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3822 S 189th St
D Composite 42.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$410,000

3822 S 189th St · Omaha, NE 68130
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,608 sqft · Other public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2005 9,148 sqft lot $13/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 4-bathroom home perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot! From the moment you arrive, you’ll notice the pride of ownership throughout — from the meticulously maintained lawn and landscaping to the spotless interior that has been professionally cleaned twice per month. Inside, you’ll find a spacious and functional layout with room for everyone, featuring generous living spaces, abundant natural light, and a seamless flow perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The 2-car garage provides convenience and extra storage, while the curb appeal truly sets this home apart. This home has been exceptionally cared f

Key facts

  • 9,148 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2005

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $150

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 built-in, covered parking spaces (2 total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Not new / not a model
  • Construction: Built in 2005; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Corner lot; Lot up to 1/4 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on 2nd floor; Additional bedrooms on 2nd floor; one bedroom in the basement
  • Bathrooms: Four total bathrooms (2 full, 1 half, 1 quarter); At least one bathroom on the main level and additional bathrooms on upper and below-grade levels
  • Interior features: Finished basement; No fireplaces; Range, Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $410k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $392k (4.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $348k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Rohwer Elementary School (math 67% / reading 73%, grade A-, #38 of 502 statewide, top 7%, 463 students, 18% FRL); Russell Middle School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #15 of 128 statewide, top 11%, 779 students, 16% FRL); Millard West High School (math 70% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 261 statewide, top 7%, 2,309 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($134k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $222k; list at $410k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $347,560 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.04%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-65,098
Equity at exit
$61,132
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-31,868
Equity at exit
$35,449

Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68130

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,476 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,150
Tax from tax record
$512 /mo · $6,141/yr
Insurance
$171
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$730
Net cashflow
$-100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,602
Max offer price $392,351
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $132 -5% $16 +0% $-100 +5% $-216 +10% $-332
Rent -10% $-374 -5% $-237 +0% $-100 +5% $37 +10% $175
Rate -1.0pp $107 -0.5pp $4 base $-100 +0.5pp $-206 +1.0pp $-314

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$102,500
Closing costs
$12,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4606 S 184th Plz Omaha, NE 4.0 4.5 4250 $5,750 $1.35 45d 1 0.75mi
18802 O St Omaha, NE 4.0 4.0 2665 $2,700 $1.01 4d 1 0.98mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $410,000 New
  3. 2005-05-17
    soldstatus $222,000
  4. 2005-02-01
    soldstatus $99,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,141 · $512/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,093 · $591/mo
Expected delta
+$952/yr (+$79/mo · 15.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,707
− Mortgage interest
−$22,966
− Property taxes
−$6,141
− Insurance
−$2,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,337
− Management
−$3,337
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$11,927
Taxable loss
−$8,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,969
After-tax cash flow
$771/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millard Public Schools
NCES district ID
3173740
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$81,146
Composite
53.23/100
National rank
#1500
State rank
#13 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
21,722
Household income
$133,570
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
400.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.54%
Current HPI
208.1448
Rent YoY
▲ 5.14%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+314.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $410,000 GPRMLS
  • 2005-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $222,000 Public Records
  • 2005-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,141 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…