10 Parker Ln · Jasper, GA 30143

$44,995

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1973 9,583 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Handyman special! LIVE IN, FLIP OR RENT 1973 Apache Comanche, 12' x 50', 2 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath. The home needs work, it is a fixer upper. Bring your tools and knowledge and fix this baby up as good as new! Sits on a quiet street. The home has a brand-new roof! Primarily cosmetic work, rooms need to be finished out, simple plumbing. The home comes with a stove and vinyl rolled flooring. Screened in porch is approximately 224 sq ft, also has a new roof. Eight foot by ten foot utility building stays. GREAT location and convenient; very close to the Pickens County High School and the Rec Center, short drive to HWY 515. The lot size is about a . 22 acre. Small storm cellar is also on the prop

Key facts

• Quiet street
• Screened in porch
• Brand new roof

Tags

• BRAND NEW ROOF
• SCREENED IN PORCH
• UTILITY BUILDING
• STORM CELLAR
• QUIET STREET
• GREAT LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $907 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
• Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 2.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#44 in GA, #4,976 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment F.
• Pickens County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #59 of 174 in GA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Jasper Middle School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 628 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 713 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 260 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $18k; list at $45k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $44,995

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.33% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 86.40%
• DSCR: 4.84
• GRM: 2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 86.9%
• Equity multiple: 5.01×
• Total profit: $50,484
• Equity at exit: $6,709

10-year hold

• IRR: 90.0%
• Equity multiple: 10.39×
• Total profit: $118,361
• Equity at exit: $3,890

Cash invested: $12,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30143

• Home prices YoY: -14.4%
• Active inventory: 713
• Price-to-rent: 2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,500 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax from tax record: −$23 /mo · $279/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$315
• Net cashflow: $907

Break-even live

Break-even rent $352

Max offer price $44,995

Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,249
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
203 New Town St Tate, GA	1.0	1.0	680	$1,500	$2.21	43d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-03-09
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-03-06
   listed $44,995 New
3. 2009-01-28
   soldstatus $17,500
4. 2007-04-20
   soldstatus $16,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $279 · $23/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $414 · $34/mo
• Expected delta: +$135/yr (+$11/mo · 48.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,520
• − Property taxes: −$279
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,440
• − Management: −$1,440
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $10,787
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,589
• After-tax cash flow: $8,296/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pickens County
• NCES district ID: 1304110
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $53,760
• Composite: 30.72/100
• National rank: #6165
• State rank: #59 of 174 in GA

Livability — Jasper

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #44
• US rank: #4976

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 26,738
• Population (ZIP): 26,738

Population outlook (Pickens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 32,161 people
• By 2030: 32,815 · +2.0%
• By 2040: 33,427 · +3.9%
• By 2050: 33,077 · +2.8%
• By 2075: 31,291 · -2.7%
• By 2100: 27,205 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 5% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Pickens

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+65.8) · D 16.8% · R 82.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.8pp toward R · 2008: -57.9pp · 2024: -65.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+65.8 2020: R+65.7 2016: R+69.2 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+57.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -47.27%
• Current HPI: 280.6731
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+172.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-09 Pending — GAMLS
• 2026-03-06 Listed $44,995 GAMLS
• 2009-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
• 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $279 · +113.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.