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416-418 E Mahanoy Ave Duplex
B Composite 72.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$170,000

416-418 E Mahanoy Ave · Mahanoy City, PA 17948
6 bd · 0.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 42 Days on market
Built 1950 Poor condition 2,178 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Key facts

  • 2,178 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Other foundation; Other above- and below-grade structures; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: No tidal water on the property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units; Two 2-bedroom units
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Natural gas heating fuel; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: End of row / townhouse layout; Finished and unfinished area details from assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × ?-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $170k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $879 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $440/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,129 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Mahanoy Area SD (town): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #494 of 539 in PA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $164,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.50%
Cash-on-cash
22.16%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,626
List price
$170,000
Delta
119.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
36 N Main St 0.33mi 5/— (-1) 3,643 15mo $174,000 $48 55
400 402 South St 0.47mi 6/2.0 2,353 12mo $165,000 $70 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$85,128
Equity at exit
$85,605
10-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
5.50×
Total profit
$214,425
Equity at exit
$139,547

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17948

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$546
Net cashflow
$879

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 61%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,600

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $170,000 Active
  16. 2025-09-17
    price $160,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,200
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,496
− Management
−$2,496
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$8,340
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,002
After-tax cash flow
$8,548/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This multi-family property requires extensive renovations to bring it up to code and improve its value. Immediate safety and aesthetic issues need to be addressed.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed wiring in kitchen and HVAC — Safety hazard
  • Major Missing countertops and fixtures in kitchen and bath — Aesthetic and functional issues
  • Major Peeling paint throughout — Safety hazard and aesthetic issues
  • Major Exposed subfloor — Safety hazard and functional issues

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New countertops and fixtures in kitchen and bath — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both Painting and repainting throughout — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting windows — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting exterior — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting interior walls — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting foundation — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting HVAC — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves aesthetics and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed wiring in kitchen and HVAC · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Missing countertops and fixtures in kitchen and bath · Aesthetic and functional issues Major $15,000–50,000
Peeling paint throughout · Safety hazard and aesthetic issues Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed subfloor · Safety hazard and functional issues Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New countertops and fixtures in kitchen and bath — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both Painting and repainting throughout — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting windows — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting exterior — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting interior walls — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting foundation — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Reframing and repainting HVAC — Improves aesthetics and safety
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves aesthetics and safety

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mahanoy Area SD
NCES district ID
4214430
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$36,347
Composite
16.95/100
National rank
#9136
State rank
#494 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mahanoy City

Score
65/100
State rank
#1129
US rank
#12973

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mahanoy City, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,124

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Iranian 3% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.94%
Current HPI
234.7484
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $160,000 LCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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