None · Williamsville, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1075 Youngs Road, Unit H You will Love this condo home located in the sought after Williamsville Area, Park Place Community. The 1234 sq. ft condo is a 2 bedroom/2bath upper and features an open floor plan. The condo offers a large bright living room with a gas fireplace and vaulted ceiling. A spacious formal dining room is the perfect size for entertaining. The remodeled kitchen includes stainless steel appliances. Both full bathrooms have been remodeled. The laundry room is completed with a full size washer and dryer. The open porch is overlooking the beautiful landscaped wooded park- like setting.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Vaulted ceiling
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-74/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (12.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#44 in NY, #693 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+.
- Williamsville Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #114 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $260k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,685
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- 9.35%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-37,798
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-13,294
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14221
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 329
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,266 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $-6
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Segsbury Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,950 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 990 Hopkins Rd Unit G Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 23 Northwood Dr Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,145 | $2.68 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10 Arielle Ct Williamsville, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1063 | $2,235 | $2.10 | 1d | 10 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $259,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2025-11-14$259,900 Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
1075 Youngs Road, Unit H You will Love this condo home located in the sought after Williamsville Area, Park Place Community. The 1234 sq. ft condo is a 2 bedroom/2bath upper and features an open floor plan. The condo offers a large bright living room with a gas fireplace and vaulted ceiling. A spacious formal dining room is the perfect size for entertaining. The remodeled kitchen includes stainless steel appliances. Both full bathrooms have been remodeled. The laundry room is completed with a full size washer and dryer. The open porch is overlooking the beautiful landscaped wooded park- like setting.
-
2004-12-03soldstatus $120,000 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
FIRST FLOOR CONDO WITH GARAGE. 2 BEDROOMS & 2 BATHS. IN-UNIT LAUNDRY, FIREPLACE, FORMAL DINING ROOM COULD BE DEN OR 3RD BEDROOM. HUGE MBR WALK-IN CLOSET, COVERED PATIO OFF LIVING ROOM & DINING ROOM. FIREPLACE IN LR. GREAT LOCATION-REAR UNIT OVERLOOKING THE GAZEBO & PRIVATE WOODED AREA.
-
2004-10-18$109,900 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
FIRST FLOOR CONDO WITH GARAGE. 2 BEDROOMS & 2 BATHS. IN-UNIT LAUNDRY, FIREPLACE, FORMAL DINING ROOM COULD BE DEN OR 3RD BEDROOM. HUGE MBR WALK-IN CLOSET, COVERED PATIO OFF LIVING ROOM & DINING ROOM. FIREPLACE IN LR. GREAT LOCATION-REAR UNIT OVERLOOKING THE GAZEBO & PRIVATE WOODED AREA.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,189
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,898
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,175
- − Management
- −$2,175
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$4,478
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,075
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This well-maintained 2-bedroom/2-bath condo in Williamsville, NY, offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's located in a desirable area with a landscaped setting, making it a good investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting environment
- Both Replace sliding glass doors with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and enhances curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting environment ↑
- Both Replace sliding glass doors with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Williamsville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631470
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,907
- Composite
- 62.59/100
- National rank
- #678
- State rank
- #114 of 590 in NY
Livability — Williamsville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 55,255
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,255
- Household income
- $101,615
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1956.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Asian 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -301.37%
- Current HPI
- 322.6947
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.01%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+136.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-14 Listed $259,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2004-12-03 Sold (MLS) $120,000 WNYREIS
- 2004-10-18 Listed $109,900 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…