129 E Vine St · Chambersburg, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.
Key facts
- 1,742 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 62 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
- Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $140k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.04%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,051
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -25.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $8,819
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $54,987
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17201
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $880/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $537 | -5% $498 | +0% $458 | +5% $419 | +10% $379 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $326 | -5% $392 | +0% $458 | +5% $524 | +10% $591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $529 | -0.5pp $494 | base $458 | +0.5pp $422 | +1.0pp $385 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 548 Nelson St Chambersburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 330 Parkwood Dr Chambersburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $139,900 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.
-
2026-05-06price $144,900 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.
-
2026-04-17$149,900 Active 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.
-
2009-12-02historical
-
2009-12-02historical
-
2007-12-07$140,000
-
2007-12-07
-
2007-10-23historical
-
2007-04-23
-
1997-05-08soldstatus $59,000
-
1997-05-08soldstatus $59,000
-
1997-05-05historical
-
1997-05-02$59,900
-
1997-03-05historical
-
1997-02-13$59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,545 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$665/yr (+$55/mo · 75.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,104
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$880
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,608
- − Management
- −$1,608
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $3,401
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$816
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,682/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chambersburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205550
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,666
- Composite
- 32.17/100
- National rank
- #5787
- State rank
- #383 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chambersburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #4894
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chambersburg, PA
- County
- Franklin County · 56,916 people
- City population
- 27,554
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,554
- Household income
- $61,234
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.07%
- Current HPI
- 247.913
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.37%
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+137.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-12-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-12-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-12-07 Listed — MRIS
- 2007-12-07 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-10-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-04-23 Listed — MRIS
- 1997-05-08 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MRIS
- 1997-05-08 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MRIS
- 1997-05-05 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-05-02 Listed $59,900 MRIS
- 1997-03-05 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-02-13 Listed $59,000 MRIS
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2026): $880 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…