1323 Crawford St · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath gem is the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and opportunity. Whether you're looking for the ideal family home or a smart investment, this property checks all the boxes. Featuring spacious living areas, a functional layout, and endless potential, it's move-in ready with room to make it your own. Nestled in a quiet, established neighborhood, you'll enjoy peace and privacy while staying close to shopping, dining, and downtown Macon. Perfect for first-time buyers, growing families, or savvy investors-don't miss your chance to turn this house into your next success story. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1994
- Listed 127 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,139/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.09%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,104
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 76.20%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 670 Poppy Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+5%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $28 | 77 |
| 2017 Lowe St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+2%) | 10mo | $47,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 1355 Harris St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (+9%) | 9mo | $102,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 853 Grayson Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (-2%) | 4mo | $38,000 | $39 | 67 |
| 1191 Carroll St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (+12%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $62 | 62 |
| 344 Blossom Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-7%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 549 Straight St | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+6%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $47 | 51 |
| 703 Edwards Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (-8%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $113 | 50 |
| 2509 Kent Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+12%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $150 | 44 |
| 1162 Ruben Dr | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-5%) | 8mo | $19,500 | $20 | 44 |
| 1162 Ruben Drive Dr Unit m | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-5%) | 8mo | $19,500 | $20 | 44 |
| 2332 Ballard Pl | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 868 (-14%) | 14mo | $25,000 | $29 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,016
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $14,757
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,139 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $934/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2445 Lowe St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $890 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $850 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 728 Key St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1089 Brisbane St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,075 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 806 Armory Dr Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 672 Bowden St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $900 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $745 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 771 Harold St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3034 Churchill St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $900 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1782 Eveline Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $895 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 663 Williams St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $980 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2154 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $750 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 738 Liberty St Unit 738 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1378 | $989 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 738 Liberty St Unit 730 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1376 | $680 | $0.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 645 Rutherford Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,395 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1268 College St Unit 1 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,730 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1835 Bethlea Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1635 2nd St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 832 Elm St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 495 Pittman St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $995 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 520 Nelson St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,225 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1347 Jackson St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 558 Cleveland St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $925 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1232 Shamrock St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $889 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1227 Calhoun St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-02-11$120,000 New 645-char remark
Show marketing remark (645 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath gem is the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and opportunity. Whether you're looking for the ideal family home or a smart investment, this property checks all the boxes. Featuring spacious living areas, a functional layout, and endless potential, it's move-in ready with room to make it your own. Nestled in a quiet, established neighborhood, you'll enjoy peace and privacy while staying close to shopping, dining, and downtown Macon. Perfect for first-time buyers, growing families, or savvy investors-don't miss your chance to turn this house into your next success story. Schedule your showing today!
-
2024-11-20historical
-
2024-08-23status Back On Market
-
2024-08-08status Under Contract
-
2024-07-05$115,000 New
-
2023-06-29soldstatus $95,000
-
2023-06-26soldstatus $95,000 Sold
-
2023-06-12status Under Contract
-
2023-04-03historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-03-28$95,000 New
-
2022-02-08soldstatus $81,700
-
2022-02-03soldstatus $86,000 Sold
-
2022-01-05status Under Contract
-
2021-12-28$89,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,104 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$170/yr (+$14/mo · 18.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$934
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,093
- − Management
- −$1,093
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+33.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2024-11-20 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-08-23 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2024-08-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-07-05 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2023-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-26 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GAMLS
- 2023-06-12 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-04-03 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2023-03-28 Listed $95,000 GAMLS
- 2022-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $81,700 Public Records
- 2022-02-03 Sold (MLS) $86,000 GAMLS
- 2022-01-05 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-28 Listed $89,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $934 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…