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17 Bigelow St Multi-family
F Composite 27.05
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0

$384,900

17 Bigelow St · Worcester, MA 01610
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,296 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 2003 2,305 sqft lot $297/sqft · 9% above area Est $354k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

UNDER CONSTRUCTION, 99% COMPLETE, TAX RATE 16.16 PER 1000 FOR FY JUL02-JUN03. PREVIOUS VALUATION 52900 X 16.16 = 854 200 YDS TO CROMPTON PARK, 1/2 MILE TO 290. 2 MILES TO 146. 1 MILE TO UNION STATION.

Key facts

  • 2,305 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2003

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.05 acres; Public road frontage
  • HOA & community: Not a senior community; Nearby community features: public transportation, medical facility, laundromat, highway access, public school, university

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Two covered parking spaces; Two open/off-street parking spaces (4 total spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110 volt electric
  • Home design: Single family residence; Multi/split levels; Property is attached
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built year from public records (actual year not specified)
  • Exterior features: Wood deck; Zero lot line

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms included (number not specified)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Cooling system (type listed as 'Other')
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer details not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $385k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (51.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (40.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (51.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D.
  • Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 25 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,290/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2517% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; list at $385k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,903 (51.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-7.42%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
14.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$353,696
List price
$384,900
Delta
8.82%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.73% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-102,461
Equity at exit
$97,987
10-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
-0.58×
Total profit
$-170,374
Equity at exit
$107,285

Cash invested: $107,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01610

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
-2.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,290 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,018
Tax from tax record
$296 /mo · $3,553/yr
Insurance
$160
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$-1,126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,716
Max offer price $185,903
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,225
Closing costs
$11,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19 Endicott St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1134 $2,200 $1.94 43d 1 0.13mi
177 Washington St #3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 43d 1 0.13mi
1 Green Island Blvd Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0–2.0 904 $3,731 $4.13 14d 27 0.24mi
23 Millbury St Unit 25 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1225 $1,895 $1.55 23d 1 0.25mi
23 Millbury St Unit 25 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1225 $1,895 $1.55 43d 1 0.25mi
20 Perry Ave Unit 2 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,695 $1.78 14d 1 0.26mi
24 Suffield St Apt 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,450 $1.69 23d 1 0.30mi
91 Ward St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,350 $1.96 19d 1 0.32mi
5 Sterling St Apt 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 23d 1 0.34mi
70 Seymour St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1500 $2,550 $1.70 43d 1 0.35mi
70 Seymour St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1500 $2,600 $1.73 43d 1 0.35mi
42 Dorchester St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 43d 1 0.36mi
11 Pattison St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 14d 1 0.37mi
91 Perry Ave Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1203 $2,000 $1.66 43d 1 0.37mi
4 Vernon Ter Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 43d 1 0.39mi
16 Hillside St Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,200 $1.83 21d 1 0.41mi
21 Sycamore St Unit 7 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 875 $1,725 $1.97 43d 1 0.42mi
7 Hillside St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 43d 1 0.42mi
39 Harlem St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1332 $2,300 $1.73 43d 1 0.45mi
29 Arlington St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1850 $2,500 $1.35 43d 1 0.45mi
51 Arlington St Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1400 $2,350 $1.68 43d 1 0.45mi
85 Green St Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0–2.0 719 $4,400 $6.12 14d 22 0.46mi
48 Windham St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1391 $1,950 $1.40 43d 1 0.46mi
2 Hillside St Apt 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1305 $1,998 $1.53 21d 1 0.46mi
17 Hermon St Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0–2.0 752 $2,800 $3.72 21d 11 0.47mi
8 S Harlem St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 43d 1 0.48mi
5 Madison St Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0–2.0 811 $3,720 $4.59 23d 1 0.49mi
8 Euclid Ave Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,800 $1.71 23d 1 0.50mi
101 Providence St Unit 2nd Floor Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,200 $1.52 23d 1 0.51mi
48 Providence St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1600 $2,800 $1.75 43d 1 0.51mi
118 Vernon St Unit 2F Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,900 $1.52 43d 1 0.51mi
61 Providence St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,800 $1.75 14d 1 0.52mi
21 Washburn St Unit A Worcester, MA 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,000 $1.88 43d 1 0.53mi
14 Benefit Ter Unit 2 Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,400 $2.00 21d 1 0.54mi
23 Windham St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 2.0 1353 $2,350 $1.74 23d 1 0.54mi
5 Mount Pleasant St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1422 $2,200 $1.55 14d 1 0.55mi
5 Mount Pleasant St Apt 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1422 $2,500 $1.76 43d 1 0.55mi
125 Vernon St Unit C Worcester, MA 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,700 $2.25 14d 1 0.56mi
600 Main St Worcester, MA 1.0–2.0 1.0 766 $1,951 $2.55 14d 17 0.59mi
2 Benefit St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,850 $2.06 43d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $384,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $384,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $384,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $384,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $384,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $384,900 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $384,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $384,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $384,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $384,900 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $384,900 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $384,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $384,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $384,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $384,900 Price Changed 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $394,000 New 588-char remark
  17. 2003-07-28
    soldstatus $159,900 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    UNDER CONSTRUCTION, 99% COMPLETE, TAX RATE 16.16 PER 1000 FOR FY JUL02-JUN03. PREVIOUS VALUATION 52900 X 16.16 = 854 200 YDS TO CROMPTON PARK, 1/2 MILE TO 290. 2 MILES TO 146. 1 MILE TO UNION STATION.

  18. 2003-06-05
    historical 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    UNDER CONSTRUCTION, 99% COMPLETE, TAX RATE 16.16 PER 1000 FOR FY JUL02-JUN03. PREVIOUS VALUATION 52900 X 16.16 = 854 200 YDS TO CROMPTON PARK, 1/2 MILE TO 290. 2 MILES TO 146. 1 MILE TO UNION STATION.

  19. 2003-05-30
    listed $159,900 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    UNDER CONSTRUCTION, 99% COMPLETE, TAX RATE 16.16 PER 1000 FOR FY JUL02-JUN03. PREVIOUS VALUATION 52900 X 16.16 = 854 200 YDS TO CROMPTON PARK, 1/2 MILE TO 290. 2 MILES TO 146. 1 MILE TO UNION STATION.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,553 · $296/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,144 · $345/mo
Expected delta
+$591/yr (+$49/mo · 16.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 52% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,476
− Mortgage interest
−$21,560
− Property taxes
−$3,553
− Insurance
−$7,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,198
− Management
−$2,198
− Depreciation
−$11,197
Taxable loss
−$20,680
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,963
After-tax cash flow
$-8,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester
NCES district ID
2513230
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,063
Composite
20.3/100
National rank
#8615
State rank
#280 of 302 in MA

Livability — Worcester

Score
87/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#312

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worcester, MA
County
Worcester County · 487,911 people
City population
207,324
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
Population (ZIP)
30,444
Household income
$51,472
Rent vs Own
80.8% rent · 19.2% own
Severe rent burden
2517.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
850,858 people
By 2030
860,403 · +1.1%
By 2040
869,902 · +2.2%
By 2050
869,110 · +2.1%
By 2075
870,120 · +2.3%
By 2100
829,703 · -2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 42% White 34% Two or more races 21% Black 13% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.73%
Current HPI
485.4378
Rent YoY
▼ -2.22%
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $384,900 MLS PIN
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $394,000 MLS PIN
  • 2003-07-28 Sold (MLS) $159,900 MLS PIN
  • 2003-06-05 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2003-05-30 Listed $159,900 MLS PIN

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,553 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…