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129 E Vine St
B Composite 73.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

129 E Vine St · Chambersburg, PA 17201
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,555 sqft · Other · 63 Days on market
Built 1920 1,742 sqft lot $90/sqft · 25% below area Est $187k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.

Key facts

  • 1,742 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 62 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
  • Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $140k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.22%
Cash-on-cash
14.04%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$187,051
List price
$139,900
Delta
-25.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$8,819
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$54,987
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17201

Home prices YoY
-20.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $880/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,095
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $537 -5% $498 +0% $458 +5% $419 +10% $379
Rent -10% $326 -5% $392 +0% $458 +5% $524 +10% $591
Rate -1.0pp $529 -0.5pp $494 base $458 +0.5pp $422 +1.0pp $385

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
548 Nelson St Chambersburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,500 $1.16 45d 1 0.67mi
330 Parkwood Dr Chambersburg, PA 2.0 2.0 1841 $2,300 $1.25 45d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $139,900 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.

  17. 2026-05-06
    price $144,900 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.

  18. 2026-04-17
    listed $149,900 Active 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    This Colonial ideally located just steps from Wilson College and only minutes from Historic Downtown Chambersburg. This home key features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, Central Air installed in 2009 Updated kitchen cabinets, Fenced rear yard — great for pets, play, or gardening. Convenient location close to schools, shopping, dining, and commuter routes. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for first‑time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking a well‑located Chambersburg property. Property being sold as is with no repairs.

  19. 2009-12-02
    historical
  20. 2009-12-02
    historical
  21. 2007-12-07
    listed $140,000
  22. 2007-12-07
    listed
  23. 2007-10-23
    historical
  24. 2007-04-23
    listed
  25. 1997-05-08
    soldstatus $59,000
  26. 1997-05-08
    soldstatus $59,000
  27. 1997-05-05
    historical
  28. 1997-05-02
    listed $59,900
  29. 1997-03-05
    historical
  30. 1997-02-13
    listed $59,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$880 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,545 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$665/yr (+$55/mo · 75.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,104
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$880
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,608
− Management
−$1,608
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$3,401
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$816
After-tax cash flow
$4,682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chambersburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4205550
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$52,666
Composite
32.17/100
National rank
#5787
State rank
#383 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chambersburg

Score
74/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#4894

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chambersburg, PA
County
Franklin County · 56,916 people
City population
27,554
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,554
Household income
$61,234
Rent vs Own
51.6% rent · 48.4% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.07%
Current HPI
247.913
Rent YoY
▲ 4.37%
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-12-02 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-12-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-12-07 Listed MRIS
  • 2007-12-07 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-10-23 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-04-23 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-05-08 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MRIS
  • 1997-05-08 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MRIS
  • 1997-05-05 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-05-02 Listed $59,900 MRIS
  • 1997-03-05 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-02-13 Listed $59,000 MRIS

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $880 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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