14138 W Caballero Dr · Sun City West, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ideally situated within Sun City West, AZ's 2nd largest active adult retirement community, with 7 golf courses, 20-acre lake, Sundome Center for Performing Arts + 4 recreation centers comprising 1st-class amenities, this absolutely immaculate, meticulously maintained and tastefully updated retreat offers 9'+ ceilings, clerestory windows and 18'' diagonal tile complementing a flowing floor with open, spacious feel. Owner upgrades: Granite kitchen counter tops with glass backsplash, full appliance replacement, cabinet repainting, onyx guest bath sink, great room carpet, ceiling fans, lighting, remote-controlled shades. Private entertainer's backyard, backdrop to gracefully curved extended patio accented by custom stucco knee wall, completes your perfect retirement refuge! *SEE SUPPLEMENT!* All furniture available by separate bill of sale outside of escrow. Attached TV's and backyard furniture, pots, chiminea and fountain to be included with sale. Backyard sprinkler system pipes in existence; however, the system is not currently operable. To clarify, the Mirage HOA fee exterior maintenance coverage includes painting of all homes are every 7 years, front yard maintenance, front yard water (not house or backyard), monthly pest control (front yard only), garbage collection, basic cable and Internet. The Rec Center fee is $540 annually PER PERSON, not per household.
Key facts
- 4,514 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot features include a 4,514 sq. ft. lot (assessor) and lot information from assessor
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $180; Association includes cable TV, grounds maintenance, front yard maintenance, trash, and water; Association rules prohibit visible trucks, trailers, RVs, and boats; Community amenities include pool, golf, pickleball, tennis courts, biking/walking paths, and fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2-car garage with garage door opener and attached garage cabinets
- Utilities: Public sewer; Private water company
- Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stucco and painted wood frame construction; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Sprinklers front and rear with automatic timers; Gravel/stone front and back yard; Block fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Gas stub for range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (possible)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Granite counters; Double vanity; 9+ foot flat ceilings; Furnished (see remarks); No interior steps; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Dual-pane windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $359k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-306/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $354k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $297k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.1% in Sun City West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#106 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Dysart Unified District (4243) (suburban): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,967/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 691% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.30%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $324,786
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14138 W Caballero Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,254 (0%) | 0mo | $359,000 | $286 | 100 |
| 14207 W Gunsight Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,238 (-1%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $279 | 90 |
| 14032 W Rico Dr | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,254 (0%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $259 | 85 |
| 22510 N Mirage Ln N | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,336 (+6%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $247 | 82 |
| 14326 W Domingo Ln | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,271 (+1%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $260 | 78 |
| 14229 W Territorial Ln | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,102 (-12%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $349 | 70 |
| 14319 W Pecos Ln | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,366 (+9%) | 1mo | $308,560 | $226 | 69 |
| 14529 W Corral Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,336 (+6%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $206 | 65 |
| 14520 W Las Brizas Ln | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,336 (+6%) | 2mo | $324,000 | $243 | 63 |
| 13836 W Via Tercero -- | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,371 (+9%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $259 | 62 |
| 14034 W Black Gold Ln | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,366 (+9%) | 3mo | $349,900 | $256 | 60 |
| 22900 N Cherokee Ln | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,376 (+10%) | 0mo | $448,800 | $326 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-47,307
- Equity at exit
- $53,528
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $12,432
- Equity at exit
- $31,040
Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85375
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,967 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,883
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$180
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$623
- Net cashflow
- $-26
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,750
- Closing costs
- $10,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22520 N Via de la Caballa Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $3,400 | $2.36 | 16d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 14113 W Robertson Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1410 | $3,800 | $2.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 14234 W Via Tercero Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1653 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 13758 W Sola Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1351 | $3,950 | $2.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 13714 W Caballero Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $2,800 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 13755 W Nogales Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1660 | $4,500 | $2.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14608 W Horizon Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 14759 W Gunsight Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,599 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14759 W Gunsight Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,699 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 22212 N Cheyenne Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1669 | $3,500 | $2.10 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 13452 W El Sueno Ct Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 22816 N Las Positas Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $4,500 | $3.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 21601 N 147th Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,695 | $2.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 13428 W El Sueno Ct Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,850 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14668 W Soft Wind Dr Surprise, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $1,995 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 15136 W Corral Dr Sun City West, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 15138 W Las Brizas Ln Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,895 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 20813 N 147th Dr Sun City West, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1733 | $4,500 | $2.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 24750 N 145th Ave Surprise, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $2,099 | $2.56 | 1d | 54 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $180 · $2,160/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashinternetcableexterior maint.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-05$359,000 Active
-
2024-01-24soldstatus $343,500 Closed 1382-char remark
Show marketing remark (1382 chars)
Ideally situated within Sun City West, AZ's 2nd largest active adult retirement community, with 7 golf courses, 20-acre lake, Sundome Center for Performing Arts + 4 recreation centers comprising 1st-class amenities, this absolutely immaculate, meticulously maintained and tastefully updated retreat offers 9'+ ceilings, clerestory windows and 18'' diagonal tile complementing a flowing floor with open, spacious feel. Owner upgrades: Granite kitchen counter tops with glass backsplash, full appliance replacement, cabinet repainting, onyx guest bath sink, great room carpet, ceiling fans, lighting, remote-controlled shades. Private entertainer's backyard, backdrop to gracefully curved extended patio accented by custom stucco knee wall, completes your perfect retirement refuge! *SEE SUPPLEMENT!* All furniture available by separate bill of sale outside of escrow. Attached TV's and backyard furniture, pots, chiminea and fountain to be included with sale. Backyard sprinkler system pipes in existence; however, the system is not currently operable. To clarify, the Mirage HOA fee exterior maintenance coverage includes painting of all homes are every 7 years, front yard maintenance, front yard water (not house or backyard), monthly pest control (front yard only), garbage collection, basic cable and Internet. The Rec Center fee is $540 annually PER PERSON, not per household.
