🏷️ Likely Rental
93 Austin St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible investment opportunity in Buffalo! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is priced for an immediate sale at just $49,900. Perfect for the savvy investor looking to add a high-yield property to their portfolio. The property features a reliable, long-term tenant who provides steady monthly income. The home is being sold in strictly "as-is" condition. The seller will make no repairs, and the buyer will be responsible for addressing all existing building code violations. Cash or hard money offers are preferred. With its aggressive pricing and established tenancy, this property offers a significant head start. Don’t miss out on this high-potential asset—bring your vision and your contractor! Equal Housing Opportunity
Key facts
- As-is condition
- Established tenancy
- Long-term tenant
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $50k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.83%
- DSCR
- 3.22
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,175
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -64.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Howell St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 743 (-2%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $188 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $34,708
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 59.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.47×
- Total profit
- $104,399
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $151/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $580
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Thompson St Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 336 East St Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1920 Niagara St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $999 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2099 Niagara St Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,197 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 15 Ontario St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 356 Hertel Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $2,300 | $2.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 155 Germain St Apt 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 118 Rano St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 68 Peter St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 100 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1304 | $640 | $0.49 | 1d | 14 | 0.81mi |
| 72 Reservation St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 68 Laforce Pl Unit U Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 46 Hawley St #1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 239 Crowley Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,025 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1485 Niagara St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,174 | $2.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 37 Holmes St Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 293 Grote St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 817 | $2,345 | $2.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1558 Elmwood Ave Unit 4 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 309 Bird Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 57 Abbottsford Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 30 Abbottsford Pl Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 15 Beatrice Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 163 W Delavan Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 134 Philadelphia St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 865 Richmond Ave Unit Rear Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 196 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1116 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 257 Lafayette Ave Unit 317 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 257 Lafayette Ave Apt 319 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-22$49,900 Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity in Buffalo! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is priced for an immediate sale at just $49,900. Perfect for the savvy investor looking to add a high-yield property to their portfolio. The property features a reliable, long-term tenant who provides steady monthly income. The home is being sold in strictly "as-is" condition. The seller will make no repairs, and the buyer will be responsible for addressing all existing building code violations. Cash or hard money offers are preferred. With its aggressive pricing and established tenancy, this property offers a significant head start. Don’t miss out on this high-potential asset—bring your vision and your contractor! Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2025-07-14historical
-
2025-06-19price $62,770
-
2025-06-10price $66,900
-
2025-05-12$64,900 Active
-
2018-10-10historical
-
2018-09-09price $29,900
-
2018-08-08price $34,500
-
2018-07-05price $38,900
-
2018-06-14$39,900 Active
-
1998-09-14soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $151 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $497 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$346/yr (+$29/mo · 228.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$151
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $6,520
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+99.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-07-14 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $62,770 WNYREIS
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $66,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-05-12 Listed $64,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-10-10 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2018-09-09 Price Changed $29,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-08-08 Price Changed $34,500 WNYREIS
- 2018-07-05 Price Changed $38,900 WNYREIS
- 2018-06-14 Listed $39,900 WNYREIS
- 1998-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $151 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…