🏷️ Likely Rental
1525 Landau Rd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TAKING BACK UP OFFERS...This charming key pad gated community you will just love, Walking distance from Wal-Mart, Less then 10 minutes from target , Corian counters, Newly interior painted, Brand new carpet, Oversize attached garage, It's a must see.
Key facts
- Garage
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Home design: Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.04 acres; Directions: From I-295, take Exit 46, head east on Merrill Rd, then turn onto Landau Rd and continue to the property.
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: PUD zoning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 335.4% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 35.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 335.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1175.27%
- DSCR
- 53.29
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $311,880
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2584 Sunrise Ridge Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+3%) | 22mo | $335,000 | $235 | 52 |
| 2415 Mill Creek Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,329 (-4%) | 9mo | $224,000 | $169 | 50 |
| 9217 Gilmore Grove Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+12%) | 10mo | $365,000 | $236 | 49 |
| 2416 Mill Creek Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (-0%) | 23mo | $264,250 | $192 | 43 |
| 1409 Tripper Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+12%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $213 | 41 |
| 1598 Mathews Manor Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+12%) | 14mo | $350,000 | $226 | 40 |
| 9079 Westwick Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+12%) | 23mo | $380,000 | $245 | 33 |
| 1759 Mill Creek Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+11%) | 23mo | $250,000 | $164 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 59.09×
- Total profit
- $81,331
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 117.59×
- Total profit
- $163,229
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32225
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,779 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $1,371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,375 | -5% $1,373 | +0% $1,371 | +5% $1,369 | +10% $1,368 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,231 | -5% $1,301 | +0% $1,371 | +5% $1,441 | +10% $1,512 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,374 | -0.5pp $1,372 | base $1,371 | +0.5pp $1,370 | +1.0pp $1,369 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1573 Landau Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1521 Fieldview Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1072 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1496 Fieldview Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 8d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1458 Landau Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1076 | $1,465 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1468 Pitney Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1076 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 8d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1290 Kendall Town Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,028 | $2.02 | 2d | 34 | 0.19mi |
| 1141 Kendall Town Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1137 | $1,989 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9105 Tredinick Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1018 | $2,200 | $2.16 | 2d | 26 | 0.41mi |
| 1715 Garden Grove Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1717 | $1,950 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1715 Garden Grove Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $1,950 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2843 Black Buck Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1301 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7920 Merrill Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 2d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 7920 Merrill Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 18d | 5 | 0.80mi |
| 7920 Merrill Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 8d | 4 | 0.80mi |
| 1462 Solera Ter Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1096 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 653 Monument Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $1,924 | $1.96 | 2d | 19 | 0.85mi |
| 8230 Dames Point Crossing Blvd N #1103 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1566 Quante Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,674 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1566 Quante Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,674 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1114 Romaine Cir W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1392 | $1,575 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7925 Merrill Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 2d | 46 | 0.97mi |
| 1385 Brookwood Forest Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,480 | $1.79 | 2d | 37 | 1.04mi |
| 10178 Geni Hill Cir N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,850 | $1.60 | 8d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 401 Monument Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $1,600 | $2.12 | 11d | 8 | 1.13mi |
| 881 Jackson Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,960 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7656 Arble Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1192 | $1,490 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9059 Kipper Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7716 Monetta Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,716 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7720 Lauderdale Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $1,906 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1120 Creeks Ridge Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $2,090 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8543 Fort Caroline Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,800 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 10120 Pontiac Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,775 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1132 Brookwood Bluff Rd E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 396 Regency Wood Dr #17 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,010 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 909 Arlingwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7537 Dalehurst Dr S Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,524 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7609 Tacony Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,450 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 7609 Tacony Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,450 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3683 Hartsfield Forest Cir Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1716 | $1,700 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1600 Lansdowne Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,049 | $1.23 | 4d | 12 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-20$5,000 Active
-
2023-11-17soldstatus $251,000 Closed 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
TAKING BACK UP OFFERS...This charming key pad gated community you will just love, Walking distance from Wal-Mart, Less then 10 minutes from target , Corian counters, Newly interior painted, Brand new carpet, Oversize attached garage, It's a must see.
-
2023-10-21status Pending 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
TAKING BACK UP OFFERS...This charming key pad gated community you will just love, Walking distance from Wal-Mart, Less then 10 minutes from target , Corian counters, Newly interior painted, Brand new carpet, Oversize attached garage, It's a must see.
-
2023-10-03$245,000 Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
TAKING BACK UP OFFERS...This charming key pad gated community you will just love, Walking distance from Wal-Mart, Less then 10 minutes from target , Corian counters, Newly interior painted, Brand new carpet, Oversize attached garage, It's a must see.
-
2023-09-11historical 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Find yourself right at home with this cozy townhome. This is located just minutes to the Beaches, Town center, and Downtown. Truly a must see. ( Carpet allowance will be issued also).
-
2023-08-16price $245,000 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Find yourself right at home with this cozy townhome. This is located just minutes to the Beaches, Town center, and Downtown. Truly a must see. ( Carpet allowance will be issued also).
-
2023-07-25$255,000 Active 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Find yourself right at home with this cozy townhome. This is located just minutes to the Beaches, Town center, and Downtown. Truly a must see. ( Carpet allowance will be issued also).
-
2008-12-29soldstatus $102,000
-
2008-12-19soldstatus $102,000
-
2008-05-01$115,000
-
2007-09-13historical
-
2006-11-13$218,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,708
- − Management
- −$1,708
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $17,411
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,179
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,905
- Household income
- $90,559
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1670.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 14% Black 14% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.73%
- Current HPI
- 307.1292
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.45%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-97.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
- 2023-11-17 Sold (MLS) $251,000 realMLS
- 2023-10-21 Pending — realMLS
- 2023-10-03 Listed $245,000 realMLS
- 2023-09-11 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2023-08-16 Price Changed $245,000 realMLS
- 2023-07-25 Listed $255,000 realMLS
- 2008-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2008-12-19 Sold (MLS) $102,000 realMLS
- 2008-05-01 Listed $115,000 realMLS
- 2007-09-13 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2006-11-13 Listed $218,900 realMLS
Property tax history
+16.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,947 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…