4203 S Bonham St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price Improvement!! Plus, repairs and updates coming soon! Rare find in South Amarillo! This 3-bedroom home features a new roof and a spacious floor plan anchored by a beautiful dual fireplace. The large primary suite offers a private exit to the spacious fenced backyard, perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Located within walking distance to Lamar Elementary and St. Joseph's private school. Large lot, established neighborhood, and move-in ready. This one won't last long!
Key facts
- Large lot
- Dual fireplace
- Move in ready
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.05%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,352
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -6.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,445
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $36,075
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79110
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,681 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4108 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,525 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3610 S Austin St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1810 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4316 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4611 Cline Rd Amarillo, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4615 S Lipscomb St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4308 S Jackson St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $1,490 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1128 Pikes Peak Dr Amarillo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3005 SW 28th Ave Unit C Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4109 Tucson Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3101 S Van Buren St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1922 | $2,300 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $1,475 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3719 Julie Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,675 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3110 SW 27th Ave Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,482 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3110 SW 27th Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1085 | $1,482 | $1.37 | 13d | 3 | 1.31mi |
| 2709 S Van Buren St Unit 1 Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5146 Susan Dr Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,675 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2030 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1307 | $1,750 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2104 S Travis St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $176,540 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Price Improvement!! Plus, repairs and updates coming soon! Rare find in South Amarillo! This 3-bedroom home features a new roof and a spacious floor plan anchored by a beautiful dual fireplace. The large primary suite offers a private exit to the spacious fenced backyard, perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Located within walking distance to Lamar Elementary and St. Joseph's private school. Large lot, established neighborhood, and move-in ready. This one won't last long!
-
2026-04-18$182,000 Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Price Improvement!! Plus, repairs and updates coming soon! Rare find in South Amarillo! This 3-bedroom home features a new roof and a spacious floor plan anchored by a beautiful dual fireplace. The large primary suite offers a private exit to the spacious fenced backyard, perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Located within walking distance to Lamar Elementary and St. Joseph's private school. Large lot, established neighborhood, and move-in ready. This one won't last long!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,208 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,208 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,208
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $224
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$54
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,488/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Randall County · 137,351 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,994
- Household income
- $66,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 208.0
Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,140 people
- By 2030
- 163,107 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 184,999 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 206,948 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 260,204 · +71.0%
- By 2100
- 294,980 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.16%
- Current HPI
- 180.2164
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.04%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-3.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $176,540 AARMLS
- 2026-04-18 Listed $182,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,208 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…