17 Schuberts Aly · Olmsted Falls, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1993 Palm Harbor measures 28 x 56 or 1568 aq ft. There is a large kitchen which opens up into a morning room, the perfect place to have your first cup of coffee. This floor plan is very appealing with a formal living and dining room. The master suite is large with 2 additional bedrooms and a laundry room Great step down enclosed sunroom and a spacious patio partner for all your lawn tools and storage. Columbia Park is an age-specific community. Sale is subject to Park approval. HOA is monthly lot rental fee. Pet restrictions.
Key facts
- Gated access
- Laundry room
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease payment of $809.50
- HOA & community: Senior community with clubhouse; Has land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch area; Patio; Porch; Faces north
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds and window treatments; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $886 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 4.2% in Olmsted Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#343 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Olmsted Falls City (suburban): math 70% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #134 of 656 in OH (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $86k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.21%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,768
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Shuberts Aly | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+2%) | 10mo | $92,000 | $61 | 86 |
| 11 Concert Ct | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-2%) | 5mo | $79,900 | $55 | 85 |
| 17 Oak Dr | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-2%) | 10mo | $99,900 | $69 | 77 |
| 7 Symphony St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,624 (+9%) | 7mo | $114,000 | $70 | 75 |
| 3 Fiddlesticks | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-2%) | 6mo | $64,900 | $45 | 72 |
| 8 Harmony | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-10%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $56 | 71 |
| 73 Periwinkle Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+5%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $57 | 66 |
| 7593 Columbia Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,457 (-2%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $175 | 62 |
| 3 Trollyview Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-3%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $28 | 57 |
| 11 Dogwood Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-10%) | 8mo | $74,000 | $55 | 57 |
| 26836 Cook Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,377 (-8%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $185 | 50 |
| 8075 Olmway Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,598 (+7%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $172 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $42,547
- Equity at exit
- $12,808
- IRR
- 47.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $109,837
- Equity at exit
- $7,427
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44138
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,873 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $886
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26875 Bagley Rd Olmsted Twp, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,199 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8450 Daylily DR Olmsted Falls, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1541 | $2,410 | $1.56 | 1d | 10 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $85,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$85,900 Active
-
2016-10-13status Pending 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
This 1993 Palm Harbor measures 28 x 56 or 1568 aq ft. There is a large kitchen which opens up into a morning room, the perfect place to have your first cup of coffee. This floor plan is very appealing with a formal living and dining room. The master suite is large with 2 additional bedrooms and a laundry room Great step down enclosed sunroom and a spacious patio partner for all your lawn tools and storage. Columbia Park is an age-specific community. Sale is subject to Park approval. HOA is monthly lot rental fee. Pet restrictions.
-
2016-10-13soldstatus $35,000 Sold 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
This 1993 Palm Harbor measures 28 x 56 or 1568 aq ft. There is a large kitchen which opens up into a morning room, the perfect place to have your first cup of coffee. This floor plan is very appealing with a formal living and dining room. The master suite is large with 2 additional bedrooms and a laundry room Great step down enclosed sunroom and a spacious patio partner for all your lawn tools and storage. Columbia Park is an age-specific community. Sale is subject to Park approval. HOA is monthly lot rental fee. Pet restrictions.
-
2016-09-24historical Contingent 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
This 1993 Palm Harbor measures 28 x 56 or 1568 aq ft. There is a large kitchen which opens up into a morning room, the perfect place to have your first cup of coffee. This floor plan is very appealing with a formal living and dining room. The master suite is large with 2 additional bedrooms and a laundry room Great step down enclosed sunroom and a spacious patio partner for all your lawn tools and storage. Columbia Park is an age-specific community. Sale is subject to Park approval. HOA is monthly lot rental fee. Pet restrictions.
-
2016-09-02price $44,900 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
This 1993 Palm Harbor measures 28 x 56 or 1568 aq ft. There is a large kitchen which opens up into a morning room, the perfect place to have your first cup of coffee. This floor plan is very appealing with a formal living and dining room. The master suite is large with 2 additional bedrooms and a laundry room Great step down enclosed sunroom and a spacious patio partner for all your lawn tools and storage. Columbia Park is an age-specific community. Sale is subject to Park approval. HOA is monthly lot rental fee. Pet restrictions.
-
2016-08-06$49,900 Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
This 1993 Palm Harbor measures 28 x 56 or 1568 aq ft. There is a large kitchen which opens up into a morning room, the perfect place to have your first cup of coffee. This floor plan is very appealing with a formal living and dining room. The master suite is large with 2 additional bedrooms and a laundry room Great step down enclosed sunroom and a spacious patio partner for all your lawn tools and storage. Columbia Park is an age-specific community. Sale is subject to Park approval. HOA is monthly lot rental fee. Pet restrictions.
-
2004-08-18historical
-
2004-02-18$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,477
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$1,288
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,798
- − Management
- −$1,798
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $9,852
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,365
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olmsted Falls City
- NCES district ID
- 3904657
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,307
- Composite
- 61.12/100
- National rank
- #787
- State rank
- #134 of 656 in OH
Livability — Olmsted Falls
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #5595
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,129
- Household income
- $93,877
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.6
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.76%
- Current HPI
- 201.9716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+14.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $85,900 MLSNOW
- 2016-10-13 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2016-10-13 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MLSNOW
- 2016-09-24 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2016-09-02 Price Changed $44,900 MLSNOW
- 2016-08-06 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
- 2004-08-18 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2004-02-18 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…