Oakridge Plan · San Antonio, TX 78264

$173,999

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,266 sqft · SingleFamily · 496 Days on market

↓ 15% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +2.8/10.0
• DSCR +2.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Open floorplan
• Secondary bedrooms

Tags

• OPEN FLOORPLAN
• OWNER'S SUITE
• EN-SUITE BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• SECONDARY BEDROOMS

🏗️ New construction. The $173,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $177,184.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (9.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (20.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $138k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
• Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 329 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
• Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 496 days — a 12% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $137,703 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 496 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.78% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.37%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.30%
• DSCR: 0.85
• GRM: 10.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $177,184
• List price: $173,999
• Delta: -1.80%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2914 Carnelian Trl	0.07mi	3/2.5	1,189 (-6%)	2mo	$138,999	$117	83
20606 Andalusite Way	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,189 (-6%)	1mo	$135,999	$114	81
20503 Andalusite Way	0.14mi	3/2.5	1,189 (-6%)	1mo	$137,999	$116	80
20564 Andalusite Way	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,189 (-6%)	2mo	$142,999	$120	80
20511 Andalusite Way	0.16mi	3/2.5	1,189 (-6%)	1mo	$137,999	$116	80
20642 Andalusite Way	0.17mi	3/2.5	1,189 (-6%)	1mo	$157,999	$133	80
20618 Andalusite Way	0.15mi	3/2.5	1,189 (-6%)	2mo	$137,999	$116	80
20626 Andalusite Way	0.15mi	3/2.5	1,360 (+7%)	0mo	$146,999	$108	78
20614 Andalusite Way	0.15mi	3/2.5	1,360 (+7%)	2mo	$148,999	$110	77
2706 Jasper Stone	0.22mi	3/2.0	1,380 (+9%)	1mo	$141,999	$103	74
2721 Morganite Ring	0.22mi	3/2.0	1,402 (+11%)	1mo	$181,999	$130	71
2717 Morganite Ring	0.22mi	3/2.0	1,411 (+12%)	1mo	$177,999	$126	70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.44×
• Total profit: $21,685
• Equity at exit: $89,267

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.59×
• Total profit: $78,737
• Equity at exit: $145,552

Cash invested: $49,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78264

• Home prices YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 329
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,377 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$929
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$221 /mo · $2,658/yr
• Insurance: −$74
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$289
• Net cashflow: $-137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,550

Max offer price $157,414

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,296
• Closing costs: $5,316
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 20 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2906 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1360	$1,550	$1.14	44d	1	0.04mi
3008 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1189	$1,195	$1.01	3d	1	0.04mi
20447 Red Coral San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1230	$1,320	$1.07	24d	1	0.05mi
20356 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.5	1013	$1,199	$1.18	18d	1	0.06mi
20448 Red Coral San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1129	$1,500	$1.33	24d	1	0.08mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1207	$1,400	$1.16	16d	1	0.11mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1207	$1,350	$1.12	44d	1	0.11mi
20618 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1179	$1,450	$1.23	4d	1	0.12mi
20622 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.5	1535	$1,550	$1.01	44d	1	0.12mi
20642 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1189	$1,450	$1.22	22d	1	0.13mi
20511 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1189	$1,450	$1.22	18d	1	0.14mi
2807 Ruby Xing San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,400	$1.10	24d	1	0.15mi
20335 Campbellton Rd San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,450	$1.04	44d	1	0.49mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	896	$950	$1.06	3d	1	0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1216	$995	$0.82	3d	1	0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1216	$995	$0.82	24d	1	0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	896	$950	$1.06	24d	1	0.52mi
20823 Pinon Grv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1403	$1,650	$1.18	44d	1	1.02mi
19230 FM 1937 #4 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1316	$1,450	$1.10	24d	1	1.12mi
20414 Deets Trl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1858	$1,750	$0.94	3d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $173,999 Active 496 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   pricedays on market $173,999 Active 495 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $176,999 Active 494 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $176,999 Active 493 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $176,999 Active 491 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $176,999 Active 490 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   price $176,999 Active 487 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $179,999 Active 487 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $179,999 Active 486 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $179,999 Active 485 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $180,999 Active 482 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,999 Active 481 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,999 Active 480 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,999 Active 479 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,999 Active 478 DOM
16. 2026-05-01
    price $180,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

17. 2026-04-17
    price $184,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

18. 2026-02-13
    price $189,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

19. 2025-11-23
    price $194,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

20. 2025-11-16
    price $199,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

21. 2025-09-01
    price $204,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

22. 2025-06-30
    price $209,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

23. 2025-04-04
    price $224,999 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

24. 2025-02-08
    listed $213,999 Active 414-char remark

    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are ideal for household members and hosting overnight guests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,524
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,925
• − Property taxes: −$2,658
• − Insurance: −$886
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,322
• − Management: −$1,322
• − Depreciation: −$5,154
• Taxable loss: −$4,743
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,138
• After-tax cash flow: $-501/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Southside ISD
• NCES district ID: 4840920
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $43,526
• Composite: 17.68/100
• National rank: #9027
• State rank: #771 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #31
• US rank: #1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 1,806,925
• Population (ZIP): 11,702

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,336,851 people
• By 2030: 2,560,728 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 3,020,569 · +29.3%
• By 2050: 3,493,522 · +49.5%
• By 2075: 4,668,459 · +99.8%
• By 2100: 5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 35% White 17% Black 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 73%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Greek 1%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada
• Languages at home: 48% English-only · Spanish 51% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.94%
• Current HPI: 298.8446
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-15.4% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $180,999 Zillow
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $184,999 Zillow
• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $189,999 Zillow
• 2025-11-23 Price Changed $194,999 Zillow
• 2025-11-16 Price Changed $199,999 Zillow
• 2025-09-01 Price Changed $204,999 Zillow
• 2025-06-30 Price Changed $209,999 Zillow
• 2025-04-04 Price Changed $224,999 Zillow
• 2025-02-08 Listed $213,999 Zillow