91 County Road 525 · Clyde, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.49%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice doublewide on almost 1 acre of land in Clyde.
Key facts
- 0.84 acre lot
- Built 2019
- Listed 281 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Clyde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety D+.
- Clyde CISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #341 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Callahan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Callahan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.60%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,034
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- 3.55%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-13,598
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $847
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79510
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,380 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,364/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $156
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2025-09-10$145,000 Active 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
Nice doublewide on almost 1 acre of land in Clyde.
-
2025-09-01historical
-
2024-09-30$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,364 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,654 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,290/yr (+$107/mo · 94.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major 49% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,560
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,364
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,325
- − Management
- −$1,325
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$519
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$125
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,993/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clyde CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,614
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #4824
- State rank
- #341 of 826 in TX
Livability — Clyde
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #498
- US rank
- #9935
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,135
Population outlook (Callahan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,664 people
- By 2030
- 13,578 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 13,283 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 13,008 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 12,354 · -9.6%
- By 2100
- 11,326 · -17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Callahan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.6) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -61.7pp · 2024: -77.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.6 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+61.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.42%
- Current HPI
- 186.6326
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-10 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-09-30 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+50.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,364 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…