314 Clayton St · Rochester, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
314 Clayton Street, Rochester 46975-Move in ready home with three bedrooms, one bathroom, large living room, convenient location.
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Large eat-in kitchen
- Newer wood flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is listed by Morris Real Estate and Consulting, LLC
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built as site-built home
- Exterior features: Level lot; Shed on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Ceiling fan cooling (no central AC)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($691/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.4% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#206 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Rochester Community School Corporation (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: George M Riddle Elementary School (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #584 of 994 statewide, top 59%, 364 students, 58% FRL); Rochester Community Middle School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #164 of 330 statewide, top 50%, 317 students, 58% FRL); Rochester Community High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 610 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $145k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.70%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,279
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -2.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Clayton St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-7%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $92 | 75 |
| 527 Man-chester Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (-1%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $145 | 70 |
| 323 Fulton Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,319 (+2%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $114 | 60 |
| 938 Jackson Blvd | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,386 (+7%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $112 | 53 |
| 1027 Elm St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $63 | 51 |
| 608 Madison St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,214 (-6%) | 24mo | $134,000 | $110 | 49 |
| 1002 Elm St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+8%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 219 Fulton Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,384 (+7%) | 10mo | $136,000 | $98 | 42 |
| 202 Fulton Ave | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-2%) | 19mo | $157,000 | $125 | 37 |
| 515 Jefferson St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,478 (+14%) | 21mo | $51,000 | $35 | 31 |
| 1200 College Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-13%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $120 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-19,874
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-12,763
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46975
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,213 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $960/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $58
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $140 | -5% $99 | +0% $58 | +5% $17 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $10 | +0% $58 | +5% $105 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $131 | -0.5pp $94 | base $58 | +0.5pp $20 | +1.0pp $-18 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 Main St Rochester, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1707 Madison St Rochester, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$145,000 Active 449-char remark
-
2020-08-28soldstatus $52,000
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
314 Clayton Street, Rochester 46975-Move in ready home with three bedrooms, one bathroom, large living room, convenient location.
-
2020-08-14$54,900
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
314 Clayton Street, Rochester 46975-Move in ready home with three bedrooms, one bathroom, large living room, convenient location.
-
2015-04-21historical
-
2015-02-09$39,900
-
2015-02-09$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $960 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,096 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$136/yr (+$11/mo · 14.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,558
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$960
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,165
- − Management
- −$1,165
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,797
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$431
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,122/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1809630
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,645
- Composite
- 30.44/100
- National rank
- #6231
- State rank
- #188 of 301 in IN
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #9060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, IN
- County
- Fulton County · 13,824 people
- City population
- 13,824
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,824
- Household income
- $61,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 238.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,537 people
- By 2030
- 19,013 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 17,959 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 17,038 · -12.8%
- By 2075
- 15,117 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 13,179 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.72%
- Current HPI
- 212.9033
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+263.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $145,000 IRMLS
- 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $52,000 IRMLS
- 2020-08-14 Listed $54,900 IRMLS
- 2015-04-21 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-09 Listed $39,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-09 Listed $39,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $960 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…