224 E 3rd Ave · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1991
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.84%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,192
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 E 3rd Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,377 (0%) | 0mo | $98,700 | $72 | 100 |
| 425 E Logan Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,406 (+2%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $96 | 70 |
| 412 E Logan Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,302 (-5%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 830 E Walton Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,330 (-3%) | 2mo | $157,900 | $119 | 66 |
| 210 Crawford Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+11%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $95 | 62 |
| 308 Crawford Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,504 (+9%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $68 | 62 |
| 215 7th Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,548 (+12%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $29 | 61 |
| 518 E Walton Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-13%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $159 | 56 |
| 414 Grant Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,518 (+10%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $72 | 55 |
| 224 Hudson Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-13%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $142 | 51 |
| 705 2nd Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,503 (+9%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $47 | 48 |
| 711 E Bell Ave | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,580 (+15%) | 1mo | $166,000 | $105 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-4,544
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $11,065
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16602
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,092 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $183
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,605 | $1.65 | 43d | 9 | 0.72mi |
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 100 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 200 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 212 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 43d | 2 | 1.50mi |
| 300 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-22$99,900 Active
-
2021-10-27soldstatus $65,000
-
2019-06-21$74,900
-
2007-03-08soldstatus $24,000
-
1989-04-01soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,375 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,477 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$102/yr (+$8/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,375
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,048
- − Management
- −$1,048
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $632
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$152
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,040/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,352
- Household income
- $55,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 740.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.37%
- Current HPI
- 212.2268
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+566.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $99,900 AHARMLS
- 2021-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-21 Listed $74,900 AHARMLS
- 2007-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1989-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,375 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…