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D Composite 42.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,900

None · Williamsville, NY 14221
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,234 sqft · Condo · 216 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition $211/sqft · 9% above area Est $238k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1075 Youngs Road, Unit H You will Love this condo home located in the sought after Williamsville Area, Park Place Community. The 1234 sq. ft condo is a 2 bedroom/2bath upper and features an open floor plan. The condo offers a large bright living room with a gas fireplace and vaulted ceiling. A spacious formal dining room is the perfect size for entertaining. The remodeled kitchen includes stainless steel appliances. Both full bathrooms have been remodeled. The laundry room is completed with a full size washer and dryer. The open porch is overlooking the beautiful landscaped wooded park- like setting.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Vaulted ceiling
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANGAS FIREPLACEVAULTED CEILINGREMODELED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESREMODELED BATHROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-74/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#44 in NY, #693 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+.
  • Williamsville Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #114 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $260k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $226,578 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.10%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,685
List price
$259,900
Delta
9.35%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-37,798
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-13,294
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14221

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,266 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax est. 1.5%
$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,274
Max offer price $259,011
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
116 Segsbury Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1488 $2,950 $1.98 23d 1 1.05mi
990 Hopkins Rd Unit G Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 11d 1 1.14mi
23 Northwood Dr Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $2,145 $2.68 1d 1 1.16mi
10 Arielle Ct Williamsville, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1063 $2,235 $2.10 1d 10 1.24mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
gas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,900 Active 216 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,900 Active 215 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,900 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,900 Active 213 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,900 Active 211 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $259,900 Active 208 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,900 Active 207 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,900 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,900 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $259,900 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,900 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,900 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,900 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,900 Active 198 DOM
  15. 2025-11-14
    listed $259,900 Active 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    1075 Youngs Road, Unit H You will Love this condo home located in the sought after Williamsville Area, Park Place Community. The 1234 sq. ft condo is a 2 bedroom/2bath upper and features an open floor plan. The condo offers a large bright living room with a gas fireplace and vaulted ceiling. A spacious formal dining room is the perfect size for entertaining. The remodeled kitchen includes stainless steel appliances. Both full bathrooms have been remodeled. The laundry room is completed with a full size washer and dryer. The open porch is overlooking the beautiful landscaped wooded park- like setting.

  16. 2004-12-03
    soldstatus $120,000 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    FIRST FLOOR CONDO WITH GARAGE. 2 BEDROOMS & 2 BATHS. IN-UNIT LAUNDRY, FIREPLACE, FORMAL DINING ROOM COULD BE DEN OR 3RD BEDROOM. HUGE MBR WALK-IN CLOSET, COVERED PATIO OFF LIVING ROOM & DINING ROOM. FIREPLACE IN LR. GREAT LOCATION-REAR UNIT OVERLOOKING THE GAZEBO & PRIVATE WOODED AREA.

  17. 2004-10-18
    listed $109,900 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    FIRST FLOOR CONDO WITH GARAGE. 2 BEDROOMS & 2 BATHS. IN-UNIT LAUNDRY, FIREPLACE, FORMAL DINING ROOM COULD BE DEN OR 3RD BEDROOM. HUGE MBR WALK-IN CLOSET, COVERED PATIO OFF LIVING ROOM & DINING ROOM. FIREPLACE IN LR. GREAT LOCATION-REAR UNIT OVERLOOKING THE GAZEBO & PRIVATE WOODED AREA.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,189
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$3,898
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,175
− Management
−$2,175
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$4,478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,075
After-tax cash flow
$1,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 2-bedroom/2-bath condo in Williamsville, NY, offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's located in a desirable area with a landscaped setting, making it a good investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting environment
  • Both Replace sliding glass doors with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and enhances curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting environment
  • Both Replace sliding glass doors with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and enhances curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsville Central School District
NCES district ID
3631470
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$79,907
Composite
62.59/100
National rank
#678
State rank
#114 of 590 in NY

Livability — Williamsville

Score
84/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#693

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime C Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
55,255
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
55,255
Household income
$101,615
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
1956.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Asian 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -301.37%
Current HPI
322.6947
Rent YoY
▲ 5.01%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $259,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2004-12-03 Sold (MLS) $120,000 WNYREIS
  • 2004-10-18 Listed $109,900 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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