1002 W Bloodworth · Olney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a cute two bedroom one bath home with a large family room. It can be turned back into a three bedroom home. Large fenced back yard with covered patio and good cellar. Call or text for a showing!
Key facts
- 9,985 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1970
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Municipal utility district: No
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); One covered parking space
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Built in 1970
- Construction: Year built: 1970
- Exterior features: Curb improvements; Lot under 0.5 acre (about 0.23 acre); Subdivision: Shamburger; Directions: Turn north off of Main St. on to Ave. M. Go four blocks to Bloodworth and turn left. House is on the right.
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (12 x 12)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Two total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#557 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Olney ISD (town): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #150 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Olney El (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 363 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 53% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Olney ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Young County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Young County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.11%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,558
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 9.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 N Grand Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,011 (+5%) | 13mo | $89,900 | $89 | 46 |
| 601 N Ave. E | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-15%) | 4mo | $32,000 | $39 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,426
- Equity at exit
- $16,300
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $21,660
- Equity at exit
- $13,731
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76374
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $249 | -5% $225 | +0% $201 | +5% $177 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $122 | -5% $161 | +0% $201 | +5% $240 | +10% $280 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $243 | -0.5pp $222 | base $201 | +0.5pp $179 | +1.0pp $156 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-05$85,000 Active 202-char remark
-
2004-09-07soldstatus
-
2000-07-10soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,298 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,556 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$258/yr (+$21/mo · 19.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,998
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,298
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,122
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$269
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,138/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833630
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,813
- Composite
- 44.09/100
- National rank
- #2874
- State rank
- #150 of 826 in TX
Livability — Olney
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #557
- US rank
- #10736
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Olney, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,915
Population outlook (Young County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,860 people
- By 2030
- 17,620 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 17,054 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 16,551 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 15,667 · -12.3%
- By 2100
- 14,066 · -21.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Young
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+76.2) · D 11.6% · R 87.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: -63.5pp · 2024: -76.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+76.2 2020: R+73.8 2016: R+74.6 2012: R+71.5 2008: R+63.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.05%
- Current HPI
- 197.3031
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $85,000 NTREIS
- 2004-09-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-07-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,298 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…