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51 N Northampton Ave
C- Composite 52.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

51 N Northampton Ave · Trotwood, OH 45417
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1924 5,719 sqft lot Est $60k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! Come see this updated 3 bed, 1 bath home situated on 2 parcels boasting just over a quarter of an acre! Upon arriving this home features a spacious front porch to enjoy your morning coffee or just watch the world go by. Inside you'll find the open layout with a large living room connecting to the light filled dining room. Continuing on, you'll enter the large kitchen with ample counter space and cabinets. The laundry room is just around the corner along with the full bath with walk-in shower. The 3 bedrooms line the north side of the home. New carpet flows throughout the home. Out back is the huge garage, which would be perfect for a workshop or storage, as well as a space for your car. The property also includes a large shed and a chain link fence that wraps 3 of the 4 sides around this property. The owner put on a new dimensional roof on both house and garage. Act fast before this one is gone! PRICE IS FIRM

Key facts

  • Open layout
  • Large living room
  • Large kitchen

Tags

UPDATED HOMESPACIOUS FRONT PORCHOPEN LAYOUTLARGE LIVING ROOMLIGHT FILLED DINING ROOMLARGE KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached one-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-story; Frame construction with vinyl siding; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Partial fence; Porch; Storage shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level (12 x 11); Bedroom on main level (12 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Double hung vinyl windows
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (8 x 5); Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.5% in Trotwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
9.04%
Cash-on-cash
9.82%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$60,192
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51 N Northampton Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,056 (0%) 6mo $57,500 $54 95
22 Maeder Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,052 (-0%) 11mo $59,900 $57 69
6228 Lorimer St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,155 (+9%) 10mo $61,000 $53 65
33 Cherokee Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,143 (+8%) 9mo $60,000 $52 65
201 Parsons Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+2%) 3mo $74,900 $69 63
6201 Nathaniel St 0.46mi 3/1.0 941 (-11%) 24mo $155,000 $165 40
255 Miller Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 912 (-14%) 17mo $97,000 $106 38
174 Miller Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 918 (-13%) 18mo $17,000 $19 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$5
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$20,414
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45417

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,103 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$236 /mo · $2,830/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $871
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6229 Carmin Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 875 $995 $1.14 18d 1 0.29mi
308 Bricker Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 865 $950 $1.10 2d 1 0.63mi
5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 925 $1,025 $1.11 43d 1 1.05mi
126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $1,000 $1.19 14d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $79,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,830 · $236/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,830 · $236/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,234
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$2,830
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,059
− Management
−$1,059
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$1,087
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$261
After-tax cash flow
$1,937/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Trotwood

Score
59/100
State rank
#1014
US rank
#20073

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trotwood, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
19,754
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,186
Household income
$36,945
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
1822.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.43%
Current HPI
193.4175
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.9% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $79,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 2025-12-10 Sold (MLS) $57,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-11-24 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $59,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-06 Price Changed $49,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-12-30 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2024-11-03 Price Changed $59,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-11-03 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2024-11-02 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2024-10-31 Listed $39,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 2019-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
  • 2019-07-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-07-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-07-11 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2019-06-28 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2019-06-26 Listed $17,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2015-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1999-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,830 · +149.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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