CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1203 W Mcnichols Rd
B Composite 73.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,000

1203 W Mcnichols Rd · Highland Park, MI 48203
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,815 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1916 3,049 sqft lot $67/sqft · 19% below area Est $150k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

RENTED HOME IN GOOD CONDITION BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH HOME NEXT DOOR

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1916
  • Listed 66 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 14.2% in Highland Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#214 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,567/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1192% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,680 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.71%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,244
List price
$122,000
Delta
-18.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
156 Hill St 0.05mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,639 (-10%) 11mo $154,000 $94 66
16570 Princeton St 0.59mi 4/1.5 1,839 (+1%) 9mo $135,000 $73 61
16239 La Salle Ave 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,783 (-2%) 2mo $240,000 $135 60
161 Eason St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (+2%) 8mo $138,000 $75 55
16219 Normandy St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,860 (+2%) 10mo $162,000 $87 54
163 Moss St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,678 (-8%) 4mo $191,000 $114 50
16125 Linwood St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,927 (+6%) 1mo $178,900 $93 50
44 Grove St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,646 (-9%) 10mo $8,000 $5 50
123 Florence St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,900 (+5%) 14mo $92,500 $49 50
16651 Lawton St 0.65mi 4/1.5 1,656 (-9%) 5mo $90,000 $54 49
225 Moss St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,654 (-9%) 14mo $65,000 $39 40
16147 Normandy St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,082 (+15%) 2mo $189,000 $91 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,321
Equity at exit
$18,191
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$32,745
Equity at exit
$10,548

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,567 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,224/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,109
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $431 -5% $396 +0% $362 +5% $327 +10% $293
Rent -10% $238 -5% $300 +0% $362 +5% $424 +10% $486
Rate -1.0pp $423 -0.5pp $393 base $362 +0.5pp $330 +1.0pp $298

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
326 Eason St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,300 $1.04 18d 1 0.40mi
106 Geneva St Highland Park, MI 5.0 1.0 1920 $1,450 $0.76 11d 1 0.46mi
16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2415 $1,800 $0.75 4d 1 0.60mi
574 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1315 $1,300 $0.99 44d 1 0.92mi
16582 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1314 $1,399 $1.06 18d 1 1.28mi
17163 Prairie St Unit 1B Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1317 $1,350 $1.03 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $122,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $122,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 186-char remark
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,000 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $122,000 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    RENTED HOME IN GOOD CONDITION BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH HOME NEXT DOOR

  16. 2026-05-11
    price $122,000 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    RENTED HOME IN GOOD CONDITION BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH HOME NEXT DOOR

  17. 2026-05-11
    price $122,000
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    RENTED HOME IN GOOD CONDITION BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH HOME NEXT DOOR

  18. 2026-04-13
    listed $130,000 Active 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    RENTED HOME IN GOOD CONDITION BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH HOME NEXT DOOR

  19. 2026-04-13
    listed $130,000 Active 73-char remark
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    RENTED HOME IN GOOD CONDITION BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH HOME NEXT DOOR

  20. 2026-04-13
    listed $130,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (73 chars)

    RENTED HOME IN GOOD CONDITION BEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH HOME NEXT DOOR

  21. 2023-07-31
    soldstatus $116,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,224 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,224 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,802
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$2,224
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,504
− Management
−$1,504
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable income
$2,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$618
After-tax cash flow
$3,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Highland Park

Score
73/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#5271

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $122,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $122,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $122,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $130,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $116,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,224 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…