14355 S Toledo Ave · Bixby, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 BED, OR 3 W/ OFFICE OR FORMAL DINING, & 2.5 CAR GARAGE. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ ISLAND, UPGRADED 'ALDER' CABINETRY, STAINLESS APPL. VAULTED CEILINGS, OPEN FLOOR PLAN, GREAT MASTER SUITE W/ WHIRLPOOL, SHOWER, & LGE WALK-IN. SPRINKLER SYSTEM.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- 7,475 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Association fee $450 annually; Community amenities include a park and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2-car)
- Security: Security system owned; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built by builder (year source: Builder); Brick, HardiPlank-type siding, and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered patio and porch; Privacy fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island; Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath and walk-in closet (First floor); Bedroom with walk-in closet (First floor); Bedroom with walk-in closet (First floor); Bedroom (No bath) (First floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with separate shower and whirlpool (First floor); Hall full bath (First floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; High ceilings; High-speed internet available; Laminate counters; Gas range/oven connection
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (First floor); Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Electric and gas water heaters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (4.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Bixby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#24 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bixby (suburban): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #15 of 270 in OK (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 789 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $320k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.16%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $309,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14390 S Vandalia Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,916 (+1%) | 1mo | $332,000 | $173 | 86 |
| 14510 S Vandalia Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,919 (+1%) | 1mo | $343,750 | $179 | 84 |
| 14482 S Vandalia Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,859 (-2%) | 3mo | $310,500 | $167 | 81 |
| 14220 S Vandalia Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 2,024 (+6%) | 3mo | $328,000 | $162 | 77 |
| 3838 E 144th St S | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,933 (+2%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 14625 S Toledo Pl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,731 (-9%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $162 | 63 |
| 3648 E 144th St S | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,780 (-6%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $185 | 60 |
| 14129 S Vandalia Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,106 (+11%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $138 | 60 |
| 3583 E 144th Pl S | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,794 (-6%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 3634 E 143rd Pl S | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,716 (-10%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $163 | 52 |
| 3409 E 142nd St S | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,926 (+1%) | 8mo | $305,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 3636 E 143rd Ct S | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-14%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $162 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-56,447
- Equity at exit
- $47,713
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-52,502
- Equity at exit
- $27,668
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74008
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 789
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,617 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$304 /mo · $3,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$38
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $-86
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2145 | $3,000 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 14727 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2145 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 14734 S Urbana Ave Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2020 | $2,500 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5839 E 148th Pl S Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6316 E 146th St S Bixby, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2052 E 133rd Ct Bixby, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2158 | $2,300 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $38 · $456/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $320,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $320,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $320,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $320,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $320,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $320,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $320,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $320,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $320,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $320,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $320,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $320,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$320,000 Active
-
2006-09-08soldstatus $175,000 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
4 BED, OR 3 W/ OFFICE OR FORMAL DINING, & 2.5 CAR GARAGE. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ ISLAND, UPGRADED 'ALDER' CABINETRY, STAINLESS APPL. VAULTED CEILINGS, OPEN FLOOR PLAN, GREAT MASTER SUITE W/ WHIRLPOOL, SHOWER, & LGE WALK-IN. SPRINKLER SYSTEM.
-
2006-08-28historical 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
4 BED, OR 3 W/ OFFICE OR FORMAL DINING, & 2.5 CAR GARAGE. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ ISLAND, UPGRADED 'ALDER' CABINETRY, STAINLESS APPL. VAULTED CEILINGS, OPEN FLOOR PLAN, GREAT MASTER SUITE W/ WHIRLPOOL, SHOWER, & LGE WALK-IN. SPRINKLER SYSTEM.
-
2006-06-22$179,500 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
4 BED, OR 3 W/ OFFICE OR FORMAL DINING, & 2.5 CAR GARAGE. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN W/ ISLAND, UPGRADED 'ALDER' CABINETRY, STAINLESS APPL. VAULTED CEILINGS, OPEN FLOOR PLAN, GREAT MASTER SUITE W/ WHIRLPOOL, SHOWER, & LGE WALK-IN. SPRINKLER SYSTEM.
-
2006-03-17soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,650 · $304/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,650 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,402
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$3,650
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,512
- − Management
- −$2,512
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$6,562
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,575
- After-tax cash flow
- $539/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bixby
- NCES district ID
- 4004500
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,727
- Composite
- 34.9/100
- National rank
- #5081
- State rank
- #15 of 270 in OK
Livability — Bixby
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #6029
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bixby, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 34,006
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,006
- Household income
- $104,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 525.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.20%
- Current HPI
- 195.2538
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.34%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
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Price history
+841.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $320,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-09-08 Sold (MLS) $175,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-08-28 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-06-22 Listed $179,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,650 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…