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16169 Roselawn St
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

16169 Roselawn St · Detroit, MI 48221
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,033 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1929 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step right up to 16169 Roselawn ST, Detroit, MI, USA! This delightful single-family residence, built in 1929, is more than just a home; Flippers, it's just waiting for your personal touch. With an ARV of over $200k, this may be right up your alley! 2,033 Sq. Ft, 3 bedrooms, 1.1 baths & basement. The pictures are recent. Just look at the sizes of the primary bedroom, the kitchen and living room! There is a great expansive front porch and the charm and charachter from this era just can't be duplicated. Do NOT email offers! AGENTS: There is a link in the agent remarks/showing time to our secure offer submission platform. The owner has requested all offers be submitted by the end of business, Sunday 06/14 so they may review them Monday eve 06/15. This may be a highest and best situation so come prepared as there may not be an opportunity for counter offers. The owners will fully decide how to proceed if this situation arises.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1929
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt roof; Built area above grade: 2,033 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 132 (0.11 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.67%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$199,234
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8549 Marygrove Dr 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,993 (-2%) 1mo $224,000 $112 82
16241 Wisconsin St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,896 (-7%) 6mo $153,000 $81 70
16503 Ohio St 0.21mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,154 (+6%) 4mo $70,000 $32 70
16801 Washburn St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,031 (-0%) 2mo $230,000 $113 68
16532 Griggs St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,991 (-2%) 2mo $137,000 $69 67
16224 Washburn St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,790 (-12%) 1mo $174,999 $98 57
17175 Greenlawn St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,841 (-9%) 3mo $212,000 $115 56
17214 Pennington Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,100 (+3%) 7mo $275,000 $131 54
15396 Kentucky St 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,833 (-10%) 6mo $132,050 $72 51
17524 Woodingham Dr 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,120 (+4%) 5mo $255,000 $120 48
15775 Washburn St 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,750 (-14%) 9mo $50,000 $29 44
16864 Santa Rosa Dr 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,764 (-13%) 1mo $170,000 $96 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$11,176
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$45,153
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48221

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,498 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$282 /mo · $3,383/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,002
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $443 -5% $417 +0% $392 +5% $367 +10% $341
Rent -10% $274 -5% $333 +0% $392 +5% $451 +10% $510
Rate -1.0pp $437 -0.5pp $415 base $392 +0.5pp $369 +1.0pp $345

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 44d 1 0.27mi
15791 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1792 $1,100 $0.61 44d 1 0.27mi
16211 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2168 $1,995 $0.92 18d 1 0.37mi
15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 25d 1 0.40mi
16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1516 $1,400 $0.92 20d 1 0.64mi
17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 25d 1 0.70mi
16834 Fairfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1516 $1,363 $0.90 25d 1 0.92mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 1.10mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 44d 1 1.18mi
16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2415 $1,800 $0.75 4d 1 1.22mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 1.29mi
15537 Normandy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2626 $1,400 $0.53 44d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $90,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    status $90,000 Active Under Contract 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 695-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,383 · $282/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,383 · $282/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,975
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$3,383
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,438
− Management
−$1,438
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$3,607
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$866
After-tax cash flow
$3,838/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,392
Household income
$57,878
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -433.14%
Current HPI
280.5434
Rent YoY
▲ 3.44%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+350.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2020-06-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-05-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-04-30 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-04-30 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-06 Listed $165,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-06 Listed $165,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-10-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-10-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-08-29 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-08-29 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-18 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-04-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-04-25 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,887 Public Records
  • 1993-11-11 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 1993-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,383 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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