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D+ Composite 46.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,500

12448 Trappers Trl Unit F32-28 · Truckee, CA 96161
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,470 sqft · Timeshare · 78 Days on market
$769/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The very highest quality in construction and finishes, the cabins at Old Greenwood offer the perfect way to own your mountain home by providing the best in fractional home ownership. With deeded ownership, you enjoy all the advantages of owning real estate, but without the costs and headaches of owning outright. Fixed week is in July each year, plus flexible use year round. Tahoe Mountain Club membership is included while you are in residence at Old Greenwood.

Key facts

  • Murphy office room
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Tags

MURPHY OFFICE ROOMPRIVATE MEMBERS LOUNGEPRIVATE ON-MOUNTAIN RESTAURANT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community pool; Tennis courts; On-site golf course; Cross-country skiing access; Downhill skiing access; Exercise equipment/fitness facilities; Other community amenities (see remarks); Quarterly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Two covered parking spaces; Two garage spaces
  • Home design: Mountain-style architecture; Two levels; Timeshare property
  • Exterior features: Golf course frontage

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Interior features: Located on a golf course

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath timeshare listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($59k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 207.0% vs local median 2.0% in Truckee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#697 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 375 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 215 units permitted in Nevada County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,478/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($132k/yr) (locally 559% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $204 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $885 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nevada County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $27,730 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
25.35%
Cap rate
207.03%
Cash-on-cash
716.93%
DSCR
32.90
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
41.93×
Total profit
$338,095
Equity at exit
$4,399
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
100.90×
Total profit
$825,151
Equity at exit
$2,551

Cash invested: $8,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96161

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
375
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,478 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$155
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $442/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$769
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,570
Net cashflow
$4,935

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,231
Max offer price $29,500
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4,955 -5% $4,945 +0% $4,935 +5% $4,925 +10% $4,914
Rent -10% $4,344 -5% $4,639 +0% $4,935 +5% $5,230 +10% $5,526
Rate -1.0pp $4,950 -0.5pp $4,942 base $4,935 +0.5pp $4,927 +1.0pp $4,919

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,375
Closing costs
$885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10175 Annies Loop Truckee, CA 3.0 3.5 2194 $7,500 $3.42 44d 1 1.00mi
10077 Jake S Way Truckee, CA 3.0 3.5 2552 $10,500 $4.11 44d 1 1.01mi
10085 Nicolas Dr Unit A Truckee, CA 3.0 2.5 1871 $5,500 $2.94 44d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$769 · $9,228/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    historical Contingent
  3. 2026-03-05
    listed $29,500 Active
  4. 2018-10-25
    soldstatus $36,500 Sold 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    The very highest quality in construction and finishes, the cabins at Old Greenwood offer the perfect way to own your mountain home by providing the best in fractional home ownership. With deeded ownership, you enjoy all the advantages of owning real estate, but without the costs and headaches of owning outright. Fixed week is in July each year, plus flexible use year round. Tahoe Mountain Club membership is included while you are in residence at Old Greenwood.

  5. 2014-09-24
    historical 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    The very highest quality in construction and finishes, the cabins at Old Greenwood offer the perfect way to own your mountain home by providing the best in fractional home ownership. With deeded ownership, you enjoy all the advantages of owning real estate, but without the costs and headaches of owning outright. Fixed week is in July each year, plus flexible use year round. Tahoe Mountain Club membership is included while you are in residence at Old Greenwood.

  6. 2014-05-19
    status Active 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    The very highest quality in construction and finishes, the cabins at Old Greenwood offer the perfect way to own your mountain home by providing the best in fractional home ownership. With deeded ownership, you enjoy all the advantages of owning real estate, but without the costs and headaches of owning outright. Fixed week is in July each year, plus flexible use year round. Tahoe Mountain Club membership is included while you are in residence at Old Greenwood.

  7. 2014-05-09
    historical 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    The very highest quality in construction and finishes, the cabins at Old Greenwood offer the perfect way to own your mountain home by providing the best in fractional home ownership. With deeded ownership, you enjoy all the advantages of owning real estate, but without the costs and headaches of owning outright. Fixed week is in July each year, plus flexible use year round. Tahoe Mountain Club membership is included while you are in residence at Old Greenwood.

  8. 2013-11-11
    listed $45,000 Active 464-char remark
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    The very highest quality in construction and finishes, the cabins at Old Greenwood offer the perfect way to own your mountain home by providing the best in fractional home ownership. With deeded ownership, you enjoy all the advantages of owning real estate, but without the costs and headaches of owning outright. Fixed week is in July each year, plus flexible use year round. Tahoe Mountain Club membership is included while you are in residence at Old Greenwood.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$89,738
− Mortgage interest
−$1,652
− Property taxes
−$442
− Insurance
−$148
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,179
− Management
−$7,179
− HOA
−$9,228
− Depreciation
−$858
Taxable income
$63,051
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$15,132
After-tax cash flow
$44,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tahoe-Truckee Unified
NCES district ID
0638770
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$67,136
Composite
44.38/100
National rank
#2816
State rank
#136 of 517 in CA

Livability — Truckee

Score
58/100
State rank
#697
US rank
#21110

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Truckee, CA
County
Nevada County · 85,339 people
City population
19,634
Metro
Truckee-Grass Valley, CA
Population (ZIP)
19,634
Household income
$131,702
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
559.0

Population outlook (Nevada County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
98,490 people
By 2030
97,295 · -1.2%
By 2040
92,041 · -6.5%
By 2050
85,164 · -13.5%
By 2075
68,436 · -30.5%
By 2100
49,536 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nevada

2024 margin
D (+12.2) · D 54.4% · R 42.1% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: 12.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.2 2020: D+14.8 2016: D+4.5 2012: R+4.7 2008: D+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -307.87%
Current HPI
336.9632
Rent YoY
▲ 6.59%
Metro
Truckee-Grass Valley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending TSMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent TSMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $29,500 TSMLS
  • 2018-10-25 Sold (MLS) $36,500 TSMLS
  • 2014-09-24 Delisted TSMLS
  • 2014-05-19 Relisted TSMLS
  • 2014-05-09 Delisted TSMLS
  • 2013-11-11 Listed $45,000 TSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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