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4 Mayfair Ln
C Composite 59.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

4 Mayfair Ln · Lewes, DE 19958
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · Manufactured · 41 Days on market
Built 2000 40 ac lot $135/sqft · at area comps Est $210k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Manufactured in 2000 this well-kept home has curb appeal and a private patio for your enjoyment. Open the door to the curvy archways and a Euro feel inside, featuring a neutral color palette with luxury vinyl plank flooring in the main living areas, a spacious living room, formal dining room, breakfast nook and kitchen with prep island, skylights and appliances including a new gas stove. The primary ensuite bedroom is located at the rear of the home and offers a roomy walk-in closet and connecting ensuite bath with dual sinks, a soaking tub and walk-in shower. Completing the floor plan is a second bedroom, another full bath as well as flex space for your home office, a crafting corner or ad

Key facts

  • 40.19 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed in excellent condition; Land lease has ~100 years remaining
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease payment
  • HOA & community: Community indoor heated saltwater pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached front-entry 2-car garage; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Private water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric available; Cable TV available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Pitched roof; Main entrance faces west; Senior community (55+); Land lease ownership
  • Construction: Built by Ritz Craft; Constructed of block, concrete, glass and vinyl siding; Block foundation with crawl space; No basement
  • Exterior features: Patio(s); Porch(es); Bump-outs; BBQ grill; Exterior lighting; Street lights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas oven/range; Stove; Microwave; Refrigerator; Extra refrigerator/freezer; Eat-in kitchen / breakfast area; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; At least one bedroom on the entry level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet (partially carpeted); Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level); Master bath with stall shower
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pumps; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Programmable thermostat; 100 amp electrical service
  • Interior features: Breakfast area; Built-ins; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen/dining; Formal separate dining room; Kitchen island; Master bath; Skylights; Stall shower; Stain/lead glass windows; Window treatments; Walk-in closets; Storm door; 9'+ ceilings; Drywall walls/ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (main floor); 60+ gallon natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $219k).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.7% in Lewes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#40 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lewes Elementary School (math 58% / reading 60%, grade B-, #4 of 105 statewide, top 4%, 582 students, 0% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #7 of 36 statewide, top 17%, 664 students, 0% FRL); Cape Henlopen High School (math 26% / reading 51%, grade F, #14 of 40 statewide, top 33%, 1,813 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 818 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $212,430 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.30%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$209,691
List price
$219,000
Delta
4.44%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31702 Siham Rd #2339 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-6%) 22mo $130,000 $85 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-7,578
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$14,503
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19958

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
818
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,582 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax est. 1.5%
$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$542
Net cashflow
$527

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,916
Max offer price $219,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $678 -5% $602 +0% $527 +5% $451 +10% $375
Rent -10% $323 -5% $425 +0% $527 +5% $629 +10% $731
Rate -1.0pp $637 -0.5pp $582 base $527 +0.5pp $470 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20141 Riesling Ln #306 Lewes, DE 2.0 2.0 1600 $2,600 $1.62 44d 1 0.64mi
24258 Zinfandel Ln Lewes, DE 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,300 $1.77 44d 1 0.68mi
12001 Old Vine Blvd Lewes, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 987 $3,055 $3.10 14d 17 0.70mi
24238 Zinfandel Ln Lewes, DE 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,300 $1.77 44d 1 0.73mi
17010 Minos Conaway Rd Lewes, DE 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,500 $1.56 44d 1 0.99mi
17432 Slipper Shell Way #5 Lewes, DE 3.0 2.0 1840 $2,150 $1.17 21d 1 1.34mi
18 Greystone Dr Lewes, DE 3.0 2.5 2114 $2,875 $1.36 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,000 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $219,000 Active 1762-char remark
  18. 2011-05-17
    historical
  19. 2010-05-17
    listed $90,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,988
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$3,285
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,479
− Management
−$2,479
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable income
$3,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$723
After-tax cash flow
$5,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cape Henlopen School District
NCES district ID
1000170
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$60,196
Composite
42.47/100
National rank
#3214
State rank
#5 of 26 in DE

Livability — Lewes

Score
67/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#11077

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sussex County · 82,708 people
City population
31,938
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
31,938
Household income
$97,197
Rent vs Own
16.0% rent · 84.0% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.07%
Current HPI
299.0736
Rent YoY
▲ 0.77%
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+140.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $219,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-05-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-05-17 Listed $90,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $284 · -48.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…