3325 Riverside Dr · Wellsville, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Single family ranch home with an attached garage with a workshop and fenced backyard. This home has a new metal roof, seamless gutters, newer windows and vinyl siding. Enter this home from the enclosed front porch. This home has a spacious living room/dining area with a sunroom on the front of the home. The kitchen includes a gas stove/microwave oven and a refrigerator. Also, you will find a bedroom with cedar closet, a full bath and a laundry room. stairs lead to the partial basement. On the back of this home is a covered patio with a fenced backyard and view of the fields behind the property.
Key facts
- New metal roof
- Seamless gutters
- Attached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Entry faces main thoroughfare
- Construction: Built as existing structure; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Covered porch; Patio; Dirt driveway; Partial fencing; Fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Cedar closets; Eat-in kitchen; Sunroom/Florida room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $59k (30.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.6% in Wellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#336 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment C-.
- Wellsville Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #442 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $85k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.91%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,525
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -12.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3354 Riverside Dr | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 1,146 (+9%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $61 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $37,330
- Equity at exit
- $76,485
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $117,877
- Equity at exit
- $164,942
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14895
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,009/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $-145
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending 601-char remark
-
2026-05-01$84,900 Active 601-char remark
-
2010-09-27soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,009 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,009 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$2,009
- − Insurance
- −$5,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,170
- − Management
- −$1,170
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable loss
- −$2,894
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$694
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wellsville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630480
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,964
- Composite
- 39.71/100
- National rank
- #3903
- State rank
- #442 of 590 in NY
Livability — Wellsville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #336
- US rank
- #5669
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,117
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,362 people
- By 2030
- 43,078 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 38,031 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 33,634 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 25,285 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 18,902 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.16%
- Current HPI
- 280.3569
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+142.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $84,900 UNYREIS
- 2010-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,009 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…