5096 S Monroe School Rd · Monroe City, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on approximately 1.43 acres, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a rural setting with space for outdoor use and flexibility. The home features a kitchen with ample cabinetry and vinyl flooring through the main living areas, along with ceiling fans for added comfort. The primary bathroom includes a jetted tub and updated vanity. A combined bathroom and laundry space adds convenience to the layout. Outside, the property includes a detached 2-car garage with a concrete floor and built-in shelving, providing space for parking, storage, or workshop use. A covered front porch and side deck offer additional areas to sit and enjoy the surrounding property. The acreage allows for a variet
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Ample cabinetry
- Jetted tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned A2 Non-Exclusive Agriculture; Lot size about 1.43 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces; Off-street parking with gravel surfaces
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built as site-built construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot is sloped and level; Triangle-shaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Basement: Partial crawl space basement
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms included)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#212 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- South Knox School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #66 of 301 in IN (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Knox Elementary School (math 48% / reading 48%, grade D, #314 of 994 statewide, top 32%, 662 students, 41% FRL); South Knox Middle-High School (math 43% / reading 54%, grade D, #139 of 369 statewide, top 38%, 585 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 22% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
- Knox County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $125k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.16%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,153
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 17.75%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5096 S Monroe School Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $109 | 98 |
| 1002 S Breckinridge St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 14mo | $50,000 | $41 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $46,645
- Equity at exit
- $79,666
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.69×
- Total profit
- $129,313
- Equity at exit
- $145,417
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47557
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,131 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $420/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 761-char remark
-
2026-05-04$125,000 Active 761-char remark
-
2019-03-13$99,900
-
2010-06-30soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $420 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $741 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$321/yr (+$27/mo · 76.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,567
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$420
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,085
- − Management
- −$1,085
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$287
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Knox School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810410
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,585
- Composite
- 42.06/100
- National rank
- #3325
- State rank
- #66 of 301 in IN
Livability — Monroe City
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #9347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,360
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,092 people
- By 2030
- 36,271 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 34,196 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 32,405 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 28,754 · -22.5%
- By 2100
- 24,110 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.0% · R 74.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.9pp toward R · 2008: -6.5pp · 2024: -50.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.4 2020: R+47.4 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+6.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Current HPI
- 230.7513
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+108.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $125,000 IRMLS
- 2019-03-13 Listed $99,900 IRMLS
- 2010-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+40.5%/yrLatest (2024): $420 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…