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121 Tacoma Ave Duplex
C- Composite 53.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

121 Tacoma Ave · Buffalo, NY 14216
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,736 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1927 3,850 sqft lot Est $356k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Not your average North Buffalo home. Modern floor plan with large open rooms and decorating flair. Upper unit with front and rear porches. Lower unit has two tier wrap around deck off of master bedroom. Updated kitchens , bathrooms and beautiful flooring completes this two unit money maker or home.

Key facts

  • Roof replacement
  • Fully rented
  • Major updates

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYFULLY RENTEDMAJOR UPDATESROOF REPLACEMENTFULL WALK-UP ATTICABUNDANT STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit building with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Operating expense details: see remarks
  • Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, snow removal, trash collection, and water; Rent may include gardener, snow removal, trash collection, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking with two or more spaces
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: 2-story building; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Composite siding; Insulated attic/crawl hatchway(s); Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Fully fenced yard; Near public transit; Rectangular lot; Residential neighborhood; City street and main thoroughfare frontage

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Sliding glass doors; Sliding doors
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $248/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $323k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $323k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,234/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1831% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $164k; list at $350k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $323,400 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.08%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$355,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 Tacoma Ave 0.02mi 6/2.0 2,808 (+3%) 3mo $330,000 $118 92
24 Lovering Ave 0.31mi 6/2.0 2,716 (-1%) 4mo $340,000 $125 81
190 Commonwealth Ave 0.32mi 6/2.0 2,672 (-2%) 4mo $310,000 $116 78
1164 Hertel Ave 0.28mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,702 (-1%) 2mo $420,000 $155 74
12 Lovering Ave 0.32mi 6/2.0 2,876 (+5%) 5mo $294,000 $102 72
310 Colvin Ave 0.47mi 6/2.0 2,829 (+3%) 0mo $367,000 $130 72
415 Colvin Ave 0.49mi 6/2.0 2,738 (+0%) 8mo $360,000 $131 71
246 Crestwood Ave 0.38mi 6/3.0 2,665 (-3%) 7mo $430,000 $161 68
84 W Hazeltine Ave 0.59mi 6/2.0 2,736 (0%) 6mo $245,522 $90 68
292 Hartwell Rd 0.19mi 6/2.0 2,446 (-11%) 7mo $355,000 $145 68
162 N Park Ave 0.63mi 6/2.0 2,876 (+5%) 7mo $407,500 $142 56
64 Delham Ave 0.68mi 6/2.0 3,068 (+12%) 1mo $375,000 $122 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-23,134
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$28,707
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14216

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
18.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,234 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $935/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$679
Net cashflow
$496

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,606
Max offer price $349,900
Occupancy floor 80%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $349,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $349,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $349,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $349,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $349,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $349,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $349,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $349,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$935 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,424 · $285/mo
Expected delta
+$2,489/yr (+$207/mo · 266.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,808
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$935
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,105
− Management
−$3,105
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable income
$136
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$33
After-tax cash flow
$5,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,849
Household income
$69,629
Rent vs Own
54.4% rent · 45.6% own
Severe rent burden
1831.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -264.53%
Current HPI
421.1138
Rent YoY
▲ 3.65%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+483.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $349,900 WNYREIS
  • 2012-08-31 Sold (MLS) $163,770 WNYREIS
  • 2012-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $163,770 Public Records
  • 2012-06-30 Listed $164,000 WNYREIS
  • 2007-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $128,750 Public Records
  • 2000-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1997-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $935 · -13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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