3031 Cunningham Dr · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$96,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors Special!!! Calling all house flippers/investors. This house has great potential. With some cosmetic repairs, this home could be either a 5 bedroom, 2 bath and 1 living area or 4 bedroom, 2 bath and 1 living area. Asking $96,500. Buyer to pay all closing costs. Home is being sold As-Is. Must have a pre approval letter from bank.
Key facts
- 9,209 sq ft lot
- Built 1980
- Listed 243 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $96k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $667 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.28%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $210,000
- List price
- $96,500
- Delta
- -54.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3026 Moffett Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,837 (-1%) | 1mo | $199,500 | $109 | 88 |
| 3007 Lavell Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,927 (+4%) | 13mo | $179,900 | $93 | 75 |
| 4814 Rhea Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,641 (-12%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $155 | 56 |
| 1 Masterson Cir | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (-9%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $124 | 55 |
| 4114 Lavell Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,578 (-15%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 2724 Devon Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,822 (-2%) | 20mo | $249,999 | $137 | 50 |
| 4804 Dickens St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,062 (+11%) | 22mo | $274,600 | $133 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $20,403
- Equity at exit
- $14,388
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $67,694
- Equity at exit
- $8,344
Cash invested: $27,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76308
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,536 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$506
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$121 /mo · $1,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $547
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $613 | -5% $580 | +0% $547 | +5% $513 | +10% $480 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $486 | +0% $547 | +5% $607 | +10% $668 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $595 | -0.5pp $571 | base $547 | +0.5pp $522 | +1.0pp $496 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,125
- Closing costs
- $2,895
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4220 Idlewood Dr Wichita Falls, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1516 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2612 Southwest Pkwy Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 987 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 44d | 23 | 1.12mi |
| 5021 Taft Blvd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1236 | $1,775 | $1.44 | 44d | 8 | 1.39mi |
| 5114 Fairway Blvd Wichita Falls, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $96,500 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $96,500 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $96,500 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $96,500 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $96,500 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $96,500 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $96,500 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $96,500 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $96,500 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $96,500 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $96,500 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $96,500 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $96,500 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $96,500 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,500 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $96,500 Active 223 DOM
-
2025-10-19$96,500 Active 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Investors Special!!! Calling all house flippers/investors. This house has great potential. With some cosmetic repairs, this home could be either a 5 bedroom, 2 bath and 1 living area or 4 bedroom, 2 bath and 1 living area. Asking $96,500. Buyer to pay all closing costs. Home is being sold As-Is. Must have a pre approval letter from bank.
-
2021-01-27soldstatus 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Beautiful 4 bedroom 2 full bath home filled with lots of updates . Granite counters, & appliances included ( refrigerator, & nbsp; gas stove, dishwasher, & nbsp; microwave) spacious laundry , with central heat and air . Cozy fireplace in second living space. Just a gorgeous home ready for anyone.
-
2021-01-27soldstatus
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Beautiful 4 bedroom 2 full bath home filled with lots of updates . Granite counters, & appliances included ( refrigerator, & nbsp; gas stove, dishwasher, & nbsp; microwave) spacious laundry , with central heat and air . Cozy fireplace in second living space. Just a gorgeous home ready for anyone.
-
2020-12-28$145,000 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Beautiful 4 bedroom 2 full bath home filled with lots of updates . Granite counters, & appliances included ( refrigerator, & nbsp; gas stove, dishwasher, & nbsp; microwave) spacious laundry , with central heat and air . Cozy fireplace in second living space. Just a gorgeous home ready for anyone.
-
2019-04-26soldstatus
-
2019-02-25$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,406
- − Property taxes
- −$1,448
- − Insurance
- −$482
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,475
- − Management
- −$1,475
- − Depreciation
- −$2,807
- Taxable income
- $5,342
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,282
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,896
- Household income
- $74,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 708.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.47%
- Current HPI
- 177.1989
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.77%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+75.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-19 Listed $96,500 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2021-01-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-27 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2020-12-28 Listed $145,000 WFAOR
- 2019-04-26 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2019-02-25 Listed $54,900 WFAOR
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,307 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…