-
2024-01-24soldstatus $343,500
Show marketing remark (1382 chars)
Ideally situated within Sun City West, AZ's 2nd largest active adult retirement community, with 7 golf courses, 20-acre lake, Sundome Center for Performing Arts + 4 recreation centers comprising 1st-class amenities, this absolutely immaculate, meticulously maintained and tastefully updated retreat offers 9'+ ceilings, clerestory windows and 18'' diagonal tile complementing a flowing floor with open, spacious feel. Owner upgrades: Granite kitchen counter tops with glass backsplash, full appliance replacement, cabinet repainting, onyx guest bath sink, great room carpet, ceiling fans, lighting, remote-controlled shades. Private entertainer's backyard, backdrop to gracefully curved extended patio accented by custom stucco knee wall, completes your perfect retirement refuge! *SEE SUPPLEMENT!* All furniture available by separate bill of sale outside of escrow. Attached TV's and backyard furniture, pots, chiminea and fountain to be included with sale. Backyard sprinkler system pipes in existence; however, the system is not currently operable. To clarify, the Mirage HOA fee exterior maintenance coverage includes painting of all homes are every 7 years, front yard maintenance, front yard water (not house or backyard), monthly pest control (front yard only), garbage collection, basic cable and Internet. The Rec Center fee is $540 annually PER PERSON, not per household.
-
2024-01-11status Pending 1382-char remark
Show marketing remark (1382 chars)
Ideally situated within Sun City West, AZ's 2nd largest active adult retirement community, with 7 golf courses, 20-acre lake, Sundome Center for Performing Arts + 4 recreation centers comprising 1st-class amenities, this absolutely immaculate, meticulously maintained and tastefully updated retreat offers 9'+ ceilings, clerestory windows and 18'' diagonal tile complementing a flowing floor with open, spacious feel. Owner upgrades: Granite kitchen counter tops with glass backsplash, full appliance replacement, cabinet repainting, onyx guest bath sink, great room carpet, ceiling fans, lighting, remote-controlled shades. Private entertainer's backyard, backdrop to gracefully curved extended patio accented by custom stucco knee wall, completes your perfect retirement refuge! *SEE SUPPLEMENT!* All furniture available by separate bill of sale outside of escrow. Attached TV's and backyard furniture, pots, chiminea and fountain to be included with sale. Backyard sprinkler system pipes in existence; however, the system is not currently operable. To clarify, the Mirage HOA fee exterior maintenance coverage includes painting of all homes are every 7 years, front yard maintenance, front yard water (not house or backyard), monthly pest control (front yard only), garbage collection, basic cable and Internet. The Rec Center fee is $540 annually PER PERSON, not per household.
