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2913 Dakota Dr
D Composite 40.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

2913 Dakota Dr · Anderson, IN 46012
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1956 6,771 sqft lot $153/sqft · 8% above area Est $130k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD HOME - NO APPT NECESSARY - PROPERTY SOLD IN AS-IS CONDITION. FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE SEE THE WEB ADDRESS LISTED IN AGENT REMARKS OR SPEAK WITH YOUR REAL ESTATE AGENT. ALL INFORMATION DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED. CASE NUMBER: 151-439111 NOTES: Evidence of Lead Based Paint; Replace shingles on roof, water heater, thermostat & light fixtures; Repair soffit, gutters, plumbing, furnace and drywall.

Key facts

  • 6,771 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.16 acre (under 1/4 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; No solid waste service listed
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Curbs; Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic access
  • Laundry & utility: Common laundry; Utility room (main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#521 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Anderson Community School Corporation (urban): math 15% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #280 of 301 in IN (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 184 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,458 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.16%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,099
List price
$139,900
Delta
7.53%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2913 Dakota Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 916 (0%) 0mo $140,000 $153 100
504 Iroquois Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 960 (+5%) 13mo $150,000 $156 69
2608 Shawnee Dr 0.41mi 3/1.0 850 (-7%) 4mo $110,000 $129 66
2628 Crystal St 0.34mi 3/1.0 875 (-4%) 14mo $99,900 $114 65
2722 Dakota Dr 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-14%) 1mo $137,000 $173 62
216 Seminole Dr 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-13%) 2mo $141,000 $176 61
2829 Dakota Dr 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-14%) 11mo $118,000 $149 61
305 Mohawk St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-8%) 4mo $119,500 $142 59
2417 Crystal St 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 925 (+1%) 12mo $130,000 $141 55
2413 Silver St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,008 (+10%) 5mo $131,500 $130 46
308 Mohawk St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-14%) 12mo $110,000 $139 45
2419 Crystal St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (-15%) 1mo $51,500 $66 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-17,618
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-12,940
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46012

Home prices YoY
-18.6%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,265 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,249/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,134
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
235 W School St Unit 235 Anderson, IN 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 43d 1 0.69mi
1705 Lake Shore Dr Unit 1705G Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,229 $1.35 17d 1 1.13mi
1705 Lake Shore Dr Unit 1705A Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,277 $1.40 43d 1 1.13mi
1807 Lake Shore Dr Unit 1807K Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,344 $1.47 43d 1 1.17mi
1812 N Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1812AN Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,229 $1.35 43d 1 1.19mi
1808 N Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1808HN Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 944 $1,177 $1.25 2d 1 1.20mi
1716 N Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1716KN Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,274 $1.40 23d 1 1.21mi
1912 N Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1912HN Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 944 $1,174 $1.24 11d 1 1.22mi
1800 Cross Lakes Blvd Anderson, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 847 $1,344 $1.59 1d 22 1.25mi
1805 S Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1805LS Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,294 $1.42 11d 1 1.25mi
1812 S Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1812ES Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 944 $1,115 $1.18 14d 1 1.28mi
1904 S Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1904LS Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,309 $1.44 43d 1 1.28mi
1904 S Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1904KS Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 912 $1,183 $1.30 43d 1 1.28mi
1708 S Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1708ES Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 944 $1,115 $1.18 43d 1 1.29mi
1804 S Cross Lakes Cir Unit 1804DS Anderson, IN 2.0 2.0 944 $1,144 $1.21 43d 1 1.29mi
1321 Lafayette Ct Anderson, IN 3.0 1.5 962 $1,350 $1.40 10d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 540-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $139,900 Active 540-char remark
  3. 2009-07-21
    historical
  4. 2009-04-27
    listed $54,900
  5. 2009-01-06
    historical
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    HUD HOME - NO APPT NECESSARY - PROPERTY SOLD IN AS-IS CONDITION. FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE SEE THE WEB ADDRESS LISTED IN AGENT REMARKS OR SPEAK WITH YOUR REAL ESTATE AGENT. ALL INFORMATION DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED. CASE NUMBER: 151-439111 NOTES: Evidence of Lead Based Paint; Replace shingles on roof, water heater, thermostat & light fixtures; Repair soffit, gutters, plumbing, furnace and drywall.

  6. 2008-12-31
    soldstatus $13,425
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    HUD HOME - NO APPT NECESSARY - PROPERTY SOLD IN AS-IS CONDITION. FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE SEE THE WEB ADDRESS LISTED IN AGENT REMARKS OR SPEAK WITH YOUR REAL ESTATE AGENT. ALL INFORMATION DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED. CASE NUMBER: 151-439111 NOTES: Evidence of Lead Based Paint; Replace shingles on roof, water heater, thermostat & light fixtures; Repair soffit, gutters, plumbing, furnace and drywall.

  7. 2008-10-24
    listed $17,000
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    HUD HOME - NO APPT NECESSARY - PROPERTY SOLD IN AS-IS CONDITION. FOR MORE INFORMATION, PLEASE SEE THE WEB ADDRESS LISTED IN AGENT REMARKS OR SPEAK WITH YOUR REAL ESTATE AGENT. ALL INFORMATION DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED. CASE NUMBER: 151-439111 NOTES: Evidence of Lead Based Paint; Replace shingles on roof, water heater, thermostat & light fixtures; Repair soffit, gutters, plumbing, furnace and drywall.

  8. 2006-09-27
    historical
  9. 2006-03-29
    listed $48,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,249 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,249 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,175
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,249
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$266
After-tax cash flow
$1,502/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anderson Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1800150
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$38,208
Composite
15.93/100
National rank
#9250
State rank
#280 of 301 in IN

Livability — Anderson

Score
60/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#18709

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anderson, IN
County
Madison County · 69,445 people
City population
57,762
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
20,855
Household income
$58,041
Rent vs Own
32.3% rent · 67.7% own
Severe rent burden
987.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
125,800 people
By 2030
122,640 · -2.5%
By 2040
115,420 · -8.3%
By 2050
108,148 · -14.0%
By 2075
91,838 · -27.0%
By 2100
75,670 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.9) · D 35.6% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.5pp · 2024: -26.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+25.7 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+6.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.16%
Current HPI
266.9819
Rent YoY
▲ 1.82%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+188.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $139,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-21 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-27 Listed $54,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-01-06 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-12-31 Sold (MLS) $13,425 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-10-24 Listed $17,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-09-27 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-29 Listed $48,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,249 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…