16512 Poppleton Ave · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
So much potential! Don't miss this 4 bed/3 bath opportunity in Pacific Heights! Walkout lower level and huge fenced yard. With a little TLC you can make this your dream house! Make your appointment to see it today.
Key facts
- Walkout lower level
- Huge fenced yard
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-445 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (27.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (31.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($134k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.69%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $336,000
- List price
- $285,000
- Delta
- -15.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-70,173
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-78,916
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68130
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,964 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$383 /mo · $4,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-445
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 S 157th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1276 | $2,540 | $1.99 | 3d | 4 | 0.62mi |
| 1202 S 177th Plz Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,916 | $1.88 | 3d | 6 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $285,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $285,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-04-08price $285,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
So much potential! Don't miss this 4 bed/3 bath opportunity in Pacific Heights! Walkout lower level and huge fenced yard. With a little TLC you can make this your dream house! Make your appointment to see it today.
-
2026-03-24$299,000 New 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
So much potential! Don't miss this 4 bed/3 bath opportunity in Pacific Heights! Walkout lower level and huge fenced yard. With a little TLC you can make this your dream house! Make your appointment to see it today.
-
2024-01-22soldstatus $265,000
-
2024-01-19soldstatus $265,000 Sold 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!
-
2023-12-16status Pending 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!
-
2023-12-14$275,000 New 733-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!
-
2023-12-14historical
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
This beautiful home in popular and established Pacific Heights has been well-loved for 55 years! With over 2,000 finished sqft, it features a desirable, traditional floor plan with hardwood floors throughout and custom built-ins. Large eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, cozy living room with large windows to let the sunshine in. Generous-sized bedrooms. The primary bedroom has a huge walk-in closet and 3/4 bath. The lower level has brand new carpet, family room, 4th bedroom, and walk-out. Relax or entertain in your deck or sunroom overlooking your incredible, .26-acre lot with mature trees. Perfect location, just minutes to Village Pointe, Legacy, and Dodge Expressway. Truly a rare find in this price range, don't miss out!
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2023-12-06price $285,000
-
2023-12-04price $300,000
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2023-11-29price $319,900
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2023-11-27price $325,000
-
2023-11-24$350,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,598 · $383/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,930 · $411/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,885
- − Management
- −$1,885
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$10,485
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,516
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millard Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3173740
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,146
- Composite
- 53.23/100
- National rank
- #1500
- State rank
- #13 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,722
- Household income
- $133,570
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 400.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.54%
- Current HPI
- 208.1448
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-18.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $285,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $299,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-19 Sold (MLS) $265,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-12-16 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2023-12-14 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2023-12-14 Listed $275,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-12-06 Price Changed $285,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-12-04 Price Changed $300,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-11-29 Price Changed $319,900 GPRMLS
- 2023-11-27 Price Changed $325,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-11-24 Listed $350,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,598 · +28.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…