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14467 N Swan Rd
D Composite 40.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,500

14467 N Swan Rd · Gulfport, MS 39503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 2012 0.61 ac lot $146/sqft · at area comps Est $287k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!

Key facts

  • Over half an acre
  • Open-concept layout
  • 0.61 acre lot

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDOVER HALF AN ACRE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage with front-facing garage and direct access; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Private yard; Rain gutters; Fenced backyard with privacy wood fencing; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Exhaust fan; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double vanity; Soaking tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Granite counters; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Pantry; Primary bedroom on main level; Soaking tub; Double vanity; Kitchen island
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-490/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (2.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 770 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,990 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.61%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$287,460
List price
$289,500
Delta
0.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14864 Fritz Cir 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,930 (-3%) 3mo $270,250 $140 78
14456 N Swan Rd 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,800 (-9%) 2mo $265,000 $147 77
14836 Fritz Cir 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,202 (+11%) 0mo $307,231 $140 66
14175 Hartland Dr 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (-8%) 1mo $247,500 $136 64
14922 Fritz Cir 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (-8%) 4mo $251,175 $138 64
14892 Fritz Cir 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,202 (+11%) 3mo $292,525 $133 62
14151 Hartland Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (-8%) 2mo $249,900 $137 61
14940 Fritz Cir 0.13mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+11%) 3mo $278,975 $127 60
14130 Ursuline Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,740 (-12%) 5mo $285,000 $164 58
14916 Fritz Cir 0.20mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+11%) 4mo $284,946 $130 56
14169 Hartland Dr 0.29mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+11%) 2mo $283,230 $129 54
14141 Hartland Dr 0.33mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+11%) 2mo $284,086 $129 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-40,572
Equity at exit
$43,165
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$1,208
Equity at exit
$25,031

Cash invested: $81,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
770
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,170 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,518
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,396/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$456
Net cashflow
$-41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,222
Max offer price $282,280
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $123 -5% $41 +0% $-41 +5% $-123 +10% $-205
Rent -10% $-212 -5% $-127 +0% $-41 +5% $45 +10% $131
Rate -1.0pp $105 -0.5pp $33 base $-41 +0.5pp $-116 +1.0pp $-192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,375
Closing costs
$8,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15033 S White Swan Dr Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.5 1933 $2,495 $1.29 23d 1 0.47mi
15336 Lakeview Ct Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1837 $2,195 $1.19 23d 1 0.52mi
15740 Rachael Dr Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.0 1928 $2,400 $1.24 15d 1 0.75mi
13727 Fox Hill Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1388 $1,800 $1.30 45d 1 0.95mi
13518 Huntington Cir Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.0 2084 $1,950 $0.94 45d 1 1.06mi
15395 Percy St Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1710 $1,975 $1.15 45d 1 1.28mi
14348 Atwood Cv Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 2145 $2,150 $1.00 45d 1 1.30mi
14347 Atwood Cv Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.0 2133 $2,175 $1.02 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $289,500 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,500 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,500 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,500 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,500 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,500 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,500 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,500 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,500 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,500 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,500 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,500 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,500 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,500 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $289,500 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $289,500 Active 1027-char remark
  17. 2023-08-02
    soldstatus
  18. 2023-07-31
    soldstatus Closed 747-char remark
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!

  19. 2023-06-18
    status Pending 747-char remark
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!

  20. 2023-06-13
    price $279,900 747-char remark
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!

  21. 2023-05-18
    listed $284,900 Active 747-char remark
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!

  22. 2021-06-02
    soldstatus
  23. 2021-05-28
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Check out this spacious home in Hatten Farms! MOVE-IN ready! Large open-concept living/ kitchen area with a breakfast nook and formal dining room. The master boasts a roomy on-suite bathroom complete with a soaking tub, shower, and large walk-in closet. The lot is over a half acre and has a huge backyard great for outdoor events and gatherings. Conveniently located in north Gulfport with direct access to Highway 49.

  24. 2021-05-03
    listed $229,900
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    Check out this spacious home in Hatten Farms! MOVE-IN ready! Large open-concept living/ kitchen area with a breakfast nook and formal dining room. The master boasts a roomy on-suite bathroom complete with a soaking tub, shower, and large walk-in closet. The lot is over a half acre and has a huge backyard great for outdoor events and gatherings. Conveniently located in north Gulfport with direct access to Highway 49.

  25. 2012-06-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,396 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,287 · $191/mo
Expected delta
+$891/yr (+$74/mo · 63.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,039
− Mortgage interest
−$16,217
− Property taxes
−$1,396
− Insurance
−$1,448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,083
− Management
−$2,083
− Depreciation
−$8,422
Taxable loss
−$5,609
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,346
After-tax cash flow
$856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+25.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $289,500 MLSU
  • 2023-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-07-31 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-06-18 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-06-13 Price Changed $279,900 MLSU
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $284,900 MLSU
  • 2021-06-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-05-28 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2021-05-03 Listed $229,900 MLSU
  • 2012-06-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,396 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…