3822 S 189th St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$410,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 5-bedroom, 4-bathroom home perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot! From the moment you arrive, you’ll notice the pride of ownership throughout — from the meticulously maintained lawn and landscaping to the spotless interior that has been professionally cleaned twice per month. Inside, you’ll find a spacious and functional layout with room for everyone, featuring generous living spaces, abundant natural light, and a seamless flow perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The 2-car garage provides convenience and extra storage, while the curb appeal truly sets this home apart. This home has been exceptionally cared f
Key facts
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $150
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 built-in, covered parking spaces (2 total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Not new / not a model
- Construction: Built in 2005; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Corner lot; Lot up to 1/4 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on 2nd floor; Additional bedrooms on 2nd floor; one bedroom in the basement
- Bathrooms: Four total bathrooms (2 full, 1 half, 1 quarter); At least one bathroom on the main level and additional bathrooms on upper and below-grade levels
- Interior features: Finished basement; No fireplaces; Range, Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Disposal
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $410k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $392k (4.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $348k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Rohwer Elementary School (math 67% / reading 73%, grade A-, #38 of 502 statewide, top 7%, 463 students, 18% FRL); Russell Middle School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #15 of 128 statewide, top 11%, 779 students, 16% FRL); Millard West High School (math 70% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 261 statewide, top 7%, 2,309 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($134k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $222k; list at $410k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.04%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-65,098
- Equity at exit
- $61,132
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-31,868
- Equity at exit
- $35,449
Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68130
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,476 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,150
- Tax from tax record
- −$512 /mo · $6,141/yr
- Insurance
- −$171
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$730
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $16 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-216 | +10% $-332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-374 | -5% $-237 | +0% $-100 | +5% $37 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $107 | -0.5pp $4 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-206 | +1.0pp $-314 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,500
- Closing costs
- $12,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4606 S 184th Plz Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4250 | $5,750 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 18802 O St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2665 | $2,700 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-13$410,000 New
-
2005-05-17soldstatus $222,000
-
2005-02-01soldstatus $99,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,141 · $512/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,093 · $591/mo
- Expected delta
- +$952/yr (+$79/mo · 15.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,966
- − Property taxes
- −$6,141
- − Insurance
- −$2,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,337
- − Management
- −$3,337
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$11,927
- Taxable loss
- −$8,206
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,969
- After-tax cash flow
- $771/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millard Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3173740
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,146
- Composite
- 53.23/100
- National rank
- #1500
- State rank
- #13 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,722
- Household income
- $133,570
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 400.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.54%
- Current HPI
- 208.1448
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+314.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $410,000 GPRMLS
- 2005-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $222,000 Public Records
- 2005-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,141 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…