734 (+10%) 2mo $190,000 $110 45
7827 Skyview dr Dr 0.49mi 4/3.0 1,374 (-12%) 11mo $199,500 $145 41
335 St Louis Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (-7%) 12mo $155,000 $106 39
709 Wiegel Dr 0.65mi 4/3.0 1,792 (+14%) 11mo $79,900 $45 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$10,924
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$59,102
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63121

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,537 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,004
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
846 Elsworth Pl Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,600 $1.18 4d 1 0.30mi
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,425 $1.11 2d 1 0.54mi
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,500 $1.17 14d 1 0.54mi
7808 Winward Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1434 $1,425 $0.99 22d 1 0.57mi
338 Saint Louis Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 0.75mi
265 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,350 $1.09 43d 1 0.93mi
299 Dashwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1920 $1,575 $0.82 23d 1 0.98mi
406 Tiffin Ave Ferguson, MO 4.0 1.0 1888 $1,525 $0.81 43d 1 1.00mi
945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,575 $1.42 43d 1 1.13mi
1006 Highmont Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1920 $1,550 $0.81 43d 1 1.16mi
324 Emmett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,650 $1.22 23d 1 1.21mi
13 N Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,400 $1.23 10d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $124,900 Active 1279-char remark
  16. 2021-11-02
    soldstatus $93,000
  17. 2021-05-05
    soldstatus $45,000
  18. 2015-05-20
    soldstatus $30,000
  19. 2015-05-18
    soldstatus Closed 985-char remark
    Show marketing remark (985 chars)

    This is a "SHORT SALE" PROPERTY SOLD, AS, IS, ALL INSPECTIONS ARE FOR BUYER INFORMATION ONLY, NOT FOR NEGOTIATING PRICE. This spacious home was build for someone that has no interest in walking down into a basement. All 1570 sq. ft. is on the main level. As you enter into the house the living room is present with a wood burning fire place that occupied the corner wall that leads to the hallway that divides the bedrooms. The kitchen and dinning room is right off the family room with another wood burning fire place, which takes you thru 2 double doors to the fenced in back yard with 2 storage sheds. The laundry room and another bedroom is right off the kitchen and the master bedroom has a half bath. For all of you that couldn't make the "OPEN HOUSE" held Sunday,August 24, MISSED IT. The owners painted, cleaned carpets and fixed up the whole house. The before and after looks totally amazing. Come See for yourselves. SpecialListingConditions: Short Sale

  20. 2015-04-14
    historical 985-char remark
    Show marketing remark (985 chars)

    This is a "SHORT SALE" PROPERTY SOLD, AS, IS, ALL INSPECTIONS ARE FOR BUYER INFORMATION ONLY, NOT FOR NEGOTIATING PRICE. This spacious home was build for someone that has no interest in walking down into a basement. All 1570 sq. ft. is on the main level. As you enter into the house the living room is present with a wood burning fire place that occupied the corner wall that leads to the hallway that divides the bedrooms. The kitchen and dinning room is right off the family room with another wood burning fire place, which takes you thru 2 double doors to the fenced in back yard with 2 storage sheds. The laundry room and another bedroom is right off the kitchen and the master bedroom has a half bath. For all of you that couldn't make the "OPEN HOUSE" held Sunday,August 24, MISSED IT. The owners painted, cleaned carpets and fixed up the whole house. The before and after looks totally amazing. Come See for yourselves. SpecialListingConditions: Short Sale

  21. 2015-03-11
    listed $30,000 Active 985-char remark
    Show marketing remark (985 chars)

    This is a "SHORT SALE" PROPERTY SOLD, AS, IS, ALL INSPECTIONS ARE FOR BUYER INFORMATION ONLY, NOT FOR NEGOTIATING PRICE. This spacious home was build for someone that has no interest in walking down into a basement. All 1570 sq. ft. is on the main level. As you enter into the house the living room is present with a wood burning fire place that occupied the corner wall that leads to the hallway that divides the bedrooms. The kitchen and dinning room is right off the family room with another wood burning fire place, which takes you thru 2 double doors to the fenced in back yard with 2 storage sheds. The laundry room and another bedroom is right off the kitchen and the master bedroom has a half bath. For all of you that couldn't make the "OPEN HOUSE" held Sunday,August 24, MISSED IT. The owners painted, cleaned carpets and fixed up the whole house. The before and after looks totally amazing. Come See for yourselves. SpecialListingConditions: Short Sale

  22. 2006-03-02
    soldstatus $99,900
  23. 2005-10-21
    soldstatus $42,000
  24. 1994-07-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,448
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,369
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,476
− Management
−$1,476
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$3,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$798
After-tax cash flow
$4,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cool Valley

Score
71/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#7242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cool Valley, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
25,008
Household income
$42,701
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
1611.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 14% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.84%
Current HPI
100.4494
Rent YoY
▲ 5.21%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2015-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2015-05-18 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-14 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-11 Listed $30,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
  • 2005-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 1994-07-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,369 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…