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550 Ontario St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

550 Ontario St · Buffalo, NY 14207
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,478 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1925 3,750 sqft lot $76/sqft · 49% below area Est $373k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN * BUILD EQUITY * LET YOUR TENANT HELP PAY THE MORTGAGE * SPACIOUS & SOLIDLY BUILT 3/3 DOUBLE IN THE UP AND COMING RIVERSIDE NEIGHBORHOOD * LOWER UNIT FEATURES A LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ARTIFICIAL FIREPLACE * FORMAL DINING ROOM HAS A CEILING FAN * EAT IN KITCHEN IS PARTIALLY UPDATED * ONE BEDROOM HAS A DOOR THAT LEADS TO A 20X20 REAR COVERED DECK * BOTH UNITS FEATURE NATURAL WOODWORK AND BUILT IN CABINETS * UPPER UNIT HAS A 12X9 OPEN FRONT PORCH * UPGRADED ELECTRICAL SERVICE IN EACH UNIT * GLASS BLOCK BASEMENT * OFF STREET PARKING * SEPARATE UTILITIES EXCEPT FOR WATER * RENT COULD BE HIGHER

Key facts

  • 3,750 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $189,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$373,412) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,734/mo this rent would consume 83% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $189k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $186,165 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.68%
Cash-on-cash
22.79%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$373,412
List price
$189,000
Delta
-49.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
528 Ontario St 0.04mi 6/2.0 2,664 (+8%) 11mo $240,000 $90 77
129 Philadelphia St 0.10mi 6/2.0 2,292 (-8%) 9mo $250,000 $109 75
74 Philadelphia St 0.09mi 6/2.0 2,160 (-13%) 5mo $170,000 $79 70
68 Baxter St 0.57mi 6/2.0 2,430 (-2%) 5mo $165,000 $68 66
908 Tonawanda St 0.61mi 6/2.0 2,332 (-6%) 2mo $145,000 $62 60
179 Laird Ave 0.40mi 6/2.0 2,825 (+14%) 0mo $278,500 $99 58
65 Huetter Ave 0.75mi 6/2.0 2,464 (-1%) 13mo $100,100 $41 53
311 Newfield St 0.45mi 6/2.0 2,129 (-14%) 6mo $215,000 $101 50
208 Roesch Ave 0.38mi 6/2.0 2,160 (-13%) 13mo $250,000 $116 50
84 Riverside Ave 0.64mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-11%) 13mo $250,000 $114 41
241 Laird Ave 0.52mi 6/4.0 2,200 (-11%) 13mo $83,500 $38 39
378 Wabash Ave 0.73mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,299 (-7%) 13mo $285,000 $124 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$47,795
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
4.58×
Total profit
$189,612
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,734 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$574
Net cashflow
$1,005

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,462
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 58%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,734

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $189,000 Pending 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $189,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-05-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  7. 2026-05-06
    status Active
  8. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  9. 2026-04-19
    listed $189,000 Active
  10. 2013-09-16
    soldstatus $58,000 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN * BUILD EQUITY * LET YOUR TENANT HELP PAY THE MORTGAGE * SPACIOUS & SOLIDLY BUILT 3/3 DOUBLE IN THE UP AND COMING RIVERSIDE NEIGHBORHOOD * LOWER UNIT FEATURES A LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ARTIFICIAL FIREPLACE * FORMAL DINING ROOM HAS A CEILING FAN * EAT IN KITCHEN IS PARTIALLY UPDATED * ONE BEDROOM HAS A DOOR THAT LEADS TO A 20X20 REAR COVERED DECK * BOTH UNITS FEATURE NATURAL WOODWORK AND BUILT IN CABINETS * UPPER UNIT HAS A 12X9 OPEN FRONT PORCH * UPGRADED ELECTRICAL SERVICE IN EACH UNIT * GLASS BLOCK BASEMENT * OFF STREET PARKING * SEPARATE UTILITIES EXCEPT FOR WATER * RENT COULD BE HIGHER

  11. 2013-09-16
    soldstatus $55,000
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN * BUILD EQUITY * LET YOUR TENANT HELP PAY THE MORTGAGE * SPACIOUS & SOLIDLY BUILT 3/3 DOUBLE IN THE UP AND COMING RIVERSIDE NEIGHBORHOOD * LOWER UNIT FEATURES A LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ARTIFICIAL FIREPLACE * FORMAL DINING ROOM HAS A CEILING FAN * EAT IN KITCHEN IS PARTIALLY UPDATED * ONE BEDROOM HAS A DOOR THAT LEADS TO A 20X20 REAR COVERED DECK * BOTH UNITS FEATURE NATURAL WOODWORK AND BUILT IN CABINETS * UPPER UNIT HAS A 12X9 OPEN FRONT PORCH * UPGRADED ELECTRICAL SERVICE IN EACH UNIT * GLASS BLOCK BASEMENT * OFF STREET PARKING * SEPARATE UTILITIES EXCEPT FOR WATER * RENT COULD BE HIGHER

  12. 2013-03-19
    listed $64,900 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN * BUILD EQUITY * LET YOUR TENANT HELP PAY THE MORTGAGE * SPACIOUS & SOLIDLY BUILT 3/3 DOUBLE IN THE UP AND COMING RIVERSIDE NEIGHBORHOOD * LOWER UNIT FEATURES A LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ARTIFICIAL FIREPLACE * FORMAL DINING ROOM HAS A CEILING FAN * EAT IN KITCHEN IS PARTIALLY UPDATED * ONE BEDROOM HAS A DOOR THAT LEADS TO A 20X20 REAR COVERED DECK * BOTH UNITS FEATURE NATURAL WOODWORK AND BUILT IN CABINETS * UPPER UNIT HAS A 12X9 OPEN FRONT PORCH * UPGRADED ELECTRICAL SERVICE IN EACH UNIT * GLASS BLOCK BASEMENT * OFF STREET PARKING * SEPARATE UTILITIES EXCEPT FOR WATER * RENT COULD BE HIGHER

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,105 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$1,089/yr (+$91/mo · 107.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,808
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$1,017
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,625
− Management
−$2,625
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable income
$9,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,283
After-tax cash flow
$9,780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+191.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $189,000 WNYREIS
  • 2013-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2013-09-16 Sold (MLS) $58,000 WNYREIS
  • 2013-03-19 Listed $64,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+22.8%/yr

Latest (2020): $1,017 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…