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314 Clayton St
D Composite 43.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

314 Clayton St · Rochester, IN 46975
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,292 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1940 9,583 sqft lot $112/sqft · at area comps Est $148k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

314 Clayton Street, Rochester 46975-Move in ready home with three bedrooms, one bathroom, large living room, convenient location.

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Newer wood flooring

Tags

LARGE EAT-IN KITCHENNEW METAL ROOFUPDATED PLUMBINGNEWER WOOD FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is listed by Morris Real Estate and Consulting, LLC

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built as site-built home
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Ceiling fan cooling (no central AC)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on main level; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($691/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.4% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#206 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rochester Community School Corporation (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: George M Riddle Elementary School (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #584 of 994 statewide, top 59%, 364 students, 58% FRL); Rochester Community Middle School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #164 of 330 statewide, top 50%, 317 students, 58% FRL); Rochester Community High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 610 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $145k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,314 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.70%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$148,279
List price
$145,000
Delta
-2.21%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
129 Clayton St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,196 (-7%) 4mo $110,000 $92 75
527 Man-chester Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,274 (-1%) 8mo $185,000 $145 70
323 Fulton Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,319 (+2%) 3mo $150,000 $114 60
938 Jackson Blvd 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,386 (+7%) 2mo $155,000 $112 53
1027 Elm St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+4%) 16mo $85,000 $63 51
608 Madison St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,214 (-6%) 24mo $134,000 $110 49
1002 Elm St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,402 (+8%) 9mo $160,000 $114 47
219 Fulton Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,384 (+7%) 10mo $136,000 $98 42
202 Fulton Ave 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (-2%) 19mo $157,000 $125 37
515 Jefferson St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,478 (+14%) 21mo $51,000 $35 31
1200 College Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (-13%) 16mo $135,000 $120 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-19,874
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-12,763
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46975

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,213 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $960/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,140
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $140 -5% $99 +0% $58 +5% $17 +10% $-25
Rent -10% $-38 -5% $10 +0% $58 +5% $105 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $131 -0.5pp $94 base $58 +0.5pp $20 +1.0pp $-18

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
513 Main St Rochester, IN 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 16d 1 0.46mi
1707 Madison St Rochester, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 25d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $145,000 Active 449-char remark
  17. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $52,000
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    314 Clayton Street, Rochester 46975-Move in ready home with three bedrooms, one bathroom, large living room, convenient location.

  18. 2020-08-14
    listed $54,900
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    314 Clayton Street, Rochester 46975-Move in ready home with three bedrooms, one bathroom, large living room, convenient location.

  19. 2015-04-21
    historical
  20. 2015-02-09
    listed $39,900
  21. 2015-02-09
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$960 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$136/yr (+$11/mo · 14.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,558
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$960
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,165
− Management
−$1,165
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,797
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$431
After-tax cash flow
$1,122/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1809630
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,645
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6231
State rank
#188 of 301 in IN

Livability — Rochester

Score
69/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#9060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, IN
County
Fulton County · 13,824 people
City population
13,824
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
13,824
Household income
$61,185
Rent vs Own
21.3% rent · 78.7% own
Severe rent burden
238.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,537 people
By 2030
19,013 · -2.7%
By 2040
17,959 · -8.1%
By 2050
17,038 · -12.8%
By 2075
15,117 · -22.6%
By 2100
13,179 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.72%
Current HPI
212.9033
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+263.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent IRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $145,000 IRMLS
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $52,000 IRMLS
  • 2020-08-14 Listed $54,900 IRMLS
  • 2015-04-21 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-09 Listed $39,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-09 Listed $39,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $960 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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