Duplex
63-65 Sixth St · Lowell, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$535,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
CHRISTIAN HILL 2 FAMILY 5RM 3BDRM EA UNIT SEP. UTILITIES 2 FHA CENTRAL HEAT, VINYL EXT, THERMO WINDOWS, WALK UP ATTIC OFF ST PARKING, 1/2 NEW ROOF, DELEADED 1ST FLOOR UNIT, 3 PORCHES, SEPARATE BSMNT & ATTIC. SHOW SOON, WILL GO FAST!
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- Newer windows
- Two-family property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total building area 3,592; Lot size approximately 0.09 acre; Listing status: Active
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family property; 2 stories
- Construction: Concrete perimeter and block foundation; Built as recorded in public records
- Exterior features: Paved driveway; Open parking available for 2 vehicles
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Total of 12 rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $535k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $796 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $398/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $535k).
- Recommended offer: $527k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.1% in Lowell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#36 in MA, #1,677 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Lowell (suburban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #277 of 302 in MA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($527k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $106k; list at $535k implies a 407% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.38%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $779,464
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 3rd St | 0.13mi | 6/2.0 | 3,307 (-8%) | 11mo | $765,000 | $231 | 72 |
| 36-38 Fremont St | 0.14mi | 6/2.0 | 3,118 (-13%) | 11mo | $725,000 | $233 | 62 |
| 78 Methuen St | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,715 (+3%) | 17mo | $930,000 | $250 | 61 |
| 62 W 6th St | 0.23mi | 6/2.0 | 3,121 (-13%) | 8mo | $580,000 | $186 | 61 |
| 27 W 5th St | 0.17mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 3,951 (+10%) | 7mo | $720,000 | $182 | 60 |
| 117 Coburn St | 0.33mi | 6/4.0 | 3,662 (+2%) | 24mo | $730,000 | $199 | 54 |
| 181 11th St | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,349 (-7%) | 20mo | $780,000 | $233 | 46 |
| 105 Chestnut St | 0.59mi | 6/3.0 | 3,164 (-12%) | 12mo | $655,000 | $207 | 39 |
| 51 - 53 Lilley Ave | 0.67mi | 6/2.0 | 3,242 (-10%) | 19mo | $665,000 | $205 | 36 |
| 53 Pond St | 0.75mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,231 (-10%) | 12mo | $700,000 | $217 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-35,917
- Equity at exit
- $79,770
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $34,333
- Equity at exit
- $46,257
Cash invested: $149,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01850
- Home prices YoY
- -8.4%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 15.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,680 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,806
- Tax from tax record
- −$663 /mo · $7,953/yr
- Insurance
- −$223
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,193
- Net cashflow
- $796
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $5,680 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,840 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,840 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,680 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $133,750
- Closing costs
- $16,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Phillips St Lowell, MA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,500 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $535,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $535,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $535,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $535,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $535,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $535,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $535,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $535,000 Price Changed 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $535,000 Price Changed 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $575,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $575,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $575,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $575,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $575,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$575,000 New
-
1998-09-24soldstatus $105,500 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
CHRISTIAN HILL 2 FAMILY 5RM 3BDRM EA UNIT SEP. UTILITIES 2 FHA CENTRAL HEAT, VINYL EXT, THERMO WINDOWS, WALK UP ATTIC OFF ST PARKING, 1/2 NEW ROOF, DELEADED 1ST FLOOR UNIT, 3 PORCHES, SEPARATE BSMNT & ATTIC. SHOW SOON, WILL GO FAST!
-
1998-09-15soldstatus $105,500
-
1998-08-11historical 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
CHRISTIAN HILL 2 FAMILY 5RM 3BDRM EA UNIT SEP. UTILITIES 2 FHA CENTRAL HEAT, VINYL EXT, THERMO WINDOWS, WALK UP ATTIC OFF ST PARKING, 1/2 NEW ROOF, DELEADED 1ST FLOOR UNIT, 3 PORCHES, SEPARATE BSMNT & ATTIC. SHOW SOON, WILL GO FAST!
-
1998-07-13$109,900 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
CHRISTIAN HILL 2 FAMILY 5RM 3BDRM EA UNIT SEP. UTILITIES 2 FHA CENTRAL HEAT, VINYL EXT, THERMO WINDOWS, WALK UP ATTIC OFF ST PARKING, 1/2 NEW ROOF, DELEADED 1ST FLOOR UNIT, 3 PORCHES, SEPARATE BSMNT & ATTIC. SHOW SOON, WILL GO FAST!
-
1984-08-22soldstatus $81,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,953 · $663/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,953 · $663/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,968
- − Property taxes
- −$7,953
- − Insurance
- −$2,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,453
- − Management
- −$5,453
- − Depreciation
- −$15,564
- Taxable income
- $1,094
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$263
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lowell
- NCES district ID
- 2507020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,291
- Composite
- 21.14/100
- National rank
- #8430
- State rank
- #277 of 302 in MA
Livability — Lowell
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1677
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lowell, MA
- City population
- 100,628
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,983
Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,740,269 people
- By 2030
- 1,817,187 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 1,963,195 · +12.8%
- By 2050
- 2,087,461 · +20.0%
- By 2075
- 2,344,036 · +34.7%
- By 2100
- 2,383,776 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Russian 5% Swedish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.5) · D 68.5% · R 29.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.3pp toward D · 2008: 30.1pp · 2024: 39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.5 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+38.1 2012: D+26.9 2008: D+30.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.80%
- Current HPI
- 411.9651
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+609.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $575,000 MLS PIN
- 1998-09-24 Sold (MLS) $105,500 MLS PIN
- 1998-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $105,500 Public Records
- 1998-08-11 Listing Removed — MLS PIN
- 1998-07-13 Listed $109,900 MLS PIN
- 1984-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,953 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…