3500 Buchanan #117 · Riverside, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Look at the newer oversized windows! This unit so well maintained and ready to move into. Two bedrooms and two bathrooms plus a little area with small kitchenette for possibly a caregiver. Everything in this unit feels like home. The new painting, flooring, large living room, family room, formal dining area, and breakfast nook, inside laundry and a shed. The best neighbor, the best park in the area and priced to sell fast.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Small kitchenette
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
- Alvord Unified (urban): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #852 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.51%
- DSCR
- 3.16
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,521
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- 20.79%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3500 Buchanan #73 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 2mo | $71,111 | $53 | 93 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #230 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,356 (+1%) | 3mo | $173,000 | $128 | 91 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #105 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $64 | 90 |
| 3500 Buchanan #103 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $104 | 89 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #98 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $89 | 84 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #21 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $87,500 | $61 | 80 |
| 3663 Buchanan #112 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $126 | 80 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #128 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+11%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $48 | 80 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #132 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $158,000 | $110 | 77 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #30 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $81,095 | $56 | 75 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #28 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $56 | 70 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #108 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+8%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $130 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $67,681
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 52.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $174,271
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92503
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,746 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$577
- Net cashflow
- $1,347
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2930 Via Milano Outside Area (Inside Ca), CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $2,500 | $2.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3713 Calle Curacso Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,090 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3713 Calle Curacso Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,090 | $2.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 371 Dylan Cir Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $3,500 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3957 Pierce St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,795 | $3.31 | 2d | 31 | 0.88mi |
| 545 Hamilton Dr Corona, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11520 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $2,634 | $3.09 | 2d | 7 | 1.08mi |
| 2365 Promenade Ave Corona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,557 | $2.87 | 2d | 18 | 1.22mi |
| 11711 Collett Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $3,229 | $3.17 | 2d | 21 | 1.25mi |
| 13370 Magnolia Ave Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,450 | $2.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4408 Ambs Dr Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $3,040 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 11282 Price Ct Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1646 | $3,095 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2235 Treehouse Ln Corona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $2,770 | $3.12 | 2d | 17 | 1.45mi |
| 11207 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3827 Grant St #54 Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1354 | $3,250 | $2.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-16$119,000 Active 426-char remark
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
Look at the newer oversized windows! This unit so well maintained and ready to move into. Two bedrooms and two bathrooms plus a little area with small kitchenette for possibly a caregiver. Everything in this unit feels like home. The new painting, flooring, large living room, family room, formal dining area, and breakfast nook, inside laundry and a shed. The best neighbor, the best park in the area and priced to sell fast.
-
2025-02-28soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2025-02-19status Pending Sale 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2025-01-29historical Active Under Contract 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2025-01-29price $115,000 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2025-01-27status Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2025-01-27price $112,500 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2025-01-16historical Active Under Contract 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2024-11-08price $125,000 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2024-10-17price $139,000 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
-
2024-09-20$149,000 Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great senior(55+) mobile home is for sale. This unit is clean and maintained in excellent condition. Absolute turn key 2 beds and 2 baths. New windows, AC, flooring, and gas stove. Formal dining room and family room. Gated community and great location. Close to 91 freeway, shopping centers, schools and parks.
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2020-10-30soldstatus $53,000 Closed Sale
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2020-09-06historical Active Under Contract
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2020-08-05$59,900 Active
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2020-08-04historical
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2020-06-12price $59,900
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2020-02-05$65,000 Active
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2019-11-15historical
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2019-09-16status Active
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2019-08-06status Pending Sale
-
2019-07-16price $58,000
-
2019-04-11$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,951
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,636
- − Management
- −$2,636
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $15,171
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alvord Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0602430
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,965
- Composite
- 33.81/100
- National rank
- #10383
- State rank
- #852 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Riverside
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #11613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverside, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 367,890
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 88,395
- Household income
- $96,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2337.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% White 24% Two or more races 15% Asian 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 52%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -414.52%
- Current HPI
- 393.407
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+98.3% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $119,000 CRMLS
- 2025-02-28 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CRMLS
- 2025-02-19 Pending — CRMLS
- 2025-01-29 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-01-29 Price Changed $115,000 CRMLS
- 2025-01-27 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $112,500 CRMLS
- 2025-01-16 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-11-08 Price Changed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $139,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-20 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
- 2020-10-30 Sold (MLS) $53,000 CRMLS
- 2020-09-06 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2020-08-05 Listed $59,900 CRMLS
- 2020-08-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2020-06-12 Price Changed $59,900 CRMLS
- 2020-02-05 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
- 2019-11-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-09-16 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2019-08-06 Pending — CRMLS
- 2019-07-16 Price Changed $58,000 CRMLS
- 2019-04-11 Listed $60,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…