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16512 Poppleton Ave
D- Composite 39.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

16512 Poppleton Ave · Omaha, NE 68130
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,008 sqft · Other public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1965 0.26 ac lot $142/sqft · 15% below area Est $336k · 15% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

So much potential! Don't miss this 4 bed/3 bath opportunity in Pacific Heights! Walkout lower level and huge fenced yard. With a little TLC you can make this your dream house! Make your appointment to see it today.

Key facts

  • Walkout lower level
  • Huge fenced yard
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

WALKOUT LOWER LEVELHUGE FENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-445 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (27.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (31.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($134k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $196,369 (31.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.69%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$336,000
List price
$285,000
Delta
-15.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.5%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-70,173
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-78,916
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68130

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,964 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,598/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$-445

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,527
Max offer price $206,353
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1250 S 157th St Omaha, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1276 $2,540 $1.99 3d 4 0.62mi
1202 S 177th Plz Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $1,916 $1.88 3d 6 1.01mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $285,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $285,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $285,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $285,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-04-08
    price $285,000 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    So much potential! Don't miss this 4 bed/3 bath opportunity in Pacific Heights! Walkout lower level and huge fenced yard. With a little TLC you can make this your dream house! Make your appointment to see it today.

  13. 2026-03-24
    listed $299,000 New 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    So much potential! Don't miss this 4 bed/3 bath opportunity in Pacific Heights! Walkout lower level and huge fenced yard. With a little TLC you can make this your dream house! Make your appointment to see it today.

  14. 2024-01-22
    soldstatus $265,000
  15. 2024-01-19
    soldstatus $265,000 Sold 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!

  16. 2023-12-16
    status Pending 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!

  17. 2023-12-14
    listed $275,000 New 733-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!

  18. 2023-12-14
    historical
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!

  19. 2023-12-06
    price $285,000
  20. 2023-12-04
    price $300,000
  21. 2023-11-29
    price $319,900
  22. 2023-11-27
    price $325,000
  23. 2023-11-24
    listed $350,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,598 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,930 · $411/mo
Expected delta
+$332/yr (+$28/mo · 7.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,564
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$4,598
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,885
− Management
−$1,885
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable loss
−$10,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,516
After-tax cash flow
$-2,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millard Public Schools
NCES district ID
3173740
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$81,146
Composite
53.23/100
National rank
#1500
State rank
#13 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omaha, NE
County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
21,722
Household income
$133,570
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
400.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.54%
Current HPI
208.1448
Rent YoY
▲ 5.14%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $285,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $299,000 GPRMLS
  • 2024-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
  • 2024-01-19 Sold (MLS) $265,000 GPRMLS
  • 2023-12-16 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2023-12-14 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2023-12-14 Listed $275,000 GPRMLS
  • 2023-12-06 Price Changed $285,000 GPRMLS
  • 2023-12-04 Price Changed $300,000 GPRMLS
  • 2023-11-29 Price Changed $319,900 GPRMLS
  • 2023-11-27 Price Changed $325,000 GPRMLS
  • 2023-11-24 Listed $350,000 GPRMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,598 · +28.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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