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265 Mill Rd
D+ Composite 47.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

265 Mill Rd · Mahoning, PA 18235
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1857 1.01 ac lot $73/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot—perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential of 4 bedrooms and 2–3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that’s still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don’t miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat—so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 1.01 acre lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (0.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lehighton Area SD (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #336 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $180k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1857 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1857 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.93%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$428,244
List price
$179,900
Delta
-57.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
265 Mill Rd 0.00mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,448 (0%) 1mo $155,000 $63 88
357 Chapel Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 2,192 (-10%) 13mo $281,450 $128 44
134 Huron Dr Lot 05 0.66mi 3/2.0 2,173 (-11%) 4mo $528,485 $243 42
229 Pleasantview Dr Lot 52 0.75mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,334 (-5%) 8mo $479,990 $206 40
98 Heartwood Lot 60 0.72mi 3/2.0 2,173 (-11%) 12mo $510,715 $235 34
90 Heartwood Ct Lot 62 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,173 (-11%) 16mo $523,029 $241 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-18,624
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,583
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18235

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,785 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,726/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,577
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (976 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot--perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential for 4 bedrooms and 2-3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that's still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don't miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat--so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 976-char remark
    Show marketing remark (976 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot--perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential for 4 bedrooms and 2-3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that's still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don't miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat--so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  3. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (976 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot--perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential for 4 bedrooms and 2-3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that's still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don't miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat--so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  4. 2026-03-13
    status Active
  5. 2026-02-23
    status Active 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (976 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot--perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential for 4 bedrooms and 2-3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that's still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don't miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat--so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  6. 2026-02-23
    status Active 976-char remark
    Show marketing remark (976 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot--perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential for 4 bedrooms and 2-3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that's still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don't miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat--so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  7. 2026-01-17
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot—perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential of 4 bedrooms and 2–3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that’s still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don’t miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat—so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  8. 2026-01-17
    status Pending 976-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot—perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential of 4 bedrooms and 2–3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that’s still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don’t miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat—so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  9. 2026-01-17
    status Pending 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot—perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential of 4 bedrooms and 2–3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that’s still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don’t miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat—so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  10. 2025-10-26
    listed $179,900 Active 976-char remark
    Show marketing remark (976 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot--perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential for 4 bedrooms and 2-3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that's still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don't miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat--so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  11. 2025-10-26
    listed $179,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (976 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot--perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential for 4 bedrooms and 2-3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that's still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don't miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat--so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  12. 2025-10-25
    listed $179,900 Active 1003-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1003 chars)

    Endless Potential on a Full Acre in Lehighton! Bring your vision to this classic farmhouse set on a spacious 1-acre lot—perfect for investors, flippers, or handy homeowners looking to create their dream home. Much of the heavy lifting has already been done, with framing and electrical work mostly completed and brand-new siding and windows already installed. All finishing materials in the home are included: drywall sheets, siding, tub surrounds, and cabinets. Offering the potential of 4 bedrooms and 2–3 baths, this home is a blank slate ready for your finishing touches. The large lot provides plenty of room for outdoor fun, gardening, or future expansion. Enjoy the best of both worlds with a peaceful country setting that’s still close to town and offers easy access for commuting to the Lehigh Valley and beyond. Don’t miss this opportunity to transform a timeless farmhouse into a stunning modern retreat—so much potential awaits at 265 Mill Road! Sold as-is.

  13. 2023-01-25
    soldstatus $86,000
  14. 2008-05-09
    soldstatus $96,930
  15. 2008-05-06
    soldstatus $96,930
  16. 2008-03-13
    listed $89,950
  17. 2007-10-10
    listed $140,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,726 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,784 · $232/mo
Expected delta
+$58/yr (+$5/mo · 2.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,423
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,726
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,714
− Management
−$1,714
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$940
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$226
After-tax cash flow
$2,204/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lehighton Area SD
NCES district ID
4213500
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$51,115
Composite
35.36/100
National rank
#4958
State rank
#336 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mahoning

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
19,121

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.77%
Current HPI
187.4645
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-01-17 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-17 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-01-17 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2025-10-26 Listed $179,900 PMAR
  • 2025-10-26 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-25 Listed $179,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2023-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2008-05-09 Sold (MLS) $96,930 GLVRMLS
  • 2008-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $96,930 Public Records
  • 2008-03-13 Listed $89,950 GLVRMLS
  • 2007-10-10 Listed $140,000 PMAR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,726 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…