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2820 Stoker Ct
D+ Composite 46.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

2820 Stoker Ct · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30815
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,651 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1998 0.45 ac lot Est $233k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Better than new ranch plan home close to everything! Features include 1,651 sq ft of living space, 2 car garage 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, almost 1/2 acre lot at . 45 perfect for added privacy and space to play, , LVP floors throughout, cul-da-sac lot, established trees, large deck perfect for entertaining, freshly painted, brick exterior, and move in ready! Centrally located to Fort Gordon gate 5, restaurants, shopping, and Bobby Jones I-520. This home has it all at an amazingly affordable price!

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1998

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($819/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (8.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Willis Foreman Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 332 students, 98% FRL); Spirit Creek Middle School (math 4% / reading 12%, grade F, #445 of 470 statewide, top 95%, 532 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,647 (8.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.47%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$232,791
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2211 Altman Way 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,574 (-5%) 8mo $229,900 $146 72
1326 Apache Trl 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,506 (-9%) 9mo $216,400 $144 67
2046 Bassford Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,876 (+14%) 3mo $245,000 $131 60
2046 Bassford Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,876 (+14%) 3mo $245,000 $131 60
2049 Bassford Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,835 (+11%) 22mo $205,000 $112 44
1495 Brookstone Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-2%) 23mo $235,000 $145 44
1494 Brookstone Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,815 (+10%) 10mo $250,000 $138 40
1503 Brookstone Road Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,829 (+11%) 14mo $257,000 $141 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-33,225
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-43,909
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30815

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,826 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$248 /mo · $2,978/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,740
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3013 Heron Ct Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,785 $1.21 23d 1 0.26mi
3823 Fairington Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,450 $1.05 14d 1 1.26mi
2933 Easton Dr Hephzibah, GA 4.0 2.5 2038 $2,200 $1.08 43d 1 1.38mi
3881 Crest Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 14d 1 1.44mi
2629 Anthony Dejuan Pkwy Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,650 $1.19 43d 1 1.45mi
3883 Crest Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1380 $3,600 $2.61 14d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    historical
  3. 2026-04-27
    historical
  4. 2026-03-20
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-06
    status Pending
  6. 2026-02-13
    listed $199,000 Active
  7. 2026-02-13
    listed $199,000
  8. 2022-12-01
    soldstatus $222,900
  9. 2022-11-29
    soldstatus $222,900 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Better than new ranch plan home close to everything! Features include 1,651 sq ft of living space, 2 car garage 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, almost 1/2 acre lot at . 45 perfect for added privacy and space to play, , LVP floors throughout, cul-da-sac lot, established trees, large deck perfect for entertaining, freshly painted, brick exterior, and move in ready! Centrally located to Fort Gordon gate 5, restaurants, shopping, and Bobby Jones I-520. This home has it all at an amazingly affordable price!

  10. 2022-11-29
    soldstatus $222,900
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Better than new ranch plan home close to everything! Features include 1,651 sq ft of living space, 2 car garage 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, almost 1/2 acre lot at . 45 perfect for added privacy and space to play, , LVP floors throughout, cul-da-sac lot, established trees, large deck perfect for entertaining, freshly painted, brick exterior, and move in ready! Centrally located to Fort Gordon gate 5, restaurants, shopping, and Bobby Jones I-520. This home has it all at an amazingly affordable price!

  11. 2022-10-15
    listed $219,900 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Better than new ranch plan home close to everything! Features include 1,651 sq ft of living space, 2 car garage 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, almost 1/2 acre lot at . 45 perfect for added privacy and space to play, , LVP floors throughout, cul-da-sac lot, established trees, large deck perfect for entertaining, freshly painted, brick exterior, and move in ready! Centrally located to Fort Gordon gate 5, restaurants, shopping, and Bobby Jones I-520. This home has it all at an amazingly affordable price!

  12. 2022-10-15
    listed $219,900
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Better than new ranch plan home close to everything! Features include 1,651 sq ft of living space, 2 car garage 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, almost 1/2 acre lot at . 45 perfect for added privacy and space to play, , LVP floors throughout, cul-da-sac lot, established trees, large deck perfect for entertaining, freshly painted, brick exterior, and move in ready! Centrally located to Fort Gordon gate 5, restaurants, shopping, and Bobby Jones I-520. This home has it all at an amazingly affordable price!

  13. 2021-01-26
    soldstatus $109,000
  14. 2003-02-27
    soldstatus $108,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,978 · $248/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,978 · $248/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,918
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$2,978
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,753
− Management
−$1,753
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$2,498
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$600
After-tax cash flow
$1,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County
NCES district ID
1304380
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,069
Composite
13.43/100
National rank
#9524
State rank
#154 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
County
Richmond County · 190,917 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
44,109
Household income
$70,202
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
867.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
200,753 people
By 2030
200,232 · -0.3%
By 2040
196,813 · -2.0%
By 2050
190,347 · -5.2%
By 2075
172,496 · -14.1%
By 2100
146,284 · -27.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.74%
Current HPI
162.4074
Rent YoY
▼ -0.71%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $199,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $199,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $222,900 Public Records
  • 2022-11-29 Sold (MLS) $222,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-11-29 Sold (MLS) $222,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-10-15 Listed $219,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-10-15 Listed $219,900 Hive MLS
  • 2021-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2003-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $108,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,978 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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