507 Wisteria St · Oak Point, TX 75068

$608,035

4 bd · 4.5 ba · 2,596 sqft · Land · 6 Days on market

Built 2026 6,050 sqft lot $234/sqft · 40% above area Est $543k · 12% over $104/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +4.3/30.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +2.1/15.0
• Rent growth +2.1/5.0
• 1% rule +0.6/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Rhone at 507 Wisteria Street in South Oak! Step into a bright and welcoming home where thoughtful design and everyday comfort come together beautifully. The spacious great room flows effortlessly into a charming dining area and an open kitchen with a center island, perfect for gathering and entertaining. A serene primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a spa-inspired bath and generous walk-in closet. The first floor also features a secondary bedroom, a shared full bath, and a dedicated study that is ideal for working from home or quiet moments. Upstairs, a graceful curved staircase leads to versatile spaces including a media room, game room, and additional bedrooms perfect for family or guests. Enjoy indoor-outdoor living with a lovely covered patio just off the main living area. Come home to a lakeside lifestyle at South Oak 50s. Enjoy community walking trails, catch-and-release fishing, and a clubhouse with a resort-style pool, aerobics and weight rooms, lounge areas, and a catering kitchen. Plus, a brand-new elementary school is being built less than two miles away, adding even more convenience for families. Additional Highlights Include: Brick front porch, additional secondary bath on second floor, extended covered outdoor living and primary suite, exterior gas drop, slide-in tub at primary bath, and pendant lights at kitchen island. Virtually staged photos are for representative purposes only. MLS#21270706

Key facts

• Tub in primary bath
• 2-story great room
• New construction

Tags

• TUB IN PRIMARY BATH
• 2-STORY GREAT ROOM
• NEW CONSTRUCTION
• COVERED PATIO
• COMMUNITY WALKING TRAILS
• CATCH-AND-RELEASE FISHING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath land listed at $608k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $375k (38.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $341k (43.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $341k (43.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#887 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Little Elm ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #327 of 826 in TX (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 1306 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($127k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $341,014 (43.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.56% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.11%
• Cash-on-cash: -11.36%
• DSCR: 0.49
• GRM: 14.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $543,378
• List price: $608,035
• Delta: 11.90%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -40.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.24×
• Total profit: $-211,074
• Equity at exit: $90,660

10-year hold

• IRR: -88.1%
• Equity multiple: -1.08×
• Total profit: $-354,155
• Equity at exit: $52,572

Cash invested: $170,250 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75068

• Home prices YoY: -25.5%
• Rents YoY: -1.5%
• Active inventory: 1306
• Price-to-rent: 14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,410 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,189
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$760 /mo · $9,121/yr
• Insurance: −$253
• HOA: −$104
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$716
• Net cashflow: $-1,612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,451

Max offer price $374,779

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $152,009
• Closing costs: $18,241
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
329 Magnolia St Little Elm, TX	5.0	4.5	2536	$4,300	$1.70	18d	1	0.20mi
329 Magnolia St Little Elm, TX	5.0	4.5	2536	$3,650	$1.44	1d	1	0.20mi
228 Glenwood Dr Little Elm, TX	4.0	2.0	2047	$2,650	$1.29	7d	1	0.29mi
3803 Fishermans Cv Little Elm, TX	4.0	3.5	2953	$3,000	$1.02	24d	1	0.41mi
3432 Fashion St Little Elm, TX	4.0	2.0	2075	$2,375	$1.14	43d	1	1.08mi
3413 Fashion St Little Elm, TX	4.0	2.0	2000	$2,239	$1.12	43d	1	1.13mi
825 Carrie Ln Little Elm, TX	4.0	3.5	3560	$15,000	$4.21	21d	1	1.21mi
825 Carrie Ln Unit 1028451P Lakewood Village, TX	4.0	3.5	3552	$21,302	$6.00	21d	1	1.21mi
2340 Willow Garden Dr Little Elm, TX	4.0	3.5	2630	$2,850	$1.08	18d	1	1.39mi
2116 Covey Ct Little Elm, TX	4.0	3.5	2623	$2,700	$1.03	44d	1	1.48mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $104 · $1,248/yr
• Likely covers: gaspool

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $608,035 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $608,035 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $608,035 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $608,035 Active 3 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on marketlisting id $608,035 Active 1 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $608,035 Active 26 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $608,035 Active 25 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $608,035 Active 24 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $608,035 Active 21 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $608,035 Active 20 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $608,035 Active 19 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $608,035 Active 18 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $608,035 Active 17 DOM
14. 2026-05-14
    listed $608,035 Active 1454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1454 chars)

    Welcome to the Rhone at 507 Wisteria Street in South Oak! Step into a bright and welcoming home where thoughtful design and everyday comfort come together beautifully. The spacious great room flows effortlessly into a charming dining area and an open kitchen with a center island, perfect for gathering and entertaining. A serene primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with a spa-inspired bath and generous walk-in closet. The first floor also features a secondary bedroom, a shared full bath, and a dedicated study that is ideal for working from home or quiet moments. Upstairs, a graceful curved staircase leads to versatile spaces including a media room, game room, and additional bedrooms perfect for family or guests. Enjoy indoor-outdoor living with a lovely covered patio just off the main living area. Come home to a lakeside lifestyle at South Oak 50s. Enjoy community walking trails, catch-and-release fishing, and a clubhouse with a resort-style pool, aerobics and weight rooms, lounge areas, and a catering kitchen. Plus, a brand-new elementary school is being built less than two miles away, adding even more convenience for families. Additional Highlights Include: Brick front porch, additional secondary bath on second floor, extended covered outdoor living and primary suite, exterior gas drop, slide-in tub at primary bath, and pendant lights at kitchen island. Virtually staged photos are for representative purposes only. MLS#21270706

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,922
• − Mortgage interest: −$34,059
• − Property taxes: −$9,121
• − Insurance: −$3,040
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,274
• − Management: −$3,274
• − HOA: −$1,248
• − Depreciation: −$17,688
• Taxable loss: −$30,782
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$7,388
• After-tax cash flow: $-11,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Little Elm ISD
• NCES district ID: 4827720
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $76,400
• Composite: 36.17/100
• National rank: #4734
• State rank: #327 of 826 in TX

Livability — Oak Point

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #887
• US rank: #15941

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Denton County · 901,654 people
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 72,710
• Household income: $126,635
• Rent vs Own: 19.8% rent · 80.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 829.0

Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,053,010 people
• By 2030: 1,192,269 · +13.2%
• By 2040: 1,472,920 · +39.9%
• By 2050: 1,746,506 · +65.9%
• By 2075: 2,358,497 · +124.0%
• By 2100: 2,779,183 · +163.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
• Race & ethnicity: White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Asian 12% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada, South Korea, China
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Denton

• 2024 margin: R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -85.41%
• Current HPI: 249.755
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.50%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Listed $608,035 Zillow