14467 N Swan Rd · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!
Key facts
- Over half an acre
- Open-concept layout
- 0.61 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with front-facing garage and direct access; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Private yard; Rain gutters; Fenced backyard with privacy wood fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Exhaust fan; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Granite counters; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double vanity; Soaking tub
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Granite counters; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Pantry; Primary bedroom on main level; Soaking tub; Double vanity; Kitchen island
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-490/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $282k (2.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (25.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 770 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.61%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,460
- List price
- $289,500
- Delta
- 0.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14864 Fritz Cir | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,930 (-3%) | 3mo | $270,250 | $140 | 78 |
| 14456 N Swan Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-9%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $147 | 77 |
| 14836 Fritz Cir | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,202 (+11%) | 0mo | $307,231 | $140 | 66 |
| 14175 Hartland Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,820 (-8%) | 1mo | $247,500 | $136 | 64 |
| 14922 Fritz Cir | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,820 (-8%) | 4mo | $251,175 | $138 | 64 |
| 14892 Fritz Cir | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,202 (+11%) | 3mo | $292,525 | $133 | 62 |
| 14151 Hartland Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,820 (-8%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $137 | 61 |
| 14940 Fritz Cir | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+11%) | 3mo | $278,975 | $127 | 60 |
| 14130 Ursuline Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (-12%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 14916 Fritz Cir | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+11%) | 4mo | $284,946 | $130 | 56 |
| 14169 Hartland Dr | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+11%) | 2mo | $283,230 | $129 | 54 |
| 14141 Hartland Dr | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+11%) | 2mo | $284,086 | $129 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-40,572
- Equity at exit
- $43,165
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $1,208
- Equity at exit
- $25,031
Cash invested: $81,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 770
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,170 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,518
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$456
- Net cashflow
- $-41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $123 | -5% $41 | +0% $-41 | +5% $-123 | +10% $-205 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-212 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-41 | +5% $45 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $105 | -0.5pp $33 | base $-41 | +0.5pp $-116 | +1.0pp $-192 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,375
- Closing costs
- $8,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15033 S White Swan Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1933 | $2,495 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 15336 Lakeview Ct Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 15740 Rachael Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1928 | $2,400 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 13727 Fox Hill Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,800 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 13518 Huntington Cir Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2084 | $1,950 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 15395 Percy St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $1,975 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 14348 Atwood Cv Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2145 | $2,150 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 14347 Atwood Cv Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $2,175 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $289,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$289,500 Active 1027-char remark
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2023-08-02soldstatus
-
2023-07-31soldstatus Closed 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!
-
2023-06-18status Pending 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!
-
2023-06-13price $279,900 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!
-
2023-05-18$284,900 Active 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Welcome home to this stunning new listing in Gulfport, MS! This beautiful property features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths within 1,991 square feet and offers a serene and spacious living experience. The open floor plan seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, providing ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. Situated on a meticulously maintained over half-acre fenced lot, this home provides the perfect balance of privacy and outdoor enjoyment, whether you envision a flourishing garden, a play area, or a relaxing patio space, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss this opportunity to make this exceptional property your own. Schedule a viewing today and envision the lifestyle that awaits you in this gem of a home!
-
2021-06-02soldstatus
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2021-05-28soldstatus
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
Check out this spacious home in Hatten Farms! MOVE-IN ready! Large open-concept living/ kitchen area with a breakfast nook and formal dining room. The master boasts a roomy on-suite bathroom complete with a soaking tub, shower, and large walk-in closet. The lot is over a half acre and has a huge backyard great for outdoor events and gatherings. Conveniently located in north Gulfport with direct access to Highway 49.
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2021-05-03$229,900
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
Check out this spacious home in Hatten Farms! MOVE-IN ready! Large open-concept living/ kitchen area with a breakfast nook and formal dining room. The master boasts a roomy on-suite bathroom complete with a soaking tub, shower, and large walk-in closet. The lot is over a half acre and has a huge backyard great for outdoor events and gatherings. Conveniently located in north Gulfport with direct access to Highway 49.
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2012-06-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,396 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,287 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$891/yr (+$74/mo · 63.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,039
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,217
- − Property taxes
- −$1,396
- − Insurance
- −$1,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,083
- − Management
- −$2,083
- − Depreciation
- −$8,422
- Taxable loss
- −$5,609
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,346
- After-tax cash flow
- $856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+25.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $289,500 MLSU
- 2023-08-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-07-31 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-06-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-06-13 Price Changed $279,900 MLSU
- 2023-05-18 Listed $284,900 MLSU
- 2021-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-05-28 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2021-05-03 Listed $229,900 MLSU
- 2012-06-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,396 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…