141 Prospect St · Fredonia, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-family home, featuring two spacious three-bedroom apartments, each offering a comfortable and inviting living space. Situated in a quiet, desirable neighborhood, this property is an investor's dream, providing a seamless, income-producing opportunity. Mechanically in excellent condition. Both units are occupied by long-term tenants who are interested in staying, ensuring immediate and steady rental income. The home has been meticulously cared for and requires no additional work, making it truly move-in ready. Numerous updates throughout the property add to its appeal and functionality. Additionally, off-street parking provides convenience for tenants. This property is not currently student housing, which contributes to a stable tenant base. With its prime location, excellent condition, and consistent income, this two-family home is a standout investment opportunity. Don't miss out on this rare find – schedule your viewing today! Seller also has listed 65 Cleveland Ave and 18 Cleveland Ave - make a deal on all three!
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Two-family home
- Central air
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total residential units; Each unit currently listing rent at $900; Operating expenses include water/sewer and professional management
- Financial info: Owner pays water; water included in rent; Professional management included in operating expenses (multi-unit); Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking with two or more spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Resale property; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 62 x 160
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit features an eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit has 3 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in each unit; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($477/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.3% in Fredonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#95 in NY, #1,446 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Fredonia Central School District (town): math 55% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #376 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fredonia Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 398 students, 49% FRL); Fredonia Middle School (math 48% / reading 41%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 426 students, 43% FRL); Fredonia High School (math 98% / reading 75%, grade A, #342 of 1,100 statewide, top 31%, 463 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 28% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.00%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,626
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Eagle St | 0.32mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,128 (+3%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $45 | 74 |
| 20 Lakeview Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,936 (-6%) | 2mo | $244,900 | $126 | 70 |
| 139 Eagle St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,850 (-10%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $57 | 64 |
| 235 Eagle St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,904 (-8%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $97 | 64 |
| 35 Elm St | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 1,904 (-8%) | 23mo | $305,000 | $160 | 59 |
| 15 Gillis St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,088 (+2%) | 21mo | $225,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 49 Day St | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,090 (+2%) | 9mo | $224,500 | $107 | 54 |
| 36 Clinton Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,921 (-7%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $65 | 44 |
| 32 White St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 2,350 (+14%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $64 | 35 |
| 42 Lambert Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,923 (-7%) | 23mo | $115,000 | $60 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-24,912
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-18,079
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14063
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,664 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$313 /mo · $3,758/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $136 | -5% $88 | +0% $40 | +5% $-8 | +10% $-56 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-92 | -5% $-26 | +0% $40 | +5% $105 | +10% $171 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $83 | base $40 | +0.5pp $-4 | +1.0pp $-49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $169,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$169,900 Active
-
2024-09-09soldstatus $151,000 Closed 1080-char remark
Show marketing remark (1080 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-family home, featuring two spacious three-bedroom apartments, each offering a comfortable and inviting living space. Situated in a quiet, desirable neighborhood, this property is an investor's dream, providing a seamless, income-producing opportunity. Mechanically in excellent condition. Both units are occupied by long-term tenants who are interested in staying, ensuring immediate and steady rental income. The home has been meticulously cared for and requires no additional work, making it truly move-in ready. Numerous updates throughout the property add to its appeal and functionality. Additionally, off-street parking provides convenience for tenants. This property is not currently student housing, which contributes to a stable tenant base. With its prime location, excellent condition, and consistent income, this two-family home is a standout investment opportunity. Don't miss out on this rare find – schedule your viewing today! Seller also has listed 65 Cleveland Ave and 18 Cleveland Ave - make a deal on all three!
-
2024-07-11status Pending 1080-char remark
Show marketing remark (1080 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-family home, featuring two spacious three-bedroom apartments, each offering a comfortable and inviting living space. Situated in a quiet, desirable neighborhood, this property is an investor's dream, providing a seamless, income-producing opportunity. Mechanically in excellent condition. Both units are occupied by long-term tenants who are interested in staying, ensuring immediate and steady rental income. The home has been meticulously cared for and requires no additional work, making it truly move-in ready. Numerous updates throughout the property add to its appeal and functionality. Additionally, off-street parking provides convenience for tenants. This property is not currently student housing, which contributes to a stable tenant base. With its prime location, excellent condition, and consistent income, this two-family home is a standout investment opportunity. Don't miss out on this rare find – schedule your viewing today! Seller also has listed 65 Cleveland Ave and 18 Cleveland Ave - make a deal on all three!
-
2024-06-17historical Active Under Contract 1080-char remark
Show marketing remark (1080 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-family home, featuring two spacious three-bedroom apartments, each offering a comfortable and inviting living space. Situated in a quiet, desirable neighborhood, this property is an investor's dream, providing a seamless, income-producing opportunity. Mechanically in excellent condition. Both units are occupied by long-term tenants who are interested in staying, ensuring immediate and steady rental income. The home has been meticulously cared for and requires no additional work, making it truly move-in ready. Numerous updates throughout the property add to its appeal and functionality. Additionally, off-street parking provides convenience for tenants. This property is not currently student housing, which contributes to a stable tenant base. With its prime location, excellent condition, and consistent income, this two-family home is a standout investment opportunity. Don't miss out on this rare find – schedule your viewing today! Seller also has listed 65 Cleveland Ave and 18 Cleveland Ave - make a deal on all three!
-
2024-06-07$159,000 Active 1080-char remark
Show marketing remark (1080 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-family home, featuring two spacious three-bedroom apartments, each offering a comfortable and inviting living space. Situated in a quiet, desirable neighborhood, this property is an investor's dream, providing a seamless, income-producing opportunity. Mechanically in excellent condition. Both units are occupied by long-term tenants who are interested in staying, ensuring immediate and steady rental income. The home has been meticulously cared for and requires no additional work, making it truly move-in ready. Numerous updates throughout the property add to its appeal and functionality. Additionally, off-street parking provides convenience for tenants. This property is not currently student housing, which contributes to a stable tenant base. With its prime location, excellent condition, and consistent income, this two-family home is a standout investment opportunity. Don't miss out on this rare find – schedule your viewing today! Seller also has listed 65 Cleveland Ave and 18 Cleveland Ave - make a deal on all three!
-
2006-08-11$79,500
-
2001-08-03soldstatus $52,900
-
1995-10-30soldstatus $40,000
-
1992-01-31soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,758 · $313/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,758 · $313/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$3,758
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$2,292
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$550
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,027/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fredonia Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611520
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,491
- Composite
- 43.1/100
- National rank
- #3086
- State rank
- #376 of 590 in NY
Livability — Fredonia
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #1446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,722
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Italian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.55%
- Current HPI
- 253.5334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+239.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $169,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-09-09 Sold (MLS) $151,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-07-11 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-06-17 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2024-06-07 Listed $159,000 UNYREIS
- 2006-08-11 Listed $79,500 UNYREIS
- 2001-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
- 1995-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1992-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,758 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…