-
2024-01-07$350,000 Active 1382-char remark
Show marketing remark (1382 chars)
Ideally situated within Sun City West, AZ's 2nd largest active adult retirement community, with 7 golf courses, 20-acre lake, Sundome Center for Performing Arts + 4 recreation centers comprising 1st-class amenities, this absolutely immaculate, meticulously maintained and tastefully updated retreat offers 9'+ ceilings, clerestory windows and 18'' diagonal tile complementing a flowing floor with open, spacious feel. Owner upgrades: Granite kitchen counter tops with glass backsplash, full appliance replacement, cabinet repainting, onyx guest bath sink, great room carpet, ceiling fans, lighting, remote-controlled shades. Private entertainer's backyard, backdrop to gracefully curved extended patio accented by custom stucco knee wall, completes your perfect retirement refuge! *SEE SUPPLEMENT!* All furniture available by separate bill of sale outside of escrow. Attached TV's and backyard furniture, pots, chiminea and fountain to be included with sale. Backyard sprinkler system pipes in existence; however, the system is not currently operable. To clarify, the Mirage HOA fee exterior maintenance coverage includes painting of all homes are every 7 years, front yard maintenance, front yard water (not house or backyard), monthly pest control (front yard only), garbage collection, basic cable and Internet. The Rec Center fee is $540 annually PER PERSON, not per household.
-
2010-11-10soldstatus $135,000 Closed 648-char remark
Show marketing remark (648 chars)
Beautifully presented, light and bright, spotlessly clean, meticulously maintained cheery home. This very well could be your 'Dream Come True' with 18'' diagonal neutral tile in all the right places replaced '05, neutral carpet replaced '05, 3 ceiling fans, wood blinds throughout, new disposal '10, large bay window in master bedroom, dual sinks in master bath, new front load washer and dryer '08. The private walled backyard is only a backdrop to the gracefully curved extended patio accented by a custom stucco entertainment knee wall. Exterior will be painted by HOA fall '10. Furniture available outside of escrow- please see list in home.
-
2010-11-10soldstatus $135,000
Show marketing remark (648 chars)
Beautifully presented, light and bright, spotlessly clean, meticulously maintained cheery home. This very well could be your 'Dream Come True' with 18'' diagonal neutral tile in all the right places replaced '05, neutral carpet replaced '05, 3 ceiling fans, wood blinds throughout, new disposal '10, large bay window in master bedroom, dual sinks in master bath, new front load washer and dryer '08. The private walled backyard is only a backdrop to the gracefully curved extended patio accented by a custom stucco entertainment knee wall. Exterior will be painted by HOA fall '10. Furniture available outside of escrow- please see list in home.
-
2010-10-08status Pending 648-char remark
Show marketing remark (648 chars)
Beautifully presented, light and bright, spotlessly clean, meticulously maintained cheery home. This very well could be your 'Dream Come True' with 18'' diagonal neutral tile in all the right places replaced '05, neutral carpet replaced '05, 3 ceiling fans, wood blinds throughout, new disposal '10, large bay window in master bedroom, dual sinks in master bath, new front load washer and dryer '08. The private walled backyard is only a backdrop to the gracefully curved extended patio accented by a custom stucco entertainment knee wall. Exterior will be painted by HOA fall '10. Furniture available outside of escrow- please see list in home.
-
2010-08-10$139,900 Active 648-char remark
Show marketing remark (648 chars)
Beautifully presented, light and bright, spotlessly clean, meticulously maintained cheery home. This very well could be your 'Dream Come True' with 18'' diagonal neutral tile in all the right places replaced '05, neutral carpet replaced '05, 3 ceiling fans, wood blinds throughout, new disposal '10, large bay window in master bedroom, dual sinks in master bath, new front load washer and dryer '08. The private walled backyard is only a backdrop to the gracefully curved extended patio accented by a custom stucco entertainment knee wall. Exterior will be painted by HOA fall '10. Furniture available outside of escrow- please see list in home.
-
2008-11-13historical
-
2008-09-16$206,000
-
2004-11-18soldstatus $120,000
-
1997-04-01soldstatus $115,000
-
1995-01-05soldstatus $95,842
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,885 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,369 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 25.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,601
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,110
- − Property taxes
- −$1,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,848
- − Management
- −$2,848
- − HOA
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$10,444
- Taxable loss
- −$6,488
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,557
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dysart Unified District (4243)
- NCES district ID
- 0402690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,033
- Composite
- 32.76/100
- National rank
- #5634
- State rank
- #73 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Sun City West
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #14878
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sun City West, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 27,680
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,680
- Household income
- $63,928
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 691.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.20%
- Current HPI
- 239.3422
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+274.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $359,000 ARMLS
- 2024-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $343,500 Public Records
- 2024-01-24 Sold (MLS) $343,500 ARMLS
- 2024-01-11 Pending — ARMLS
- 2024-01-07 Listed $350,000 ARMLS
- 2010-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2010-11-10 Sold (MLS) $135,000 ARMLS
- 2010-10-08 Pending — ARMLS
- 2010-08-10 Listed $139,900 ARMLS
- 2008-11-13 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2008-09-16 Listed $206,000 ARMLS
- 2004-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1997-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1995-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $95,842 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,885 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…